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BYU
BYU
CougarsBalancedBig 12 Conference8-5#94 (-2.78)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
31· DOverall
Offense
72· BRating
91· A-Per play
81· BConsistency
95· ABig plays
Defense
9· FRating
7· FPer play
7· FConsistency
Situational
49· CRed-zone O
22· DRed-zone D
96· A3rd down O
23· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.124
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.115
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.140
Defensive EPA/play
+0.117
lower = better
Off Success Rate
49.2%
Def Success Rate
50.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
28.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.024
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.067
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.69
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.38
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.07
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.68
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.16
own return game
Return Defense
-0.62
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#94
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#30
market 64 higher
Recruiting Rank
#56
recruiting 38 spots higher
4 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where BYU ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense86th
Opp-adjusted defense10th
Offensive EPA/play92th
Defensive EPA/play7th
Offensive success rate76th
Explosiveness96th
Defensive havoc4th
Points per drive81th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1North Carolina2022OA +0.207 / -0.152similar: havoc rate, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3742San José State2023OA +0.068 / -0.050similar: turnover rate, run defense, defensive EPA3623Oklahoma2018OA +0.342 / -0.100similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3594West Virginia2024OA +0.027 / -0.079similar: takeaway rate, havoc rate, TD drive rate3555Kansas2022OA +0.219 / -0.086similar: run defense, defensive EPA, defensive success rate351
2022 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ South Florida | 50-21 | W | -12.0 | W | 58.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Baylor | 26-20 | W | -2.5 | W | 53 | U |
| 3 | @ Oregon | 20-41 | L | +3.5 | L | 58 | O |
| 4 | vs Wyoming | 38-24 | W | -24.0 | L | 60 | O |
| 5 | vs Utah State | 38-26 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 6 | @ Notre Dame | 20-28 | L | +4.0 | L | 51 | U |
| 7 | vs Arkansas | 35-52 | L | +1.5 | L | 66 | O |
| 8 | @ Liberty | 14-41 | L | -3.0 | L | 63.5 | U |
| 9 | vs East Carolina | 24-27 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | @ Boise State | 31-28 | W | +7.5 | W | 55.5 | O |
| 12 | vs Utah Tech | 52-26 | W | -38.5 | L | 64.5 | O |
| 13 | @ Stanford | 35-26 | W | -6.5 | W | 57.5 | O |
| 16 | vs SMU | 24-23 | W | +4.0 | W | 64 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
5-8
38.5%
O/U Record
8-5
61.5%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS3-5
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.134 | 92th | +0.109 | 7th |
| Red Zone | +0.003 | 50th | +0.136 | 22th |
| Third Down | +0.490 | 97th | +0.185 | 23th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.143 | 91th | +0.120 | 8th |
| First Half | +0.151 | 89th | +0.125 | 9th |
| Second Half | +0.116 | 89th | +0.091 | 11th |
| Early Downs | +0.132 | 96th | +0.095 | 9th |
| Passing Downs | +0.195 | 88th | +0.223 | 9th |
| Standard Downs | +0.103 | 89th | +0.061 | 16th |
| Goal to Go | +0.195 | 78th | +0.226 | 15th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 47.2%Rush 52.8%
Havoc/Game
9.5
Havoc Rate
13.5%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
16.5
Yards/Game
426.5
Pts/Drive
2.69
3rd Down%
45.2%
3&Out%
18.9%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 13 games — BYU vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | BYU | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 407 | 383 |
| Points / Game | 31.3 | 29.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 285 | 293 |
| Rushing | 122 | 127 |
| Passing | 139 | 138 |
| Penalty | 24 | 28 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 438 | 497 |
| Yards | 2,298 | 2,245 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.2 | 4.5 |
| Yards / Game | 176.8 | 172.7 |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 22 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 392 | 408 |
| Completions | 257 | 273 |
| Completion % | 65.6% | 66.9% |
| Yards | 3,246 | 3,046 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 32 | 25 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 8 |
| Passer Rating | 158.49 | 145.92 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 830 | 905 |
| Yards | 5,544 | 5,291 |
| Yards / Play | 6.7 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 426.5 | 407.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 12 |
| Yards | 127 | 90 |
| Average | 9.8 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 22 | 28 |
| Yards | 450 | 621 |
| Average | 20.5 | 22.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 40 | 46 |
| Yards | 1,847 | 1,934 |
| Average | 46.2 | 42.0 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 7 |
| Yards | 183 | 67 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 11 | 9 |
| Lost | 3 | 4 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 74 | 68 |
| Yards | 692 | 620 |
| Yards / Game | 53.2 | 47.7 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:10 | 30:50 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 157 | 179 |
| Conversions | 71 | 82 |
| Conversion % | 45.2% | 45.8% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 27 |
| Conversions | 8 | 15 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 55.6% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 44 | 60 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 35 | 53 |
| Score % | 79.5% | 88.3% |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 38 |
| TD % | 59.1% | 63.3% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 15 | 19 |
| Made | 10 | 17 |
| Pct | 66.7% | 89.5% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 51 | 42 |
| Made | 49 | 40 |
| Pct | 96.1% | 95.2% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 6 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.