Fourth Down Data
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KENT

Kent State

Golden FlashesBalanced
Mid-American Conference0-12#135 (-18.94)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

0· FOverall
Offense
1· FRating
0· FPer play
1· FConsistency
0· FBig plays
Defense
1· FRating
1· FPer play
4· FConsistency
Situational
38· DRed-zone O
24· DRed-zone D
1· F3rd down O
15· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.089
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.075
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.276
Defensive EPA/play
+0.170
lower = better
Off Success Rate
38.2%
Def Success Rate
49.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
18.3%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.446
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.051
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.99

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-2.23
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.41
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.50
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.04
own return game
Return Defense
-0.28
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#135
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#134
market 1 higher
Recruiting Rank
#80
recruiting 55 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Kent State ranks among all FBS teams in 2024 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
0th
Opp-adjusted defense
2th
Offensive EPA/play
0th
Defensive EPA/play
1th
Offensive success rate
1th
Explosiveness
0th
Defensive havoc
1th
Points per drive
0th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Southern Miss2024OA -0.070 / -0.059similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA4152Colorado2022OA -0.222 / -0.093similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, pass defense3853Utah State2020OA -0.039 / -0.053similar: defensive EPA, pass defense, offensive success rate3804Akron2020OA -0.035 / -0.037similar: defensive EPA, havoc rate, pass defense3625UTEP2017OA -0.268 / -0.112similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, TD drive rate352

2024 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Pittsburgh24-55L+24.0L55.5O
2vs Saint Francis (PA)17-23L----
3@ Tennessee0-71L+49.0L62.5O
4@ Penn State0-56L+49.0L55.5O
5vs Eastern Michigan33-52L+14.0L45.5O
7vs Ball State35-37L+6.5W59.5O
8@ Bowling Green6-27L+20.5L55.5U
9@ Western Michigan21-52L+17.0L59.5O
11vs Ohio0-41L+30.3W46.5U
12@ Miami (OH)7-34L+10.0L49.5O
13vs Akron17-38L+23.5L49.5O
14@ Buffalo7-43L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
2-9
18.2%
O/U Record
8-3
72.7%
Straight Up
0-12
0.0%
Home ATS1-3
Away ATS1-6
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS2-9
Last 5 ATS
LLWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off1thRush Off6thRed Zone Off39th3rd Down Off1thPass Def12thRush Def6thRed Zone Def24th3rd Down Def15th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.1991th+0.1313th
Red Zone-0.04739th+0.11224th
Third Down-0.3881th+0.27415th
No Garbage Time-0.2480th+0.1911th
First Half-0.2791th+0.2321th
Second Half-0.12010th+0.00150th
Early Downs-0.06425th+0.1144th
Passing Downs-0.2821th+0.16812th
Standard Downs-0.1356th+0.1146th
Goal to Go+0.28288th+0.17616th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 42.9%Rush 57.1%
Havoc/Game
9.7
Havoc Rate
12.5%
TO Margin
-0.8
Explosive/G
7.3
Yards/Game
233.3
Pts/Drive
0.99
3rd Down%
18.8%
3&Out%
36.6%

Team Statistics

2024 season totals across 12 games — Kent State vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatKent StateOpponents
Scoring
Points167529
Points / Game13.944.1
First Downs
Total156317
Rushing61159
Passing70136
Penalty2522
Rushing
Attempts391539
Yards9233,179
Yards / Carry2.45.9
Yards / Game76.9264.9
Touchdowns336
Passing
Attempts294346
Completions139226
Completion %47.3%65.3%
Yards1,8763,013
Yards / Attempt6.48.7
Touchdowns1827
Interceptions134
Passer Rating112.24161.91
Total Offense
Plays685885
Yards2,7996,192
Yards / Play4.17.0
Yards / Game233.3516.0
Punt Returns
Returns426
Yards45420
Average11.316.2
Touchdowns02
Kickoff Returns
Returns3315
Yards613376
Average18.625.1
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts8338
Yards3,4691,490
Average41.839.2
Interception Returns
Returns413
Yards7376
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles2112
Lost77
Penalties
Penalties5971
Yards429675
Yards / Game35.856.3
Time of Possession
Per Game26:6033:00
Third Downs
Attempts154163
Conversions2978
Conversion %18.8%47.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2115
Conversions88
Conversion %38.1%53.3%
Red Zone
Trips1764
Scores (TD + FG)1358
Score %76.5%90.6%
Touchdowns944
TD %52.9%68.8%
Field Goals
Attempts926
Made522
Pct55.6%84.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2063
Made2063
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts23
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →