Fourth Down Data
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AKR

Akron

ZipsRun-Heavy
Mid-American Conference1-5#121 (-8.46)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

6· FOverall
Offense
12· FRating
10· FPer play
19· DConsistency
56· CBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
2· FPer play
12· FConsistency
Situational
63· CRed-zone O
19· DRed-zone D
68· C3rd down O
4· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.035
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.037
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.147
Defensive EPA/play
+0.219
lower = better
Off Success Rate
41.9%
Def Success Rate
50.4%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.366
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.065
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.44

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.49
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.87
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.37
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.15
own return game
Return Defense
+0.16
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#121
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#110
market 11 higher
Recruiting Rank
—
no recruiting profile

Peer Context

Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2020 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
14th
Opp-adjusted defense
15th
Offensive EPA/play
10th
Defensive EPA/play
2th
Offensive success rate
12th
Explosiveness
57th
Defensive havoc
0th
Points per drive
11th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Kent State2024OA -0.089 / -0.075similar: defensive EPA, havoc rate, pass defense3622Colorado2022OA -0.222 / -0.093similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, havoc rate3563Utah State2020OA -0.039 / -0.053similar: defensive EPA, takeaway rate, offensive EPA3494Vanderbilt2020OA -0.024 / -0.050similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, pass defense3455Virginia Tech2025OA -0.015 / -0.060similar: pass defense, TD drive rate, defensive success rate339

2020 Schedule & Results

6 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
10vs Western Michigan13-58L+27.5W59.5U
11@ Ohio10-24L+22.5L--
12@ Kent State35-69L----
13vs Miami (OH)7-38L+14.0L55.5U
14vs Bowling Green31-3W-2.8W57U
15@ Buffalo7-56L+33.0L58.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
2-4
33.3%
O/U Record
2-3
40.0%
Straight Up
1-5
16.7%
Home ATS1-2
Away ATS1-2
Favorite ATS1-0
Underdog ATS1-4
Last 5 ATS
WLLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off9thRush Off14thRed Zone Off64th3rd Down Off69thPass Def2thRush Def16thRed Zone Def20th3rd Down Def4th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1427th+0.1616th
Red Zone+0.06164th+0.13820th
Third Down+0.20369th+0.4824th
No Garbage Time-0.1658th+0.2321th
First Half-0.06727th+0.2761th
Second Half-0.2282th+0.05243th
Early Downs-0.1219th+0.06822th
Passing Downs-0.2169th+0.2862th
Standard Downs-0.09314th+0.10816th
Goal to Go+0.38088th+0.34311th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.1%Rush 58.9%
Havoc/Game
6.3
Havoc Rate
9.7%
TO Margin
-0.5
Explosive/G
11.0
Yards/Game
281.2
Pts/Drive
1.44
3rd Down%
33.3%
3&Out%
19.2%

Team Statistics

2020 season totals across 6 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatAkronOpponents
Scoring
Points103248
Points / Game17.241.3
First Downs
Total95124
Rushing4268
Passing4049
Penalty137
Rushing
Attempts212238
Yards8491,489
Yards / Carry4.06.3
Yards / Game141.5248.2
Touchdowns819
Passing
Attempts148127
Completions8385
Completion %56.1%66.9%
Yards8381,270
Yards / Attempt5.710.0
Touchdowns412
Interceptions62
Passer Rating104.45178.96
Total Offense
Plays360365
Yards1,6872,759
Yards / Play4.77.6
Yards / Game281.2459.8
Punt Returns
Returns320
Yards-8144
Average-2.77.2
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns2516
Yards496340
Average19.821.3
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3317
Yards1,270576
Average38.533.9
Interception Returns
Returns26
Yards44179
Touchdowns02
Fumbles
Fumbles75
Lost34
Penalties
Penalties2438
Yards190374
Yards / Game31.762.3
Time of Possession
Per Game30:3529:26
Third Downs
Attempts7873
Conversions2639
Conversion %33.3%53.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts97
Conversions44
Conversion %44.4%57.1%
Red Zone
Trips1427
Scores (TD + FG)1221
Score %85.7%77.8%
Touchdowns920
TD %64.3%74.1%
Field Goals
Attempts67
Made44
Pct66.7%57.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts1333
Made1332
Pct100.0%97.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts01
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →