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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference3-9#99 (-3.65)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

26· DOverall
Offense
39· DRating
51· CPer play
50· CConsistency
42· CBig plays
Defense
19· DRating
13· FPer play
22· DConsistency
Situational
7· FRed-zone O
31· DRed-zone D
33· D3rd down O
6· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.003
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.081
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.015
Defensive EPA/play
+0.113
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.7%
Def Success Rate
47.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
28.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.097
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.260
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.02

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.02
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.72
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.54
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.05
own return game
Return Defense
+0.25
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#99
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#103
model 4 higher
Recruiting Rank
#41
recruiting 58 spots higher
8 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
47th
Opp-adjusted defense
17th
Offensive EPA/play
52th
Defensive EPA/play
14th
Offensive success rate
45th
Explosiveness
42th
Defensive havoc
12th
Points per drive
41th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Stanford2026OA -0.036 / -0.136similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense4242Stanford2026OA -0.036 / -0.136similar: defensive success rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense4243Coastal Carolina2024OA -0.004 / -0.025similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3734Houston2023OA +0.020 / -0.059similar: takeaway rate, offensive success rate, defensive success rate3735Northern Illinois2022OA +0.036 / -0.147similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, pass defense371

2021 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Northern Illinois21-22L-18.0L57U
2vs Kennesaw State45-17W-20.0W52.75O
3@ Clemson8-14L+28.0W52U
4vs North Carolina45-22W+14.0W65O
5vs Pittsburgh21-52L+3.0L58.5O
6@ Duke31-27W-4.0P61U
8@ Virginia40-48L+6.8L63O
9vs Virginia Tech17-26L-4.3L55.5U
10@ Miami30-33L+10.5W64U
11vs Boston College30-41L-2.0L53.5O
12@ Notre Dame0-55L+17.0L59.5U
13vs Georgia0-45L+35.0L54.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-7-1
36.4%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS3-4
Last 5 ATS
LWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off6thRush Off82thRed Zone Off7th3rd Down Off34thPass Def5thRush Def31thRed Zone Def32th3rd Down Def6th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.02938th+0.09914th
Red Zone-0.3467th+0.04432th
Third Down+0.00534th+0.3736th
No Garbage Time-0.00246th+0.10713th
First Half-0.08723th+0.11914th
Second Half+0.03463th+0.07816th
Early Downs+0.06981th-0.02758th
Passing Downs-0.2416th+0.2345th
Standard Downs+0.08782th+0.03731th
Goal to Go-0.3966th+0.07038th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 43.5%Rush 56.5%
Havoc/Game
10.2
Havoc Rate
14.2%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
13.2
Yards/Game
367.3
Pts/Drive
2.02
3rd Down%
35.6%
3&Out%
23.4%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 12 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points288402
Points / Game24.033.5
First Downs
Total226268
Rushing101116
Passing104132
Penalty2120
Rushing
Attempts444491
Yards2,0272,184
Yards / Carry4.64.4
Yards / Game168.9182.0
Touchdowns1519
Passing
Attempts342335
Completions205219
Completion %59.9%65.4%
Yards2,3803,276
Yards / Attempt7.09.8
Touchdowns1828
Interceptions103
Passer Rating129.92173.31
Total Offense
Plays786826
Yards4,4075,460
Yards / Play5.66.6
Yards / Game367.3455.0
Punt Returns
Returns1616
Yards61153
Average3.89.6
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3612
Yards732243
Average20.320.3
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts6245
Yards2,5801,822
Average41.640.5
Interception Returns
Returns310
Yards6154
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles1218
Lost510
Penalties
Penalties7367
Yards614621
Yards / Game51.251.8
Time of Possession
Per Game29:1330:48
Third Downs
Attempts163156
Conversions5871
Conversion %35.6%45.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2315
Conversions109
Conversion %43.5%60.0%
Red Zone
Trips3751
Scores (TD + FG)2945
Score %78.4%88.2%
Touchdowns1831
TD %48.6%60.8%
Field Goals
Attempts1722
Made1117
Pct64.7%77.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3347
Made3147
Pct93.9%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts33
Made22
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →