Fourth Down Data
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CLEM

Clemson

TigersBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference14-1#4 (+30.47)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

97· A+Overall
Offense
93· ARating
94· APer play
95· AConsistency
92· A-Big plays
Defense
99· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
79· BConsistency
Situational
87· BRed-zone O
92· A-Red-zone D
63· C3rd down O
85· B3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.120
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.254
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.162
Defensive EPA/play
-0.210
lower = better
Off Success Rate
53.0%
Def Success Rate
41.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
18.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.372
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.086
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.27

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.75
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.82
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-1.57
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
+0.09
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#4
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#2
AP 2 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#11
model 7 spots higher
47 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Clemson ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
91th
Opp-adjusted defense
100th
Offensive EPA/play
95th
Defensive EPA/play
99th
Offensive success rate
96th
Explosiveness
93th
Defensive havoc
97th
Points per drive
96th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Notre Dame2024OA +0.053 / +0.098similar: defensive EPA, defensive success rate, pass defense4362Penn State2017OA +0.117 / +0.130similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, havoc rate4253Notre Dame2023OA +0.085 / +0.178similar: pass defense, offensive success rate, run defense4014Ohio State2019OA +0.314 / +0.166similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, pass defense4005Iowa State2020OA +0.039 / +0.038similar: run defense, offensive success rate, defensive success rate381

2019 Schedule & Results

15 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Georgia Tech52-14W+5.0L67P
2vs Texas A&M24-10W-16.5L62.5U
3@ Syracuse41-6W-28.0W63U
4vs Charlotte52-10W-41.5W62P
5@ North Carolina21-20W-27.5L61U
7vs Florida State45-14W-25.5W60.5U
8@ Louisville45-10W-24.0W62U
9vs Boston College59-7W-35.0W59O
10vs Wofford59-14W-48.5L58.5O
11@ NC State55-10W-36.0W55O
12vs Wake Forest52-3W-34.5W59.5U
14@ South Carolina38-3W-28.5W51U
15vs Virginia62-17W-29.0W57.5O
18@ Ohio State29-23W----
20@ LSU25-42L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
9-4
69.2%
O/U Record
4-7-2
36.4%
Straight Up
12-1
92.3%
Home ATS5-2
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS9-3
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
LWWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off73thRush Off93thRed Zone Off88th3rd Down Off63thPass Def96thRush Def78thRed Zone Def92th3rd Down Def86th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.13294th-0.14193th
Red Zone+0.20788th-0.31792th
Third Down+0.09963th-0.15586th
No Garbage Time+0.16895th-0.22199th
First Half+0.21798th-0.22796th
Second Half+0.03557th-0.05169th
Early Downs+0.16098th-0.03165th
Passing Downs+0.10973th-0.24896th
Standard Downs+0.14193th-0.07778th
Goal to Go+0.05962th-0.40590th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 47.3%Rush 52.7%
Havoc/Game
16.7
Havoc Rate
25.3%
TO Margin
+1.0
Explosive/G
13.4
Yards/Game
528.7
Pts/Drive
3.27
3rd Down%
44.2%
3&Out%
12.7%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 15 games — Clemson vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatClemsonOpponents
Scoring
Points659203
Points / Game43.913.5
First Downs
Total393218
Rushing16692
Passing190108
Penalty3718
Rushing
Attempts566536
Yards3,6061,741
Yards / Carry6.43.2
Yards / Game240.4116.1
Touchdowns4510
Passing
Attempts509433
Completions326231
Completion %64.0%53.3%
Yards4,3252,584
Yards / Attempt8.56.0
Touchdowns4014
Interceptions1019
Passer Rating157.43105.37
Total Offense
Plays1,075969
Yards7,9314,325
Yards / Play7.44.5
Yards / Game528.7288.3
Punt Returns
Returns339
Yards18568
Average5.67.6
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns2325
Yards513439
Average22.317.6
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts61112
Yards2,5615,154
Average42.046.0
Interception Returns
Returns1910
Yards254112
Touchdowns20
Fumbles
Fumbles1020
Lost511
Penalties
Penalties8587
Yards684824
Yards / Game45.654.9
Time of Possession
Per Game30:1529:45
Third Downs
Attempts181230
Conversions8072
Conversion %44.2%31.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1222
Conversions69
Conversion %50.0%40.9%
Red Zone
Trips6733
Scores (TD + FG)5925
Score %88.1%75.8%
Touchdowns5114
TD %76.1%42.4%
Field Goals
Attempts2313
Made1412
Pct60.9%92.3%
PAT Kicking
Attempts8623
Made8523
Pct98.8%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts21
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →