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BYU
BYU
CougarsBalancedBig 12 Conference4-9#107 (-11.72)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
20· DOverall
Offense
9· FRating
4· FPer play
21· DConsistency
2· FBig plays
Defense
44· CRating
58· CPer play
31· DConsistency
Situational
13· FRed-zone O
76· BRed-zone D
19· D3rd down O
53· C3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.196
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.018
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.213
Defensive EPA/play
-0.058
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.2%
Def Success Rate
48.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
21.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.155
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.183
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.38
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.09
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.54
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-1.67
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.14
own return game
Return Defense
+0.18
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#107
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#49
recruiting 58 spots higher
4 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where BYU ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense2th
Opp-adjusted defense59th
Offensive EPA/play5th
Defensive EPA/play59th
Offensive success rate20th
Explosiveness2th
Defensive havoc12th
Points per drive6th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Nevada2025OA -0.138 / -0.050similar: offensive EPA, passing offense, turnover rate4042Texas State2019OA -0.181 / -0.036similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, takeaway rate3903Texas State2017OA -0.190 / -0.057similar: havoc rate, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3304Stanford2025OA -0.085 / +0.028similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, offensive success rate3295Old Dominion2019OA -0.203 / -0.027similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate328
2017 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs Portland State | 20-6 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | @ LSU | 0-27 | L | +15.0 | L | 47 | U |
| 2 | vs Utah | 13-19 | L | +4.5 | L | 46 | U |
| 3 | vs Wisconsin | 6-40 | L | +14.0 | L | 41.5 | O |
| 5 | @ Utah State | 24-40 | L | -1.0 | L | 49.5 | O |
| 6 | vs Boise State | 7-24 | L | +7.0 | L | 46 | U |
| 7 | @ Mississippi State | 10-35 | L | +23.0 | L | 49.5 | U |
| 8 | @ East Carolina | 17-33 | L | -5.0 | L | 54 | U |
| 9 | vs San José State | 41-20 | W | -9.0 | W | 50.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Fresno State | 13-20 | L | +10.0 | W | 48.5 | U |
| 11 | @ UNLV | 31-21 | W | - | - | 49 | O |
| 12 | vs Massachusetts | 10-16 | L | -3.5 | L | 51.5 | U |
| 13 | @ Hawai'i | 30-20 | W | -3.0 | W | 47 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-8
27.3%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS1-4
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS2-3
Underdog ATS1-5
Last 5 ATS
WWLW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.217 | 4th | -0.061 | 62th |
| Red Zone | -0.177 | 13th | -0.141 | 77th |
| Third Down | -0.248 | 20th | -0.039 | 53th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.216 | 5th | -0.074 | 66th |
| First Half | -0.192 | 8th | -0.015 | 48th |
| Second Half | -0.242 | 5th | -0.108 | 77th |
| Early Downs | -0.173 | 5th | -0.034 | 59th |
| Passing Downs | -0.301 | 4th | -0.012 | 48th |
| Standard Downs | -0.171 | 8th | -0.084 | 70th |
| Goal to Go | -0.258 | 18th | -0.375 | 91th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.9%Rush 49.1%
Havoc/Game
10.2
Havoc Rate
14.2%
TO Margin
-0.8
Explosive/G
11.4
Yards/Game
325.2
Pts/Drive
1.38
3rd Down%
35.8%
3&Out%
18.6%
Team Statistics
2017 season totals across 13 games — BYU vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | BYU | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 222 | 321 |
| Points / Game | 17.1 | 24.7 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 215 | 267 |
| Rushing | 87 | 119 |
| Passing | 116 | 135 |
| Penalty | 12 | 13 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 404 | 520 |
| Yards | 1,697 | 1,919 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Yards / Game | 130.5 | 147.6 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 15 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 418 | 386 |
| Completions | 228 | 254 |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 65.8% |
| Yards | 2,530 | 2,928 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.1 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions | 19 | 8 |
| Passer Rating | 106.56 | 141.62 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 822 | 906 |
| Yards | 4,227 | 4,847 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Yards / Game | 325.2 | 372.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 24 | 18 |
| Yards | 118 | 64 |
| Average | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 38 | 32 |
| Yards | 667 | 591 |
| Average | 17.6 | 18.5 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 60 | 56 |
| Yards | 2,572 | 2,570 |
| Average | 42.9 | 45.9 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 8 | 19 |
| Yards | 224 | 334 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 19 |
| Lost | 8 | 9 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 59 | 69 |
| Yards | 509 | 637 |
| Yards / Game | 39.2 | 49.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 27:53 | 32:07 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 179 | 187 |
| Conversions | 64 | 76 |
| Conversion % | 35.8% | 40.6% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 26 | 25 |
| Conversions | 8 | 14 |
| Conversion % | 30.8% | 56.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 38 | 53 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 28 | 44 |
| Score % | 73.7% | 83.0% |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 27 |
| TD % | 44.7% | 50.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 20 | 25 |
| Made | 14 | 21 |
| Pct | 70.0% | 84.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 25 | 36 |
| Made | 24 | 34 |
| Pct | 96.0% | 94.4% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.