Fourth Down Data
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OU

Oklahoma

SoonersBalanced
Southeastern Conference12-2#11 (+9.49)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

92· A-Overall
Offense
99· A+Rating
99· A+Per play
99· A+Consistency
99· A+Big plays
Defense
19· DRating
2· FPer play
9· FConsistency
Situational
62· CRed-zone O
0· FRed-zone D
98· A+3rd down O
4· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.342
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.100
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.359
Defensive EPA/play
+0.190
lower = better
Off Success Rate
56.8%
Def Success Rate
51.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
32.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.169
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.058
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.93

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.59
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.75
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.78
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.19
own return game
Return Defense
-0.14
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#11
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#4
AP 7 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#11
model & recruiting agree
46 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
100th
Opp-adjusted defense
15th
Offensive EPA/play
100th
Defensive EPA/play
2th
Offensive success rate
100th
Explosiveness
100th
Defensive havoc
29th
Points per drive
100th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1LSU2023OA +0.302 / -0.122similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, rushing offense4112UCLA2022OA +0.171 / -0.041similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, defensive success rate3643USC2023OA +0.112 / -0.071similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3604BYU2022OA +0.124 / -0.115similar: defensive success rate, turnover rate, defensive EPA3595North Carolina2020OA +0.097 / -0.025similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, TD drive rate356

2018 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Florida Atlantic63-14W+14.5W81.5U
2vs UCLA49-21W-31.0L66O
3@ Iowa State37-27W-18.5L54.5O
4vs Army28-21W-30.0L59.5U
5vs Baylor66-33W-21.0W69O
6vs Texas45-48L-7.0L59O
8@ TCU52-27W-8.5W61O
9vs Kansas State51-14W-23.5W63.5O
10@ Texas Tech51-46W-14.0L78.5O
11vs Oklahoma State48-47W-21.0L80O
12vs Kansas55-40W-35.0L69.5O
13@ West Virginia59-56W-3.0P86O
14vs Texas39-27W-9.5W79.5U
18@ Alabama34-45L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7-1
41.7%
O/U Record
10-3
76.9%
Straight Up
11-2
84.6%
Home ATS3-5
Away ATS2-2
Favorite ATS4-7
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
LLLPW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off99thRush Off100thRed Zone Off63th3rd Down Off99thPass Def26thRush Def2thRed Zone Def0th3rd Down Def5th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.331100th+0.2002th
Red Zone+0.06363th+0.4150th
Third Down+0.56299th+0.3895th
No Garbage Time+0.352100th+0.1832th
First Half+0.392100th+0.1866th
Second Half+0.271100th+0.2142th
Early Downs+0.287100th+0.1414th
Passing Downs+0.38799th+0.10426th
Standard Downs+0.308100th+0.2482th
Goal to Go+0.14767th+0.4921th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 43.2%Rush 56.8%
Havoc/Game
12.7
Havoc Rate
16.9%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
18.6
Yards/Game
570.3
Pts/Drive
3.93
3rd Down%
50.7%
3&Out%
10.3%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 14 games — Oklahoma vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahomaOpponents
Scoring
Points677466
Points / Game48.433.3
First Downs
Total369342
Rushing160134
Passing188181
Penalty2127
Rushing
Attempts527548
Yards3,4642,237
Yards / Carry6.64.1
Yards / Game247.4159.8
Touchdowns4233
Passing
Attempts401488
Completions274315
Completion %68.3%64.5%
Yards4,5204,116
Yards / Attempt11.38.4
Touchdowns4328
Interceptions76
Passer Rating194.91151.87
Total Offense
Plays9281,036
Yards7,9846,353
Yards / Play8.66.1
Yards / Game570.3453.8
Punt Returns
Returns196
Yards27621
Average14.53.5
Touchdowns20
Kickoff Returns
Returns3718
Yards841453
Average22.725.2
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts3161
Yards1,2672,424
Average40.939.7
Interception Returns
Returns67
Yards6077
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles99
Lost65
Penalties
Penalties8688
Yards855815
Yards / Game61.158.2
Time of Possession
Per Game28:5831:02
Third Downs
Attempts140207
Conversions7196
Conversion %50.7%46.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1630
Conversions1120
Conversion %68.8%66.7%
Red Zone
Trips6854
Scores (TD + FG)6350
Score %92.6%92.6%
Touchdowns4645
TD %67.6%83.3%
Field Goals
Attempts1914
Made1712
Pct89.5%85.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts8957
Made8854
Pct98.9%94.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts05
Made02
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →