Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA4-8#128 (-8.03)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

6· FOverall
Offense
10· FRating
16· DPer play
21· DConsistency
11· FBig plays
Defense
13· FRating
26· DPer play
49· CConsistency
Situational
40· CRed-zone O
45· CRed-zone D
37· D3rd down O
21· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.096
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.084
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.082
Defensive EPA/play
+0.059
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.1%
Def Success Rate
46.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.141
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.035
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.58

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.13
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.06
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.04
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.04
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#128
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#120
market 8 higher
Recruiting Rank
#76
recruiting 52 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
14th
Opp-adjusted defense
10th
Offensive EPA/play
16th
Defensive EPA/play
26th
Offensive success rate
17th
Explosiveness
11th
Defensive havoc
5th
Points per drive
13th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UL Monroe2020OA -0.067 / -0.040similar: pass defense, rushing offense, turnover rate4072Texas State2017OA -0.190 / -0.057similar: rushing offense, defensive success rate, turnover rate3933East Carolina2026OA -0.001 / -0.051similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, rushing offense3924Florida State2024OA -0.056 / -0.019similar: rushing offense, defensive EPA, turnover rate3865NC State2026OA -0.050 / -0.006similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, TD drive rate377

2023 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
0@ Louisiana Tech17-22L+12.0W57.5U
1vs Maine14-12W-14.5L46.5U
2vs North Texas46-39W+12.3W51.5O
3@ UConn24-17W+7.0W40O
4vs Liberty6-38L+10.0L54.5U
6@ New Mexico State17-34L-2.0L44U
7vs UTEP14-27L+5.0W41O
8@ Sam Houston33-27W+8.0L46O
9vs Jacksonville State16-41L----
11@ Middle Tennessee6-40L+11.0L52.5U
12@ Arkansas20-44L+29.5W51O
13vs Western Kentucky28-41L+10.0L54.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS1-5
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS0-2
Underdog ATS5-5
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off12thRush Off27thRed Zone Off40th3rd Down Off38thPass Def73thRush Def23thRed Zone Def46th3rd Down Def21th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.08615th+0.03738th
Red Zone-0.03640th+0.01346th
Third Down+0.15038th+0.30821th
No Garbage Time-0.07022th+0.06524th
First Half-0.08219th+0.07724th
Second Half-0.09018th-0.01151th
Early Downs-0.08826th+0.00235th
Passing Downs-0.12612th-0.01573th
Standard Downs-0.06227th+0.06623th
Goal to Go+0.07763th+0.26419th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.2%Rush 49.8%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
14.3%
TO Margin
-0.8
Explosive/G
11.8
Yards/Game
319.6
Pts/Drive
1.58
3rd Down%
28.4%
3&Out%
29.8%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 12 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points241382
Points / Game20.131.8
First Downs
Total185273
Rushing64117
Passing109137
Penalty1219
Rushing
Attempts380487
Yards1,0832,290
Yards / Carry2.94.7
Yards / Game90.3190.8
Touchdowns1717
Passing
Attempts383389
Completions220241
Completion %57.4%62.0%
Yards2,7522,950
Yards / Attempt7.27.6
Touchdowns1226
Interceptions126
Passer Rating121.87144.63
Total Offense
Plays763876
Yards3,8355,240
Yards / Play5.06.0
Yards / Game319.6436.7
Punt Returns
Returns1314
Yards13226
Average10.21.9
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2727
Yards480575
Average17.821.3
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7252
Yards2,8202,217
Average39.242.6
Interception Returns
Returns612
Yards11850
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles2318
Lost96
Penalties
Penalties7054
Yards607517
Yards / Game50.643.1
Time of Possession
Per Game27:0532:51
Third Downs
Attempts169168
Conversions4868
Conversion %28.4%40.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3320
Conversions1611
Conversion %48.5%55.0%
Red Zone
Trips3644
Scores (TD + FG)2836
Score %77.8%81.8%
Touchdowns2123
TD %58.3%52.3%
Field Goals
Attempts1230
Made921
Pct75.0%70.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2841
Made2641
Pct92.9%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts35
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →