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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference9-4#34 (+8.33)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

75· BOverall
Offense
82· BRating
84· BPer play
89· BConsistency
82· BBig plays
Defense
52· CRating
23· DPer play
29· DConsistency
Situational
38· DRed-zone O
67· CRed-zone D
48· C3rd down O
36· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.124
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.107
Defensive EPA/play
+0.057
lower = better
Off Success Rate
50.6%
Def Success Rate
48.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.050
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.218
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.76

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.28
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.89
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.39
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#34
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#24
market 10 higher
Recruiting Rank
#43
model 9 spots higher
11 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
86th
Opp-adjusted defense
34th
Offensive EPA/play
85th
Defensive EPA/play
24th
Offensive success rate
89th
Explosiveness
83th
Defensive havoc
22th
Points per drive
81th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1New Mexico State2023OA +0.084 / -0.071similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, TD drive rate3942North Carolina2023OA +0.046 / -0.032similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3803UCLA2022OA +0.171 / -0.041similar: turnover rate, pass defense, rushing offense3764North Carolina2021OA +0.091 / -0.074similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, pass defense3755Ohio2019OA +0.101 / -0.101similar: defensive EPA, run defense, takeaway rate364

2025 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Colorado27-20W----
2vs Gardner-Webb59-12W-38.5W60.5O
3vs Clemson24-21W+3.0W52U
4vs Temple45-24W-32.5L60.5O
5@ Wake Forest30-29W-14.0L52.5O
7vs Virginia Tech35-20W-14.5W56.5U
8@ Duke27-18W+2.5W60U
9vs Syracuse41-16W-17.0W52.5O
10@ NC State36-48L-4.5L59O
12@ Boston College36-34W-13.5L55.5O
13vs Pittsburgh28-42L-2.5L60O
14vs Georgia9-16L----
18@ BYU21-25L-1.5L58.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS4-6
Underdog ATS3-0
Last 5 ATS
LLWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off55thRush Off96thRed Zone Off39th3rd Down Off49thPass Def33thRush Def12thRed Zone Def67th3rd Down Def36th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.11287th+0.07716th
Red Zone-0.06239th-0.09267th
Third Down+0.07449th+0.12136th
No Garbage Time+0.09782th+0.05822th
First Half+0.05169th+0.05624th
Second Half+0.17294th+0.09913th
Early Downs+0.170100th+0.04220th
Passing Downs-0.00155th+0.03533th
Standard Downs+0.15696th+0.09812th
Goal to Go-0.15624th-0.42593th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.0%Rush 54.0%
Havoc/Game
10.7
Havoc Rate
15.7%
TO Margin
-0.5
Explosive/G
16.2
Yards/Game
460.0
Pts/Drive
2.76
3rd Down%
46.1%
3&Out%
13.6%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 13 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points418325
Points / Game32.225.0
First Downs
Total305275
Rushing137110
Passing143140
Penalty2525
Rushing
Attempts463466
Yards2,5672,132
Yards / Carry5.54.6
Yards / Game197.5164.0
Touchdowns3121
Passing
Attempts394408
Completions275254
Completion %69.8%62.3%
Yards3,4133,057
Yards / Attempt8.77.5
Touchdowns1619
Interceptions74
Passer Rating152.41138.60
Total Offense
Plays857874
Yards5,9805,189
Yards / Play7.05.9
Yards / Game460.0399.2
Punt Returns
Returns1511
Yards157106
Average10.59.6
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1913
Yards334221
Average17.617.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3458
Yards1,6292,464
Average47.942.5
Interception Returns
Returns47
Yards57110
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1612
Lost85
Penalties
Penalties7881
Yards614720
Yards / Game47.255.4
Time of Possession
Per Game29:0230:58
Third Downs
Attempts154178
Conversions7171
Conversion %46.1%39.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1623
Conversions715
Conversion %43.8%65.2%
Red Zone
Trips5549
Scores (TD + FG)4939
Score %89.1%79.6%
Touchdowns3228
TD %58.2%57.1%
Field Goals
Attempts2920
Made2514
Pct86.2%70.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4535
Made4533
Pct100.0%94.3%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts46
Made22
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →