Fourth Down Data
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CLEM

Clemson

TigersBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference10-4#11 (+8.85)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

92· A-Overall
Offense
89· BRating
83· BPer play
72· BConsistency
69· CBig plays
Defense
90· A-Rating
80· BPer play
89· BConsistency
Situational
33· DRed-zone O
23· DRed-zone D
71· B3rd down O
41· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.048
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.036
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.101
Defensive EPA/play
-0.092
lower = better
Off Success Rate
47.4%
Def Success Rate
43.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.193
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.087
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.72

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.04
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.03
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.03
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.05
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#11
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#14
model 3 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#21
model 10 higher
Recruiting Rank
#10
recruiting 1 spots higher
56 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Clemson ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
87th
Opp-adjusted defense
81th
Offensive EPA/play
84th
Defensive EPA/play
81th
Offensive success rate
68th
Explosiveness
70th
Defensive havoc
92th
Points per drive
84th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana2021OA +0.026 / +0.005similar: turnover rate, offensive success rate, rushing offense3822Iowa State2024OA +0.039 / +0.005similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, offensive success rate3533Florida2018OA +0.119 / +0.119similar: offensive success rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3504Memphis2024OA +0.049 / -0.012similar: turnover rate, defensive success rate, takeaway rate3505Arizona2025OA +0.135 / +0.110similar: offensive success rate, havoc rate, defensive success rate345

2024 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Georgia3-34L+13.5L48.5U
2vs App State66-20W-17.0W51.5O
4vs NC State59-35W-19.0W44O
5vs Stanford40-14W-21.5W57.5U
6@ Florida State29-13W-14.5W46.5U
7@ Wake Forest49-14W-20.0W60.5O
8vs Virginia48-31W-21.0L57.5O
10vs Louisville21-33L-10.5L61U
11@ Virginia Tech24-14W-6.5W52.5U
12@ Pittsburgh24-20W-10.0L54U
13vs The Citadel51-14W----
14vs South Carolina14-17L-2.5L49U
15@ SMU34-31W+2.5W55.5O
17@ Texas24-38L+11.5L51.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
10-4
71.4%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS6-4
Underdog ATS1-2
Last 5 ATS
LLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off90thRush Off50thRed Zone Off34th3rd Down Off72thPass Def49thRush Def50thRed Zone Def23th3rd Down Def41th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.07075th-0.00249th
Red Zone-0.06234th+0.11323th
Third Down+0.19072th+0.12541th
No Garbage Time+0.10684th-0.07975th
First Half+0.12789th-0.09177th
Second Half+0.01146th+0.09219th
Early Downs-0.02246th+0.01035th
Passing Downs+0.19590th+0.01549th
Standard Downs+0.01050th-0.01250th
Goal to Go+0.02852th-0.04757th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 53.0%Rush 47.0%
Havoc/Game
16.2
Havoc Rate
23.4%
TO Margin
+1.1
Explosive/G
14.7
Yards/Game
451.9
Pts/Drive
2.72
3rd Down%
43.9%
3&Out%
20.3%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 14 games — Clemson vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatClemsonOpponents
Scoring
Points486328
Points / Game34.723.4
First Downs
Total337287
Rushing139118
Passing170133
Penalty2836
Rushing
Attempts473477
Yards2,4272,249
Yards / Carry5.14.7
Yards / Game173.4160.6
Touchdowns2318
Passing
Attempts533467
Completions331263
Completion %62.1%56.3%
Yards3,8992,989
Yards / Attempt7.36.4
Touchdowns3722
Interceptions716
Passer Rating143.83118.77
Total Offense
Plays1,006944
Yards6,3265,238
Yards / Play6.35.5
Yards / Game451.9374.1
Punt Returns
Returns2020
Yards17086
Average8.54.3
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1715
Yards320298
Average18.819.9
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts6173
Yards2,4733,199
Average40.543.8
Interception Returns
Returns167
Yards13752
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles1622
Lost310
Penalties
Penalties6986
Yards667772
Yards / Game47.655.1
Time of Possession
Per Game30:3029:30
Third Downs
Attempts198195
Conversions8771
Conversion %43.9%36.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2119
Conversions128
Conversion %57.1%42.1%
Red Zone
Trips5247
Scores (TD + FG)4538
Score %86.5%80.9%
Touchdowns3128
TD %59.6%59.6%
Field Goals
Attempts2520
Made1814
Pct72.0%70.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts6238
Made6038
Pct96.8%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts03
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →