Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA8-5#100 (-9.36)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

25· DOverall
Offense
36· DRating
63· CPer play
66· CConsistency
58· CBig plays
Defense
19· DRating
34· DPer play
32· DConsistency
Situational
94· ARed-zone O
34· DRed-zone D
37· D3rd down O
40· C3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.036
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.111
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.018
Defensive EPA/play
+0.035
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.3%
Def Success Rate
47.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.017
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.052
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.13

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.26
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.54
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.36
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.02
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#100
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 25 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
36th
Opp-adjusted defense
15th
Offensive EPA/play
63th
Defensive EPA/play
35th
Offensive success rate
65th
Explosiveness
59th
Defensive havoc
28th
Points per drive
50th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Arkansas State2019OA +0.036 / -0.048similar: havoc rate, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3672Eastern Michigan2022OA +0.042 / -0.141similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, takeaway rate3603Georgia Southern2024OA -0.003 / -0.012similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, havoc rate3564Coastal Carolina2019OA -0.000 / -0.063similar: turnover rate, offensive EPA, havoc rate3555UNLV2023OA +0.047 / -0.015similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, defensive success rate349

2017 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ UCF17-61L+7.0L57U
2vs Alcorn State17-10W-20.0L--
4@ Rice13-7W+1.0W52.5U
5vs Charlotte30-29W-9.5L47.5O
6@ Middle Tennessee17-37L+9.0L54P
7vs Tulane23-10W+13.0W51.5U
9@ Marshall41-30W+14.5W47.5O
10vs UTSA14-7W+6.5W52U
11vs Old Dominion30-37L-10.0L47.5O
12@ Florida Atlantic24-52L+14.5L65.5O
13vs Western Kentucky41-17W+3.0W56.5O
14vs Massachusetts63-45W+2.5W56.5O
17vs Temple3-28L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
6-6
50.0%
O/U Record
6-4-1
60.0%
Straight Up
8-4
66.7%
Home ATS4-4
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS0-3
Underdog ATS6-3
Last 5 ATS
WLLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off83thRush Off36thRed Zone Off95th3rd Down Off38thPass Def10thRush Def36thRed Zone Def35th3rd Down Def41th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.01162th+0.06523th
Red Zone+0.31095th+0.07335th
Third Down-0.05538th+0.03741th
No Garbage Time+0.02262th+0.02938th
First Half+0.00460th+0.08027th
Second Half+0.01864th+0.05123th
Early Downs-0.08232th+0.03624th
Passing Downs+0.14883th+0.18210th
Standard Downs-0.06536th+0.00536th
Goal to Go+0.18379th+0.08136th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.5%Rush 55.5%
Havoc/Game
11.3
Havoc Rate
15.9%
TO Margin
-0.2
Explosive/G
15.4
Yards/Game
392.3
Pts/Drive
2.13
3rd Down%
43.2%
3&Out%
15.9%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 13 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points333370
Points / Game25.628.5
First Downs
Total269293
Rushing99116
Passing151145
Penalty1932
Rushing
Attempts494478
Yards2,0692,227
Yards / Carry4.24.7
Yards / Game159.2171.3
Touchdowns2023
Passing
Attempts396418
Completions252273
Completion %63.6%65.3%
Yards3,0313,167
Yards / Attempt7.77.6
Touchdowns1924
Interceptions107
Passer Rating138.71144.55
Total Offense
Plays890896
Yards5,1005,394
Yards / Play5.76.0
Yards / Game392.3414.9
Punt Returns
Returns1312
Yards4973
Average3.86.1
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns3732
Yards716615
Average19.419.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5744
Yards2,3371,836
Average41.041.7
Interception Returns
Returns710
Yards5863
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles2018
Lost1111
Penalties
Penalties8470
Yards844600
Yards / Game64.946.2
Time of Possession
Per Game30:4129:19
Third Downs
Attempts183159
Conversions7961
Conversion %43.2%38.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2128
Conversions1012
Conversion %47.6%42.9%
Red Zone
Trips4153
Scores (TD + FG)4042
Score %97.6%79.2%
Touchdowns3034
TD %73.2%64.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1820
Made1513
Pct83.3%65.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4042
Made4039
Pct100.0%92.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts15
Made04
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →