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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsRun-Heavy
Atlantic Coast Conference7-6#69 (+0.57)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

48· COverall
Offense
90· A-Rating
86· BPer play
97· A+Consistency
88· BBig plays
Defense
17· DRating
16· DPer play
12· FConsistency
Situational
86· BRed-zone O
60· CRed-zone D
66· C3rd down O
2· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.123
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.089
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.117
Defensive EPA/play
+0.103
lower = better
Off Success Rate
53.0%
Def Success Rate
50.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.015
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.180
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.83

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.23
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.24
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.11
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.13
own return game
Return Defense
-0.23
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#69
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#66
recruiting 3 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
94th
Opp-adjusted defense
19th
Offensive EPA/play
86th
Defensive EPA/play
16th
Offensive success rate
98th
Explosiveness
89th
Defensive havoc
10th
Points per drive
89th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Navy2025OA +0.116 / -0.031similar: rushing offense, turnover rate, TD drive rate4072Navy2017OA +0.069 / -0.058similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3663Air Force2025OA +0.132 / -0.200similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, turnover rate3564Army2022OA +0.049 / -0.072similar: run defense, defensive success rate, TD drive rate3565UCLA2022OA +0.171 / -0.041similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, offensive success rate345

2018 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Alcorn State41-0W-5.5L57U
2@ South Florida38-49L-3.0L61O
3@ Pittsburgh19-24L-3.0L54U
4vs Clemson21-49L+16.0L55O
5vs Bowling Green63-17W-28.0W65.5O
6@ Louisville66-31W-5.5W56O
7vs Duke14-28L-1.5L55.5U
9@ Virginia Tech49-28W+3.0W58.5O
10@ North Carolina38-28W-4.0W66P
11vs Miami27-21W-1.5W51.5U
12vs Virginia30-27W-6.0L52.5O
13@ Georgia21-45L+17.0L60O
18vs Minnesota10-34L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-4-1
63.6%
Straight Up
6-6
50.0%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS4-5
Underdog ATS1-2
Last 5 ATS
WWWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off67thRush Off98thRed Zone Off86th3rd Down Off67thPass Def2thRush Def72thRed Zone Def61th3rd Down Def2th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.13392th+0.06321th
Red Zone+0.16986th-0.04661th
Third Down+0.12667th+0.4572th
No Garbage Time+0.11486th+0.08718th
First Half+0.08277th+0.08121th
Second Half+0.18098th+0.04436th
Early Downs+0.15997th-0.08681th
Passing Downs+0.05967th+0.3292th
Standard Downs+0.16398th-0.06472th
Goal to Go+0.43495th-0.13975th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 14.5%Rush 85.5%
Havoc/Game
9.2
Havoc Rate
14.5%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
14.8
Yards/Game
408.8
Pts/Drive
2.83
3rd Down%
43.9%
3&Out%
12.0%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 13 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points437381
Points / Game33.629.3
First Downs
Total276262
Rushing219125
Passing39125
Penalty1812
Rushing
Attempts745441
Yards4,2252,053
Yards / Carry5.74.7
Yards / Game325.0157.9
Touchdowns4622
Passing
Attempts126363
Completions56235
Completion %44.4%64.7%
Yards1,0892,752
Yards / Attempt8.67.6
Touchdowns724
Interceptions412
Passer Rating129.03143.63
Total Offense
Plays871804
Yards5,3144,805
Yards / Play6.16.0
Yards / Game408.8369.6
Punt Returns
Returns1310
Yards9160
Average7.06.0
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2848
Yards6891,261
Average24.626.3
Touchdowns22
Punting
Punts3543
Yards1,4471,716
Average41.339.9
Interception Returns
Returns114
Yards23147
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles3321
Lost1313
Penalties
Penalties4956
Yards472459
Yards / Game36.335.3
Time of Possession
Per Game33:2826:32
Third Downs
Attempts164146
Conversions7274
Conversion %43.9%50.7%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3415
Conversions189
Conversion %52.9%60.0%
Red Zone
Trips5847
Scores (TD + FG)4640
Score %79.3%85.1%
Touchdowns4031
TD %69.0%66.0%
Field Goals
Attempts1313
Made1010
Pct76.9%76.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5549
Made5349
Pct96.4%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts31
Made21
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →