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ASU
Arizona State
Sun DevilsRun-HeavyBig 12 Conference2-2#27 (+5.52)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
79· BOverall
Offense
84· BRating
94· APer play
46· CConsistency
72· BBig plays
Defense
67· CRating
76· BPer play
59· CConsistency
Situational
87· BRed-zone O
74· BRed-zone D
91· A-3rd down O
27· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.031
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.014
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.209
Defensive EPA/play
-0.053
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.0%
Def Success Rate
45.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.262
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.067
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.10
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+1.70
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.55
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.47
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.60
own return game
Return Defense
+0.07
vs opponent returns
Peer Context
Where Arizona State ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense82th
Opp-adjusted defense66th
Offensive EPA/play95th
Defensive EPA/play77th
Offensive success rate67th
Explosiveness73th
Defensive havoc63th
Points per drive90th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1App State2017OA -0.032 / +0.085similar: run defense, turnover rate, defensive EPA3392App State2019OA +0.054 / +0.099similar: run defense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3323Louisiana2020OA +0.039 / +0.022similar: rushing offense, takeaway rate, defensive EPA3314Alabama2019OA +0.262 / +0.129similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3255Army2018OA +0.131 / +0.059similar: offensive EPA, run defense, TD drive rate322
2020 Schedule & Results
4 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | @ USC | 27-28 | L | +10.5 | W | 58 | U |
| 14 | vs UCLA | 18-25 | L | -10.0 | W | 55.25 | O |
| 15 | @ Arizona | 70-7 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 16 | @ Oregon State | 46-33 | W | -7.0 | W | 54 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
3-1
75.0%
O/U Record
2-2
50.0%
Straight Up
2-2
50.0%
Home ATS0-1
Away ATS3-0
Favorite ATS2-1
Underdog ATS1-0
Last 5 ATS
WLWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.207 | 96th | -0.071 | 83th |
| Red Zone | +0.255 | 88th | -0.111 | 75th |
| Third Down | +0.413 | 92th | +0.183 | 27th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.197 | 95th | -0.030 | 67th |
| First Half | +0.222 | 93th | -0.051 | 74th |
| Second Half | +0.194 | 93th | -0.092 | 80th |
| Early Downs | +0.125 | 90th | -0.098 | 81th |
| Passing Downs | +0.253 | 90th | -0.061 | 77th |
| Standard Downs | +0.185 | 94th | -0.075 | 78th |
| Goal to Go | +0.226 | 77th | -0.814 | 99th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 34.5%Rush 65.5%
Havoc/Game
16.3
Havoc Rate
19.8%
TO Margin
+2.0
Explosive/G
13.3
Yards/Game
458.5
Pts/Drive
3.10
3rd Down%
46.7%
3&Out%
12.8%
Team Statistics
2020 season totals across 4 games — Arizona State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Arizona State | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 161 | 93 |
| Points / Game | 40.3 | 23.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 81 | 93 |
| Rushing | 43 | 49 |
| Passing | 30 | 40 |
| Penalty | 8 | 4 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 165 | 164 |
| Yards | 1,057 | 733 |
| Yards / Carry | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Yards / Game | 264.3 | 183.3 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 7 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 87 | 158 |
| Completions | 51 | 100 |
| Completion % | 58.6% | 63.3% |
| Yards | 777 | 1,010 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.9 | 6.4 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 150.31 | 123.19 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 252 | 322 |
| Yards | 1,834 | 1,743 |
| Yards / Play | 7.3 | 5.4 |
| Yards / Game | 458.5 | 435.8 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 4 |
| Yards | 35 | 28 |
| Average | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 14 |
| Yards | 303 | 267 |
| Average | 33.7 | 19.1 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 14 | 14 |
| Yards | 661 | 549 |
| Average | 47.2 | 39.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 1 |
| Yards | 12 | 21 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 8 | 9 |
| Lost | 4 | 8 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 28 | 24 |
| Yards | 218 | 205 |
| Yards / Game | 54.5 | 51.3 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:01 | 30:43 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 45 | 69 |
| Conversions | 21 | 31 |
| Conversion % | 46.7% | 44.9% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 6 | 16 |
| Conversions | 2 | 8 |
| Conversion % | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 15 | 17 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 13 | 14 |
| Score % | 86.7% | 82.4% |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 13 |
| TD % | 80.0% | 76.5% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 5 | 1 |
| Made | 3 | 1 |
| Pct | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 8 |
| Made | 18 | 8 |
| Pct | 94.7% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 4 |
| Made | 0 | 2 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.