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Georgia Tech

Yellow JacketsRun-Heavy
Atlantic Coast Conference5-6#49 (+5.22)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

63· COverall
Offense
70· BRating
54· CPer play
55· CConsistency
22· DBig plays
Defense
65· CRating
69· CPer play
49· CConsistency
Situational
80· BRed-zone O
45· CRed-zone D
70· B3rd down O
90· A-3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.039
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.096
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.006
Defensive EPA/play
-0.093
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.1%
Def Success Rate
45.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.087
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.055
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.33

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.72
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.46
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.95
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.08
own return game
Return Defense
-0.23
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#49
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#66
model 17 spots higher
1 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Georgia Tech ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
68th
Opp-adjusted defense
82th
Offensive EPA/play
55th
Defensive EPA/play
70th
Offensive success rate
47th
Explosiveness
23th
Defensive havoc
21th
Points per drive
65th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Wyoming2021OA +0.012 / -0.027similar: rushing offense, pass defense, run defense3312New Mexico State2022OA -0.054 / -0.076similar: defensive success rate, takeaway rate, defensive EPA3053Air Force2024OA -0.008 / -0.002similar: defensive success rate, havoc rate, run defense2984Minnesota2022OA +0.031 / +0.111similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, turnover rate2975Oregon State2022OA +0.047 / +0.105similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, TD drive rate296

2017 Schedule & Results

11 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Tennessee41-42L+4.0W54O
2vs Jacksonville State37-10W-16.5W--
4vs Pittsburgh35-17W-7.0W55U
5vs North Carolina33-7W-9.5W58.5U
7@ Miami24-25L+6.5W50.5U
8vs Wake Forest38-24W-3.5W49O
9@ Clemson10-24L+14.0P49U
10@ Virginia36-40L-7.5L50.5O
11vs Virginia Tech28-22W+2.5W48O
12@ Duke20-43L-6.5L49O
13vs Georgia7-38L+11.5L51U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-3-1
70.0%
O/U Record
5-5
50.0%
Straight Up
5-6
45.5%
Home ATS6-1
Away ATS1-2
Favorite ATS4-2
Underdog ATS3-1
Last 5 ATS
PLWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off69thRush Off40thRed Zone Off80th3rd Down Off71thPass Def73thRush Def62thRed Zone Def45th3rd Down Def91th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.01651th-0.08268th
Red Zone+0.14680th+0.02245th
Third Down+0.10271th-0.32891th
No Garbage Time-0.01153th-0.08970th
First Half-0.01253th-0.05056th
Second Half-0.02249th-0.10977th
Early Downs-0.04944th-0.02953th
Passing Downs+0.07269th-0.11273th
Standard Downs-0.05940th-0.06962th
Goal to Go+0.05562th-0.12965th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 15.8%Rush 84.2%
Havoc/Game
10.0
Havoc Rate
15.2%
TO Margin
-0.5
Explosive/G
13.9
Yards/Game
391.6
Pts/Drive
2.33
3rd Down%
45.6%
3&Out%
25.2%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 11 games — Georgia Tech vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatGeorgia TechOpponents
Scoring
Points309292
Points / Game28.126.5
First Downs
Total214201
Rushing16893
Passing3299
Penalty149
Rushing
Attempts632373
Yards3,3811,690
Yards / Carry5.34.5
Yards / Game307.4153.6
Touchdowns3015
Passing
Attempts119333
Completions43196
Completion %36.1%58.9%
Yards9272,207
Yards / Attempt7.86.6
Touchdowns1017
Interceptions56
Passer Rating120.90127.77
Total Offense
Plays751706
Yards4,3083,897
Yards / Play5.75.5
Yards / Game391.6354.3
Punt Returns
Returns1721
Yards125198
Average7.49.4
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns4044
Yards7751,077
Average19.424.5
Touchdowns11
Punting
Punts5057
Yards2,2052,440
Average44.142.8
Interception Returns
Returns65
Yards9878
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles2515
Lost104
Penalties
Penalties4442
Yards394396
Yards / Game35.836.0
Time of Possession
Per Game33:3026:30
Third Downs
Attempts158139
Conversions7243
Conversion %45.6%30.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1918
Conversions810
Conversion %42.1%55.6%
Red Zone
Trips3637
Scores (TD + FG)3236
Score %88.9%97.3%
Touchdowns2622
TD %72.2%59.5%
Field Goals
Attempts1019
Made716
Pct70.0%84.2%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3831
Made3430
Pct89.5%96.8%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts44
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →