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ARIZ
Arizona
WildcatsBalancedBig 12 Conference0-5#119 (-8.14)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
8· FOverall
Offense
5· FRating
6· FPer play
9· FConsistency
11· FBig plays
Defense
27· DRating
13· FPer play
46· CConsistency
Situational
2· FRed-zone O
36· DRed-zone D
20· D3rd down O
29· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.042
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.021
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.205
Defensive EPA/play
+0.138
lower = better
Off Success Rate
42.4%
Def Success Rate
48.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
20.6%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.2%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.343
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.136
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.08
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-1.63
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.12
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.16
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.26
own return game
Return Defense
-1.09
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Arizona ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense11th
Opp-adjusted defense25th
Offensive EPA/play6th
Defensive EPA/play14th
Offensive success rate13th
Explosiveness11th
Defensive havoc2th
Points per drive3th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1New Mexico State2018OA -0.133 / -0.120similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, passing offense3972Syracuse2025OA -0.108 / -0.012similar: offensive success rate, turnover rate, pass defense3733Texas State2019OA -0.181 / -0.036similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3724San José State2017OA -0.187 / -0.129similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, turnover rate3715Northwestern2022OA -0.118 / -0.038similar: turnover rate, rushing offense, offensive EPA352
2020 Schedule & Results
5 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | vs USC | 30-34 | L | +14.3 | W | 67.5 | U |
| 12 | @ Washington | 27-44 | L | +12.0 | L | 53.5 | O |
| 13 | @ UCLA | 10-27 | L | +10.5 | L | 68.75 | U |
| 14 | vs Colorado | 13-24 | L | +7.5 | L | 59.5 | U |
| 15 | vs Arizona State | 7-70 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-4
20.0%
O/U Record
2-3
40.0%
Straight Up
0-5
0.0%
Home ATS1-2
Away ATS0-2
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS1-4
Last 5 ATS
WLLLL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.122 | 9th | +0.136 | 11th |
| Red Zone | -0.572 | 2th | +0.049 | 37th |
| Third Down | -0.112 | 20th | +0.173 | 30th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.172 | 7th | +0.132 | 14th |
| First Half | -0.193 | 7th | +0.204 | 6th |
| Second Half | -0.053 | 30th | +0.066 | 39th |
| Early Downs | -0.066 | 27th | +0.171 | 2th |
| Passing Downs | -0.196 | 11th | +0.136 | 27th |
| Standard Downs | -0.080 | 17th | +0.136 | 9th |
| Goal to Go | -1.456 | 1th | +0.131 | 37th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 50.7%Rush 49.3%
Havoc/Game
8.4
Havoc Rate
11.4%
TO Margin
-1.8
Explosive/G
11.6
Yards/Game
369.4
Pts/Drive
1.08
3rd Down%
32.9%
3&Out%
16.3%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 5 games — Arizona vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Arizona | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 87 | 199 |
| Points / Game | 17.4 | 39.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 106 | 108 |
| Rushing | 50 | 55 |
| Passing | 44 | 43 |
| Penalty | 12 | 10 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 184 | 229 |
| Yards | 782 | 1,353 |
| Yards / Carry | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 156.4 | 270.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 19 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 189 | 122 |
| Completions | 114 | 80 |
| Completion % | 60.3% | 65.6% |
| Yards | 1,065 | 1,012 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.6 | 8.3 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 2 |
| Passer Rating | 110.72 | 148.20 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 373 | 351 |
| Yards | 1,847 | 2,365 |
| Yards / Play | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Yards / Game | 369.4 | 473.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 6 |
| Yards | 35 | 61 |
| Average | 7.0 | 10.2 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 14 | 2 |
| Yards | 239 | 110 |
| Average | 17.1 | 55.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 24 | 19 |
| Yards | 1,033 | 830 |
| Average | 43.0 | 43.7 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 2 | 7 |
| Yards | 15 | 64 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 8 | 3 |
| Lost | 5 | 1 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 34 | 34 |
| Yards | 294 | 301 |
| Yards / Game | 58.8 | 60.2 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 28:01 | 31:46 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 79 | 63 |
| Conversions | 26 | 27 |
| Conversion % | 32.9% | 42.9% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 8 |
| Conversions | 3 | 5 |
| Conversion % | 25.0% | 62.5% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 13 | 28 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 9 | 25 |
| Score % | 69.2% | 89.3% |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 19 |
| TD % | 38.5% | 67.9% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 7 | 9 |
| Made | 6 | 6 |
| Pct | 85.7% | 66.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 10 | 25 |
| Made | 9 | 25 |
| Pct | 90.0% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 0 | 1 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.