Fourth Down Data
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DEL

Delaware

Blue HensBalanced
Conference USA7-6#125 (-15.64)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

8· FOverall
Offense
20· DRating
45· CPer play
62· CConsistency
66· CBig plays
Defense
7· FRating
16· DPer play
32· DConsistency
Situational
55· CRed-zone O
79· BRed-zone D
75· B3rd down O
24· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.084
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.156
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.008
Defensive EPA/play
+0.083
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.7%
Def Success Rate
46.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.091
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.005
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.33

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.20
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.03
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.32
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.04
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#125
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#86
market 39 higher
Recruiting Rank
#79
recruiting 46 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Delaware ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
20th
Opp-adjusted defense
5th
Offensive EPA/play
46th
Defensive EPA/play
16th
Offensive success rate
68th
Explosiveness
67th
Defensive havoc
46th
Points per drive
54th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Old Dominion2018OA -0.024 / -0.145similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3932Arkansas State2019OA +0.036 / -0.048similar: run defense, defensive success rate, pass defense3763Georgia Southern2024OA -0.003 / -0.012similar: offensive EPA, takeaway rate, run defense3734Boston College2020OA +0.002 / -0.018similar: TD drive rate, turnover rate, offensive success rate3705Western Kentucky2017OA -0.100 / -0.118similar: offensive EPA, offensive success rate, TD drive rate353

2025 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Delaware State35-17W----
2@ Colorado7-31L+23.5L42.5U
3vs UConn44-41W+4.0W79.5O
4@ Florida International38-16W+4.5W55U
6vs Western Kentucky24-27L----
8@ Jacksonville State25-38L-9.0L55.5O
9vs Middle Tennessee31-28W----
10@ Liberty30-59L+15.5L75.5O
11vs Louisiana Tech25-24W+3.5W43.5O
12@ Sam Houston23-26L-11.0L56.5U
13@ Wake Forest14-52L+17.5L50.5O
14vs UTEP61-31W-4.0W55.5O
17vs Louisiana20-13W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-8
38.5%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS4-3
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS2-5
Underdog ATS3-3
Last 5 ATS
WLLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off36thRush Off73thRed Zone Off56th3rd Down Off76thPass Def26thRush Def24thRed Zone Def80th3rd Down Def24th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.02262th+0.06420th
Red Zone+0.02556th-0.16080th
Third Down+0.21676th+0.16424th
No Garbage Time+0.00049th+0.07319th
First Half-0.02340th+0.06322th
Second Half+0.07176th+0.06622th
Early Downs+0.01962th+0.00339th
Passing Downs-0.06536th+0.07026th
Standard Downs+0.06973th+0.06124th
Goal to Go-0.04048th-0.04655th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 56.9%Rush 43.1%
Havoc/Game
12.5
Havoc Rate
17.8%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
15.5
Yards/Game
411.6
Pts/Drive
2.33
3rd Down%
41.6%
3&Out%
16.7%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 13 games — Delaware vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatDelawareOpponents
Scoring
Points377403
Points / Game29.031.0
First Downs
Total296275
Rushing10396
Passing162152
Penalty3127
Rushing
Attempts409454
Yards1,5492,076
Yards / Carry3.84.6
Yards / Game119.2159.7
Touchdowns2025
Passing
Attempts540428
Completions337265
Completion %62.4%61.9%
Yards3,8023,193
Yards / Attempt7.07.5
Touchdowns2421
Interceptions814
Passer Rating133.25134.23
Total Offense
Plays949882
Yards5,3515,269
Yards / Play5.66.0
Yards / Game411.6405.3
Punt Returns
Returns618
Yards94109
Average15.76.1
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns3017
Yards693326
Average23.119.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4647
Yards1,7792,076
Average38.744.2
Interception Returns
Returns148
Yards9482
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1712
Lost115
Penalties
Penalties6985
Yards649830
Yards / Game49.963.8
Time of Possession
Per Game30:1429:46
Third Downs
Attempts190183
Conversions7974
Conversion %41.6%40.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3626
Conversions1918
Conversion %52.8%69.2%
Red Zone
Trips5151
Scores (TD + FG)4344
Score %84.3%86.3%
Touchdowns3229
TD %62.7%56.9%
Field Goals
Attempts2427
Made1820
Pct75.0%74.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3945
Made3945
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts74
Made12
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →