Fourth Down Data
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CLEM

Clemson

TigersBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference10-3#11 (+8.73)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

92· A-Overall
Offense
42· CRating
20· DPer play
19· DConsistency
25· DBig plays
Defense
98· A+Rating
97· A+Per play
98· A+Consistency
Situational
54· CRed-zone O
99· A+Red-zone D
13· F3rd down O
84· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.044
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.202
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.089
Defensive EPA/play
-0.207
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.4%
Def Success Rate
38.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
19.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.117
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.109
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.01

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.67
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.59
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.18
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.26
own return game
Return Defense
+0.15
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#11
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#14
model 3 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#7
market 4 higher
Recruiting Rank
#4
recruiting 7 spots higher
59 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Clemson ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
33th
Opp-adjusted defense
98th
Offensive EPA/play
20th
Defensive EPA/play
98th
Offensive success rate
13th
Explosiveness
26th
Defensive havoc
92th
Points per drive
40th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1NC State2023OA -0.033 / +0.114similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3962Marshall2018OA -0.082 / +0.061similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, run defense3763Marshall2022OA -0.104 / +0.202similar: defensive success rate, run defense, offensive EPA3694Northern Illinois2017OA -0.083 / +0.118similar: offensive EPA, defensive EPA, havoc rate3655Louisville2025OA +0.020 / +0.123similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, defensive EPA364

2021 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Georgia3-10L-3.0L51U
2vs South Carolina State49-3W-50.0L56U
3vs Georgia Tech14-8W-28.0L52U
4@ NC State21-27L-10.5L47.5O
5vs Boston College19-13W-14.5L46U
7@ Syracuse17-14W----
8@ Pittsburgh17-27L+3.0L48U
9vs Florida State30-20W-9.5W47.5O
10@ Louisville30-24W-4.0W46.5O
11vs UConn44-7W-41.0L50O
12vs Wake Forest48-27W-4.5W56.5O
13@ South Carolina30-0W-11.5W43U
18@ Iowa State20-13W----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-8
38.5%
O/U Record
5-8
38.5%
Straight Up
10-3
76.9%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS5-7
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off27thRush Off17thRed Zone Off55th3rd Down Off14thPass Def97thRush Def98thRed Zone Def100th3rd Down Def85th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.09317th-0.21698th
Red Zone-0.00855th-0.547100th
Third Down-0.16414th-0.13685th
No Garbage Time-0.09517th-0.19698th
First Half-0.05032th-0.18797th
Second Half-0.14610th-0.24399th
Early Downs-0.08223th-0.20899th
Passing Downs-0.08927th-0.26697th
Standard Downs-0.09617th-0.18298th
Goal to Go-0.06047th-0.61997th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 45.8%Rush 54.2%
Havoc/Game
16.1
Havoc Rate
22.8%
TO Margin
+0.1
Explosive/G
14.1
Yards/Game
359.2
Pts/Drive
2.01
3rd Down%
37.1%
3&Out%
23.5%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 13 games — Clemson vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatClemsonOpponents
Scoring
Points342193
Points / Game26.314.8
First Downs
Total258224
Rushing11474
Passing117128
Penalty2722
Rushing
Attempts489440
Yards2,1841,252
Yards / Carry4.52.8
Yards / Game168.096.3
Touchdowns267
Passing
Attempts414454
Completions228259
Completion %55.1%57.0%
Yards2,4852,719
Yards / Attempt6.06.0
Touchdowns1211
Interceptions1112
Passer Rating109.74110.07
Total Offense
Plays903894
Yards4,6693,971
Yards / Play5.24.4
Yards / Game359.2305.5
Punt Returns
Returns2120
Yards9374
Average4.43.7
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2116
Yards522431
Average24.926.9
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts6784
Yards2,7283,580
Average40.742.6
Interception Returns
Returns1211
Yards69137
Touchdowns12
Fumbles
Fumbles1818
Lost88
Penalties
Penalties79113
Yards657889
Yards / Game50.568.4
Time of Possession
Per Game29:2430:36
Third Downs
Attempts186206
Conversions6971
Conversion %37.1%34.5%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1624
Conversions910
Conversion %56.3%41.7%
Red Zone
Trips4631
Scores (TD + FG)3720
Score %80.4%64.5%
Touchdowns2910
TD %63.0%32.3%
Field Goals
Attempts2620
Made2113
Pct80.8%65.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3919
Made3918
Pct100.0%94.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts03
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →