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UGA
Georgia
BulldogsRun-HeavySoutheastern Conference11-3#4 (+11.80)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
97· A+Overall
Offense
98· A+Rating
95· APer play
96· AConsistency
78· BBig plays
Defense
88· BRating
63· CPer play
44· CConsistency
Situational
63· CRed-zone O
36· DRed-zone D
62· C3rd down O
86· B3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.139
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.111
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.163
Defensive EPA/play
-0.047
lower = better
Off Success Rate
52.2%
Def Success Rate
46.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.210
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.103
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.38
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.23
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.18
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.14
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.15
own return game
Return Defense
-0.24
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#4
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#7
model 3 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#3
recruiting 1 spots higher
65 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Georgia ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense96th
Opp-adjusted defense86th
Offensive EPA/play96th
Defensive EPA/play64th
Offensive success rate96th
Explosiveness79th
Defensive havoc42th
Points per drive98th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Toledo2017OA +0.070 / -0.010similar: takeaway rate, offensive success rate, turnover rate4182Louisiana2019OA +0.173 / -0.015similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, TD drive rate3763TCU2022OA +0.134 / +0.023similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, passing offense3664LSU2019OA +0.304 / +0.088similar: TD drive rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3535Ole Miss2025OA +0.189 / -0.005similar: turnover rate, passing offense, rushing offense352
2018 Schedule & Results
14 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | 45-0 | W | -12.0 | L | 59 | U |
| 2 | @ South Carolina | 41-17 | W | -8.5 | W | 54.5 | O |
| 3 | vs Middle Tennessee | 49-7 | W | -34.5 | W | 60 | U |
| 4 | @ Missouri | 43-29 | W | -14.5 | L | 68 | O |
| 5 | vs Tennessee | 38-12 | W | -30.5 | L | 55 | U |
| 6 | vs Vanderbilt | 41-13 | W | -26.0 | W | 56.5 | U |
| 7 | @ LSU | 16-36 | L | -6.5 | L | 50 | O |
| 9 | vs Florida | 36-17 | W | -7.0 | W | 53 | P |
| 10 | @ Kentucky | 34-17 | W | -9.5 | W | 47.5 | O |
| 11 | vs Auburn | 27-10 | W | -12.5 | W | 52.5 | U |
| 12 | vs Massachusetts | 66-27 | W | -41.5 | L | 67.5 | O |
| 13 | vs Georgia Tech | 45-21 | W | -17.0 | W | 60 | O |
| 14 | vs Alabama | 28-35 | L | +11.0 | W | 62 | O |
| 19 | vs Texas | 21-28 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
7-5-1
58.3%
Straight Up
10-3
76.9%
Home ATS6-3
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS7-5
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
WWLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.130 | 91th | -0.018 | 55th |
| Red Zone | +0.066 | 64th | +0.060 | 36th |
| Third Down | +0.106 | 63th | -0.158 | 87th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.163 | 97th | -0.047 | 63th |
| First Half | +0.144 | 93th | -0.126 | 81th |
| Second Half | +0.115 | 88th | +0.102 | 17th |
| Early Downs | +0.057 | 74th | -0.005 | 45th |
| Passing Downs | +0.259 | 96th | +0.033 | 46th |
| Standard Downs | +0.074 | 79th | -0.043 | 62th |
| Goal to Go | -0.276 | 9th | +0.210 | 30th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 38.6%Rush 61.4%
Havoc/Game
11.6
Havoc Rate
17.9%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
14.1
Yards/Game
464.9
Pts/Drive
3.38
3rd Down%
47.5%
3&Out%
14.5%
Team Statistics
2018 season totals across 14 games — Georgia vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Georgia | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 530 | 269 |
| Points / Game | 37.9 | 19.2 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 331 | 240 |
| Rushing | 169 | 99 |
| Passing | 141 | 121 |
| Penalty | 21 | 20 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 567 | 467 |
| Yards | 3,343 | 1,876 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.9 | 4.0 |
| Yards / Game | 238.8 | 134.0 |
| Touchdowns | 30 | 18 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 356 | 423 |
| Completions | 241 | 258 |
| Completion % | 67.7% | 61.0% |
| Yards | 3,165 | 2,524 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.9 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 34 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 8 |
| Passer Rating | 170.52 | 117.47 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 923 | 890 |
| Yards | 6,508 | 4,400 |
| Yards / Play | 7.1 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 464.9 | 314.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 22 | 5 |
| Yards | 366 | 64 |
| Average | 16.6 | 12.8 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 20 | 10 |
| Yards | 457 | 313 |
| Average | 22.9 | 31.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 43 | 74 |
| Yards | 1,830 | 3,153 |
| Average | 42.6 | 42.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 6 |
| Yards | 169 | 38 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 21 | 23 |
| Lost | 8 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 77 | 67 |
| Yards | 680 | 525 |
| Yards / Game | 48.6 | 37.5 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 31:29 | 28:09 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 162 | 191 |
| Conversions | 77 | 65 |
| Conversion % | 47.5% | 34.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 13 | 27 |
| Conversions | 8 | 13 |
| Conversion % | 61.5% | 48.1% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 60 | 37 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 54 | 33 |
| Score % | 90.0% | 89.2% |
| Touchdowns | 40 | 21 |
| TD % | 66.7% | 56.8% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 18 |
| Made | 19 | 15 |
| Pct | 82.6% | 83.3% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 65 | 28 |
| Made | 65 | 28 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 4 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.