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FLA
Florida
GatorsBalancedSoutheastern Conference8-5#30 (+4.81)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
78· BOverall
Offense
52· CRating
32· DPer play
52· CConsistency
30· DBig plays
Defense
78· BRating
58· CPer play
41· CConsistency
Situational
51· CRed-zone O
72· BRed-zone D
25· D3rd down O
44· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.011
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.014
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.034
Defensive EPA/play
-0.024
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.8%
Def Success Rate
45.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.0%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.010
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.001
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.12
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.07
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.84
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.02
own return game
Return Defense
-0.00
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#30
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#86
model 56 higher
Recruiting Rank
#13
recruiting 17 spots higher
49 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense34th
Opp-adjusted defense64th
Offensive EPA/play32th
Defensive EPA/play58th
Offensive success rate63th
Explosiveness31th
Defensive havoc80th
Points per drive40th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1California2021OA -0.056 / -0.013similar: run defense, TD drive rate, offensive success rate3692Tulane2025OA -0.011 / +0.016similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, offensive success rate3563Miami2017OA -0.047 / +0.116similar: rushing offense, passing offense, takeaway rate3464Auburn2023OA -0.094 / +0.044similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, passing offense3425Virginia Tech2024OA +0.002 / +0.048similar: takeaway rate, passing offense, defensive success rate338
2024 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Miami | 17-41 | L | +2.5 | L | 54 | O |
| 2 | vs Samford | 45-7 | W | -37.8 | W | 54.5 | U |
| 3 | vs Texas A&M | 20-33 | L | +3.5 | L | 47.5 | O |
| 4 | @ Mississippi State | 45-28 | W | -6.0 | W | 58 | O |
| 6 | vs UCF | 24-13 | W | +2.5 | W | 61.5 | U |
| 7 | @ Tennessee | 17-23 | L | +15.5 | W | 55.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Kentucky | 48-20 | W | +1.0 | W | 42.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Georgia | 20-34 | L | +16.5 | W | 52.5 | O |
| 11 | @ Texas | 17-49 | L | +21.5 | L | 48 | O |
| 12 | vs LSU | 27-16 | W | +4.5 | W | 55 | U |
| 13 | vs Ole Miss | 24-17 | W | +10.3 | W | 55.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Florida State | 31-11 | W | -15.0 | W | 45.5 | U |
| 17 | vs Tulane | 33-8 | W | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
10-3
76.9%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS6-2
Away ATS4-1
Favorite ATS4-0
Underdog ATS6-3
Last 5 ATS
LWWWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.007 | 49th | -0.034 | 66th |
| Red Zone | +0.018 | 51th | -0.122 | 72th |
| Third Down | -0.012 | 25th | +0.099 | 45th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.018 | 37th | -0.024 | 57th |
| First Half | -0.043 | 35th | -0.079 | 71th |
| Second Half | +0.060 | 66th | +0.011 | 44th |
| Early Downs | +0.052 | 79th | -0.077 | 69th |
| Passing Downs | -0.006 | 40th | +0.096 | 25th |
| Standard Downs | +0.014 | 54th | -0.103 | 87th |
| Goal to Go | -0.085 | 33th | -0.032 | 52th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 42.6%Rush 57.4%
Havoc/Game
15.8
Havoc Rate
21.5%
TO Margin
+0.5
Explosive/G
12.3
Yards/Game
386.9
Pts/Drive
2.12
3rd Down%
37.9%
3&Out%
21.2%
Team Statistics
2024 season totals across 13 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Florida | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 368 | 300 |
| Points / Game | 28.3 | 23.1 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 250 | 282 |
| Rushing | 113 | 121 |
| Passing | 119 | 137 |
| Penalty | 18 | 24 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 461 | 512 |
| Yards | 2,096 | 1,943 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Yards / Game | 161.2 | 149.5 |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 17 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 342 | 421 |
| Completions | 208 | 244 |
| Completion % | 60.8% | 58.0% |
| Yards | 2,934 | 2,957 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.6 | 7.0 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions | 14 | 14 |
| Passer Rating | 142.06 | 124.42 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 803 | 933 |
| Yards | 5,030 | 4,900 |
| Yards / Play | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Yards / Game | 386.9 | 376.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 17 |
| Yards | 187 | 119 |
| Average | 13.4 | 7.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 15 | 15 |
| Yards | 305 | 338 |
| Average | 20.3 | 22.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 59 | 54 |
| Yards | 2,699 | 2,336 |
| Average | 45.7 | 43.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 14 |
| Yards | 167 | 238 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 14 | 24 |
| Lost | 5 | 11 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 77 | 63 |
| Yards | 702 | 573 |
| Yards / Game | 54.0 | 44.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:34 | 31:23 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 161 | 184 |
| Conversions | 61 | 73 |
| Conversion % | 37.9% | 39.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 29 |
| Conversions | 7 | 15 |
| Conversion % | 46.7% | 51.7% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 51 | 40 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 44 | 29 |
| Score % | 86.3% | 72.5% |
| Touchdowns | 33 | 20 |
| TD % | 64.7% | 50.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 21 |
| Made | 18 | 14 |
| Pct | 85.7% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 44 | 33 |
| Made | 44 | 32 |
| Pct | 100.0% | 97.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 3 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.