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AKR
Akron
ZipsBalancedMid-American Conference2-10#123 (-7.19)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
10· FOverall
Offense
19· DRating
26· DPer play
35· DConsistency
48· CBig plays
Defense
21· DRating
32· DPer play
48· CConsistency
Situational
25· DRed-zone O
49· CRed-zone D
42· C3rd down O
40· C3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.103
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.081
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.093
Defensive EPA/play
+0.025
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.2%
Def Success Rate
46.6%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
23.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
22.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.118
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.079
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.74
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.55
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.75
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.43
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.29
own return game
Return Defense
+0.34
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#123
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#129
model 6 higher
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 48 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense21th
Opp-adjusted defense16th
Offensive EPA/play27th
Defensive EPA/play33th
Offensive success rate26th
Explosiveness49th
Defensive havoc15th
Points per drive26th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Arkansas State2025OA -0.117 / -0.043similar: passing offense, run defense, pass defense3862Colorado State2018OA -0.056 / -0.133similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, takeaway rate3773Middle Tennessee2017OA -0.076 / -0.008similar: takeaway rate, passing offense, offensive success rate3724Middle Tennessee2023OA -0.089 / -0.016similar: run defense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA3475Tennessee2020OA -0.035 / -0.016similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, pass defense341
2022 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis (PA) | 30-23 | W | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | @ Michigan State | 0-52 | L | +34.5 | L | 56 | U |
| 3 | @ Tennessee | 6-63 | L | +47.0 | L | 67.25 | O |
| 4 | @ Liberty | 12-21 | L | +26.5 | W | 53.5 | U |
| 5 | vs Bowling Green | 28-31 | L | +9.5 | W | 51.5 | O |
| 6 | @ Ohio | 34-55 | L | +10.0 | L | 59 | O |
| 7 | vs Central Michigan | 21-28 | L | +13.5 | W | 59 | U |
| 8 | @ Kent State | 27-33 | L | +18.5 | W | 68 | U |
| 9 | vs Miami (OH) | 9-27 | L | +8.0 | L | 50 | U |
| 11 | vs Eastern Michigan | 28-34 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | @ Northern Illinois | 44-12 | W | +11.0 | W | 55 | U |
| 14 | @ Buffalo | 22-23 | L | - | - | - | - |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-4
63.6%
O/U Record
5-6
45.5%
Straight Up
2-10
16.7%
Home ATS3-1
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS7-4
Last 5 ATS
WLWWW
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.081 | 27th | +0.026 | 30th |
| Red Zone | -0.133 | 25th | -0.032 | 50th |
| Third Down | +0.031 | 42th | +0.101 | 41th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.107 | 24th | +0.029 | 30th |
| First Half | -0.110 | 25th | +0.098 | 15th |
| Second Half | -0.052 | 39th | -0.052 | 61th |
| Early Downs | -0.053 | 36th | +0.014 | 33th |
| Passing Downs | -0.104 | 27th | +0.080 | 26th |
| Standard Downs | -0.068 | 27th | -0.001 | 41th |
| Goal to Go | -0.085 | 41th | +0.047 | 39th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 57.4%Rush 42.6%
Havoc/Game
10.8
Havoc Rate
14.8%
TO Margin
-1.1
Explosive/G
15.0
Yards/Game
372.6
Pts/Drive
1.74
3rd Down%
34.9%
3&Out%
20.1%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 12 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Akron | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 261 | 402 |
| Points / Game | 21.8 | 33.5 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 274 | 253 |
| Rushing | 78 | 111 |
| Passing | 168 | 118 |
| Penalty | 28 | 24 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 373 | 458 |
| Yards | 1,075 | 1,949 |
| Yards / Carry | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| Yards / Game | 89.6 | 162.4 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 25 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 502 | 355 |
| Completions | 323 | 213 |
| Completion % | 64.3% | 60.0% |
| Yards | 3,396 | 2,925 |
| Yards / Attempt | 6.8 | 8.2 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions | 12 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 126.25 | 144.59 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 875 | 813 |
| Yards | 4,471 | 4,874 |
| Yards / Play | 5.1 | 6.0 |
| Yards / Game | 372.6 | 406.2 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 19 | 18 |
| Yards | 116 | 141 |
| Average | 6.1 | 7.8 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 43 | 36 |
| Yards | 927 | 681 |
| Average | 21.6 | 18.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 61 | 54 |
| Yards | 2,478 | 2,441 |
| Average | 40.6 | 45.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 12 |
| Yards | 151 | 163 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 21 | 9 |
| Lost | 13 | 3 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 81 | 95 |
| Yards | 732 | 779 |
| Yards / Game | 61.0 | 64.9 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 30:29 | 29:29 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 172 | 161 |
| Conversions | 60 | 57 |
| Conversion % | 34.9% | 35.4% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 23 | 24 |
| Conversions | 11 | 17 |
| Conversion % | 47.8% | 70.8% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 43 | 53 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 37 | 45 |
| Score % | 86.0% | 84.9% |
| Touchdowns | 24 | 33 |
| TD % | 55.8% | 62.3% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 22 |
| Made | 13 | 16 |
| Pct | 61.9% | 72.7% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 29 | 49 |
| Made | 28 | 48 |
| Pct | 96.6% | 98.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 3 | 2 |
| Made | 0 | 0 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.