Fourth Down Data
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UAB

UAB

BlazersRun-Heavy
American Conference9-4#42 (+4.06)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

68· COverall
Offense
80· BRating
75· BPer play
60· CConsistency
83· BBig plays
Defense
56· CRating
63· CPer play
86· BConsistency
Situational
58· CRed-zone O
19· DRed-zone D
74· B3rd down O
69· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.088
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.022
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.067
Defensive EPA/play
-0.049
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.4%
Def Success Rate
42.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.8%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.116
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.109
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.50

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.10
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.31
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.21
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.54
own return game
Return Defense
+0.54
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#42
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#49
model 7 higher
Recruiting Rank
#72
model 30 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where UAB ranks among all FBS teams in 2021 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
80th
Opp-adjusted defense
61th
Offensive EPA/play
76th
Defensive EPA/play
63th
Offensive success rate
53th
Explosiveness
83th
Defensive havoc
71th
Points per drive
68th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Toledo2023OA +0.030 / +0.045similar: TD drive rate, defensive success rate, takeaway rate3532South Alabama2022OA -0.002 / +0.058similar: run defense, defensive success rate, passing offense3413Penn State2026OA +0.030 / +0.032similar: havoc rate, turnover rate, offensive EPA3354San Diego State2017OA +0.025 / +0.065similar: takeaway rate, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3235Baylor2019OA +0.062 / +0.147similar: run defense, turnover rate, rushing offense323

2021 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Jacksonville State31-0W----
2@ Georgia7-56L+28.0L45.5O
3@ North Texas40-6W-13.0W57U
4@ Tulane28-21W+3.0W54.5U
5vs Liberty12-36L-2.0L49.5U
6vs Florida Atlantic31-14W-4.0W49U
7@ Southern Miss34-0W-16.0W43U
8vs Rice24-30L-23.0L45O
10vs Louisiana Tech52-38W-13.5W49.5O
11@ Marshall21-14W+5.0W54.5U
12@ UTSA31-34L-13.5W50O
13vs UTEP42-25W----
16@ BYU31-28W+7.0W54.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
10-3
76.9%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
9-4
69.2%
Home ATS3-2
Away ATS7-1
Favorite ATS6-2
Underdog ATS4-1
Last 5 ATS
WWWWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off62thRush Off62thRed Zone Off59th3rd Down Off74thPass Def41thRush Def92thRed Zone Def19th3rd Down Def70th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.03859th-0.06876th
Red Zone+0.01659th+0.13919th
Third Down+0.20674th-0.02570th
No Garbage Time+0.06775th-0.06574th
First Half+0.10583th-0.07671th
Second Half-0.03037th-0.05967th
Early Downs-0.01945th-0.13695th
Passing Downs+0.03962th+0.02341th
Standard Downs+0.03762th-0.12292th
Goal to Go+0.05565th-0.10965th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 35.8%Rush 64.2%
Havoc/Game
13.8
Havoc Rate
20.2%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
13.6
Yards/Game
386.5
Pts/Drive
2.50
3rd Down%
41.6%
3&Out%
25.4%

Team Statistics

2021 season totals across 13 games — UAB vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatUABOpponents
Scoring
Points384302
Points / Game29.523.2
First Downs
Total233235
Rushing11884
Passing100110
Penalty1541
Rushing
Attempts513448
Yards2,3421,449
Yards / Carry4.63.2
Yards / Game180.2111.5
Touchdowns2716
Passing
Attempts286403
Completions182236
Completion %63.6%58.6%
Yards2,6832,825
Yards / Attempt9.47.0
Touchdowns2024
Interceptions1010
Passer Rating158.52132.13
Total Offense
Plays799851
Yards5,0254,274
Yards / Play6.35.0
Yards / Game386.5328.8
Punt Returns
Returns1214
Yards125110
Average10.47.9
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns1728
Yards259522
Average15.218.6
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5970
Yards2,5252,924
Average42.841.8
Interception Returns
Returns1010
Yards21891
Touchdowns21
Fumbles
Fumbles1418
Lost710
Penalties
Penalties11576
Yards1,117645
Yards / Game85.949.6
Time of Possession
Per Game31:5128:05
Third Downs
Attempts166180
Conversions6964
Conversion %41.6%35.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1427
Conversions1014
Conversion %71.4%51.9%
Red Zone
Trips4640
Scores (TD + FG)3935
Score %84.8%87.5%
Touchdowns3031
TD %65.2%77.5%
Field Goals
Attempts168
Made116
Pct68.8%75.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts5038
Made4936
Pct98.0%94.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts03
Made01
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →