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UGA
Georgia
BulldogsRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference12-2#11 (+20.10)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
92· A-Overall
Offense
89· BRating
84· BPer play
94· AConsistency
73· BBig plays
Defense
91· A-Rating
77· BPer play
86· BConsistency
Situational
89· BRed-zone O
66· CRed-zone D
60· C3rd down O
95· A3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.094
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.113
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.106
Defensive EPA/play
-0.090
lower = better
Off Success Rate
52.0%
Def Success Rate
41.8%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
18.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.196
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.114
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.01
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.37
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.03
own return game
Return Defense
+0.09
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#11
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#6
AP 5 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#9
market 2 higher
Recruiting Rank
#1
recruiting 10 spots higher
90 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense81th
Opp-adjusted defense87th
Offensive EPA/play84th
Defensive EPA/play78th
Offensive success rate95th
Explosiveness73th
Defensive havoc32th
Points per drive91th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Kansas2026OA +0.033 / +0.069similar: offensive success rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA3792Ohio State2022OA +0.221 / +0.040similar: offensive success rate, run defense, TD drive rate3513Auburn2017OA +0.082 / +0.202similar: defensive success rate, passing offense, defensive EPA3514LSU2022OA +0.112 / +0.084similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, TD drive rate3415Ohio State2023OA +0.143 / +0.158similar: offensive EPA, defensive success rate, TD drive rate337
2025 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Marshall | 45-7 | W | -45.3 | L | 51 | O |
| 2 | vs Austin Peay | 28-6 | W | -28.5 | L | 40.5 | U |
| 3 | @ Tennessee | 44-41 | W | -2.5 | W | 64.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Alabama | 21-24 | L | -2.5 | L | 53.75 | U |
| 6 | vs Kentucky | 35-14 | W | -20.0 | W | 48.5 | O |
| 7 | @ Auburn | 20-10 | W | -4.0 | W | 46.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Ole Miss | 43-35 | W | +2.0 | W | 79.5 | U |
| 10 | @ Florida | 24-20 | W | -7.5 | L | 47.5 | U |
| 11 | @ Mississippi State | 41-21 | W | -9.5 | W | 56 | O |
| 12 | vs Texas | 35-10 | W | -4.5 | W | 49.5 | U |
| 13 | vs Charlotte | 35-3 | W | -43.5 | L | 53.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Georgia Tech | 16-9 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 15 | @ Alabama | 28-7 | W | -10.5 | W | 36.5 | U |
| 19 | vs Ole Miss | 34-39 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-7
50.0%
O/U Record
5-9
35.7%
Straight Up
12-2
85.7%
Home ATS3-5
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS6-7
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.084 | 78th | -0.070 | 70th |
| Red Zone | +0.214 | 90th | -0.086 | 67th |
| Third Down | +0.127 | 61th | -0.255 | 96th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.110 | 85th | -0.103 | 84th |
| First Half | +0.114 | 81th | -0.072 | 73th |
| Second Half | +0.051 | 74th | -0.067 | 70th |
| Early Downs | +0.034 | 70th | +0.006 | 36th |
| Passing Downs | +0.089 | 77th | -0.062 | 62th |
| Standard Downs | +0.081 | 78th | -0.074 | 75th |
| Goal to Go | -0.016 | 53th | +0.146 | 33th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 41.8%Rush 58.2%
Havoc/Game
10.5
Havoc Rate
17.0%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
15.6
Yards/Game
402.4
Pts/Drive
3.01
3rd Down%
43.6%
3&Out%
14.3%
Team Statistics
2025 season totals across 14 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Georgia | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 449 | 246 |
| Points / Game | 32.1 | 17.6 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 339 | 227 |
| Rushing | 149 | 70 |
| Passing | 154 | 131 |
| Penalty | 36 | 26 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 580 | 388 |
| Yards | 2,550 | 1,141 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Yards / Game | 182.1 | 81.5 |
| Touchdowns | 31 | 14 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 417 | 459 |
| Completions | 287 | 279 |
| Completion % | 68.8% | 60.8% |
| Yards | 3,083 | 3,031 |
| Yards / Attempt | 7.4 | 6.6 |
| Touchdowns | 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 147.36 | 122.40 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 997 | 847 |
| Yards | 5,633 | 4,172 |
| Yards / Play | 5.6 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 402.4 | 298.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 23 | 5 |
| Yards | 243 | 18 |
| Average | 10.6 | 3.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 11 | 13 |
| Yards | 211 | 179 |
| Average | 19.2 | 13.8 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 52 | 71 |
| Yards | 2,382 | 3,044 |
| Average | 45.8 | 42.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 7 |
| Yards | 30 | 114 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 9 | 11 |
| Lost | 6 | 4 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 64 | 79 |
| Yards | 609 | 622 |
| Yards / Game | 43.5 | 44.4 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 33:52 | 26:07 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 181 | 185 |
| Conversions | 79 | 65 |
| Conversion % | 43.6% | 35.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 23 |
| Conversions | 15 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 75.0% | 43.5% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 58 | 35 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 53 | 26 |
| Score % | 91.4% | 74.3% |
| Touchdowns | 45 | 21 |
| TD % | 77.6% | 60.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 19 |
| Made | 17 | 16 |
| Pct | 89.5% | 84.2% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 54 | 26 |
| Made | 54 | 26 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 2 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.