Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA4-8#134 (-11.53)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

1· FOverall
Offense
12· FRating
13· FPer play
8· FConsistency
23· DBig plays
Defense
2· FRating
15· DPer play
20· DConsistency
Situational
7· FRed-zone O
51· CRed-zone D
14· F3rd down O
6· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.160
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.147
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.154
Defensive EPA/play
+0.090
lower = better
Off Success Rate
40.1%
Def Success Rate
48.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
21.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.244
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.112
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.66

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.40
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.45
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.24
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.14
own return game
Return Defense
+0.15
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#134
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#126
market 8 higher
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 59 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
4th
Opp-adjusted defense
6th
Offensive EPA/play
13th
Defensive EPA/play
15th
Offensive success rate
7th
Explosiveness
23th
Defensive havoc
20th
Points per drive
22th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UL Monroe2020OA -0.067 / -0.040similar: defensive EPA, offensive success rate, run defense4372UConn2021OA -0.200 / -0.127similar: run defense, takeaway rate, defensive success rate4353Syracuse2025OA -0.108 / -0.012similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, rushing offense3994UConn2023OA -0.119 / -0.056similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, rushing offense3985Marshall2026OA -0.032 / -0.030similar: passing offense, offensive success rate, defensive success rate397

2022 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Bryant38-37W----
2@ Texas State12-41L+13.5L63U
4@ Western Kentucky0-73L+31.0L65.5O
5@ New Mexico State21-7W+14.5W54U
6vs UConn12-33L+5.5L47U
7vs UTSA10-30L----
8@ Charlotte34-15W+14.5W63.5U
9vs Louisiana Tech42-34W----
10@ North Texas14-52L+21.0L62O
11vs Florida Atlantic7-52L+15.5L54.5O
12@ UTEP6-40L+14.0L51U
13vs Middle Tennessee28-33L+19.5W55O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
4-8
33.3%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS5-6
Last 5 ATS
WLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off6thRush Off15thRed Zone Off7th3rd Down Off14thPass Def14thRush Def29thRed Zone Def51th3rd Down Def6th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1807th+0.05522th
Red Zone-0.2987th-0.03851th
Third Down-0.14114th+0.4126th
No Garbage Time-0.14713th+0.07018th
First Half-0.16112th+0.12210th
Second Half-0.1995th-0.02148th
Early Downs-0.1937th-0.01444th
Passing Downs-0.2266th+0.12314th
Standard Downs-0.15115th+0.02229th
Goal to Go-0.34112th+0.05336th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 56.8%Rush 43.2%
Havoc/Game
11.8
Havoc Rate
15.4%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
323.8
Pts/Drive
1.66
3rd Down%
28.9%
3&Out%
27.2%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 12 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points224447
Points / Game18.737.3
First Downs
Total214290
Rushing72120
Passing125141
Penalty1729
Rushing
Attempts356493
Yards1,2602,301
Yards / Carry3.54.7
Yards / Game105.0191.8
Touchdowns1131
Passing
Attempts468404
Completions271266
Completion %57.9%65.8%
Yards2,6253,122
Yards / Attempt5.67.7
Touchdowns1624
Interceptions167
Passer Rating109.47146.89
Total Offense
Plays824897
Yards3,8855,423
Yards / Play4.76.0
Yards / Game323.8451.9
Punt Returns
Returns1111
Yards81101
Average7.49.2
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3518
Yards690398
Average19.722.1
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts7143
Yards2,9441,764
Average41.541.0
Interception Returns
Returns716
Yards75257
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1215
Lost49
Penalties
Penalties7465
Yards640566
Yards / Game53.347.2
Time of Possession
Per Game27:1632:44
Third Downs
Attempts173182
Conversions5089
Conversion %28.9%48.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3421
Conversions1511
Conversion %44.1%52.4%
Red Zone
Trips3462
Scores (TD + FG)2352
Score %67.6%83.9%
Touchdowns1939
TD %55.9%62.9%
Field Goals
Attempts1218
Made714
Pct58.3%77.8%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2454
Made2353
Pct95.8%98.1%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts54
Made21
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →