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FLA
Florida
GatorsBalancedSoutheastern Conference4-7#64 (+1.98)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
52· COverall
Offense
43· CRating
13· FPer play
23· DConsistency
19· DBig plays
Defense
68· CRating
57· CPer play
81· BConsistency
Situational
77· BRed-zone O
60· CRed-zone D
27· D3rd down O
86· B3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.003
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.060
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.128
Defensive EPA/play
-0.056
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.4%
Def Success Rate
42.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.4%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.073
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.049
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.61
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.00
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.87
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.70
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.11
own return game
Return Defense
-0.06
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#64
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#17
recruiting 47 spots higher
32 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense53th
Opp-adjusted defense68th
Offensive EPA/play14th
Defensive EPA/play58th
Offensive success rate27th
Explosiveness19th
Defensive havoc75th
Points per drive16th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Florida State2017OA -0.027 / +0.090similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, run defense4222Central Michigan2024OA -0.040 / -0.007similar: havoc rate, pass defense, offensive EPA3873Miami (OH)2025OA -0.103 / +0.022similar: pass defense, passing offense, havoc rate3874Michigan State2023OA -0.078 / -0.038similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, passing offense3845Arkansas2023OA -0.006 / +0.064similar: pass defense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate367
2017 Schedule & Results
11 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Michigan | 17-33 | L | +4.0 | L | 46.5 | O |
| 3 | vs Tennessee | 26-20 | W | -6.5 | L | 51 | U |
| 4 | @ Kentucky | 28-27 | W | -3.0 | L | 44.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Vanderbilt | 38-24 | W | -9.5 | W | 39.5 | O |
| 6 | vs LSU | 16-17 | L | +1.5 | W | 42.5 | U |
| 7 | vs Texas A&M | 17-19 | L | -3.5 | L | 49.5 | U |
| 9 | vs Georgia | 7-42 | L | +12.5 | L | 43.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Missouri | 16-45 | L | +1.5 | L | 61.5 | U |
| 11 | @ South Carolina | 20-28 | L | +4.5 | L | 40.5 | O |
| 12 | vs UAB | 36-7 | W | -10.5 | W | 48 | U |
| 13 | vs Florida State | 22-38 | L | +5.0 | L | 43 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-8
27.3%
O/U Record
6-5
54.5%
Straight Up
4-7
36.4%
Home ATS3-5
Away ATS0-3
Favorite ATS2-3
Underdog ATS1-5
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.114 | 17th | -0.049 | 58th |
| Red Zone | +0.130 | 77th | -0.069 | 61th |
| Third Down | -0.150 | 27th | -0.271 | 86th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.126 | 15th | -0.062 | 59th |
| First Half | -0.128 | 14th | -0.076 | 63th |
| Second Half | -0.100 | 26th | -0.024 | 51th |
| Early Downs | -0.087 | 29th | -0.016 | 46th |
| Passing Downs | -0.174 | 13th | -0.039 | 55th |
| Standard Downs | -0.078 | 30th | -0.055 | 59th |
| Goal to Go | +0.160 | 77th | -0.146 | 70th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.8%Rush 56.2%
Havoc/Game
13.5
Havoc Rate
20.9%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
12.4
Yards/Game
335.9
Pts/Drive
1.61
3rd Down%
32.5%
3&Out%
25.6%
Team Statistics
2017 season totals across 11 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Florida | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 243 | 300 |
| Points / Game | 22.1 | 27.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 185 | 192 |
| Rushing | 83 | 82 |
| Passing | 92 | 92 |
| Penalty | 10 | 18 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 400 | 400 |
| Yards | 1,720 | 1,693 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Yards / Game | 156.4 | 153.9 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 16 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 312 | 270 |
| Completions | 174 | 148 |
| Completion % | 55.8% | 54.8% |
| Yards | 1,975 | 2,149 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.3 | 8.0 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 14 |
| Passer Rating | 113.11 | 130.86 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 712 | 670 |
| Yards | 3,695 | 3,842 |
| Yards / Play | 5.2 | 5.7 |
| Yards / Game | 335.9 | 349.3 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 28 |
| Yards | 66 | 306 |
| Average | 5.1 | 10.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 26 | 9 |
| Yards | 553 | 239 |
| Average | 21.3 | 26.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 65 | 55 |
| Yards | 3,068 | 2,343 |
| Average | 47.2 | 42.6 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 10 |
| Yards | 228 | 82 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 16 | 6 |
| Lost | 10 | 3 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 88 | 64 |
| Yards | 646 | 501 |
| Yards / Game | 58.7 | 45.5 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 31:03 | 28:57 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 157 | 139 |
| Conversions | 51 | 46 |
| Conversion % | 32.5% | 33.1% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 18 | 7 |
| Conversions | 12 | 5 |
| Conversion % | 66.7% | 71.4% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 31 | 35 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 30 | 29 |
| Score % | 96.8% | 82.9% |
| Touchdowns | 21 | 21 |
| TD % | 67.7% | 60.0% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 18 | 24 |
| Made | 17 | 16 |
| Pct | 94.4% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 36 |
| Made | 24 | 36 |
| Pct | 92.3% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 0 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.