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UConn

HuskiesRun-Heavy
FBS Independents1-11#133 (-17.00)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

0· FOverall
Offense
38· DRating
67· CPer play
43· CConsistency
90· A-Big plays
Defense
0· FRating
0· FPer play
0· FConsistency
Situational
93· ARed-zone O
8· FRed-zone D
75· B3rd down O
2· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.006
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.392
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.044
Defensive EPA/play
+0.398
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.7%
Def Success Rate
56.5%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
33.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.354
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.001
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.16

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.78
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.68
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.78
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.10
own return game
Return Defense
-0.21
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#133
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#77
recruiting 56 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UConn ranks among all FBS teams in 2018 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
42th
Opp-adjusted defense
0th
Offensive EPA/play
67th
Defensive EPA/play
0th
Offensive success rate
43th
Explosiveness
91th
Defensive havoc
1th
Points per drive
45th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1South Florida2022OA +0.076 / -0.176similar: defensive EPA, run defense, offensive EPA4132Louisiana2017OA -0.058 / -0.169similar: offensive success rate, offensive EPA, defensive success rate3543Texas State2020OA -0.012 / -0.051similar: TD drive rate, havoc rate, offensive success rate3514Arizona2019OA -0.007 / -0.040similar: offensive EPA, defensive success rate, havoc rate3435Temple2023OA -0.116 / -0.146similar: turnover rate, havoc rate, pass defense342

2018 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs UCF17-56L+24.0L70O
2@ Boise State7-62L+34.0L63.5O
3vs Rhode Island56-49W----
4@ Syracuse21-51L+30.5W74.5U
5vs Cincinnati7-49L+15.5L62.5U
6@ Memphis14-55L+36.0L77.5U
8@ South Florida30-38L+33.0W67.5O
9vs Massachusetts17-22L+3.5L63.5U
10@ Tulsa19-49L+18.5L60O
11vs SMU50-62L+18.0W66O
12@ East Carolina21-55L+17.0L71.5O
13vs Temple7-57L+30.5L68U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
3-8
27.3%
O/U Record
6-5
54.5%
Straight Up
1-11
8.3%
Home ATS1-4
Away ATS2-4
Favorite ATS0-0
Underdog ATS3-8
Last 5 ATS
LLWLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off64thRush Off46thRed Zone Off94th3rd Down Off76thPass Def1thRush Def0thRed Zone Def8th3rd Down Def2th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.01052th+0.3300th
Red Zone+0.25794th+0.2758th
Third Down+0.17176th+0.5542th
No Garbage Time+0.02860th+0.3870th
First Half+0.01049th+0.3850th
Second Half+0.01050th+0.2700th
Early Downs-0.04727th+0.2950th
Passing Downs+0.04364th+0.3391th
Standard Downs-0.00846th+0.3260th
Goal to Go+0.20977th+0.07552th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 41.2%Rush 58.8%
Havoc/Game
7.9
Havoc Rate
10.9%
TO Margin
-1.4
Explosive/G
13.2
Yards/Game
378.4
Pts/Drive
2.16
3rd Down%
42.4%
3&Out%
22.0%

Team Statistics

2018 season totals across 12 games — UConn vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUConnOpponents
Scoring
Points266605
Points / Game22.250.4
First Downs
Total250325
Rushing128179
Passing93134
Penalty2912
Rushing
Attempts500524
Yards2,3944,020
Yards / Carry4.87.7
Yards / Game199.5335.0
Touchdowns1645
Passing
Attempts351317
Completions199227
Completion %56.7%71.6%
Yards2,1473,389
Yards / Attempt6.110.7
Touchdowns2033
Interceptions175
Passer Rating117.19192.61
Total Offense
Plays851841
Yards4,5417,409
Yards / Play5.38.8
Yards / Game378.4617.4
Punt Returns
Returns321
Yards14218
Average4.710.4
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns4833
Yards871796
Average18.124.1
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts6328
Yards2,7051,145
Average42.940.9
Interception Returns
Returns517
Yards11137
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1712
Lost116
Penalties
Penalties5579
Yards494814
Yards / Game41.267.8
Time of Possession
Per Game31:4328:17
Third Downs
Attempts177130
Conversions7565
Conversion %42.4%50.0%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2419
Conversions1313
Conversion %54.2%68.4%
Red Zone
Trips3567
Scores (TD + FG)2662
Score %74.3%92.5%
Touchdowns2650
TD %74.3%74.6%
Field Goals
Attempts917
Made614
Pct66.7%82.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3480
Made3277
Pct94.1%96.3%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts21
Made00
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →