Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
TA&M

Texas A&M

AggiesBalanced
Southeastern Conference5-7#56 (+1.87)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

59· COverall
Offense
23· DRating
28· DPer play
24· DConsistency
39· DBig plays
Defense
89· BRating
66· CPer play
70· BConsistency
Situational
65· CRed-zone O
74· BRed-zone D
28· D3rd down O
54· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.058
Opp-Adj Defense
+0.086
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.092
Defensive EPA/play
-0.061
lower = better
Off Success Rate
43.2%
Def Success Rate
43.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.031
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.013
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.70

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.43
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.14
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.56
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.02
own return game
Return Defense
-0.24
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#56
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#47
market 9 higher
Recruiting Rank
#3
recruiting 53 spots higher
68 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Texas A&M ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
33th
Opp-adjusted defense
83th
Offensive EPA/play
29th
Defensive EPA/play
67th
Offensive success rate
26th
Explosiveness
39th
Defensive havoc
36th
Points per drive
26th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Western Kentucky2020OA -0.056 / +0.022similar: run defense, passing offense, defensive EPA3812Wisconsin2023OA -0.012 / +0.055similar: offensive EPA, pass defense, takeaway rate3743Marshall2019OA -0.070 / -0.000similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, havoc rate3664Wisconsin2024OA -0.031 / +0.002similar: turnover rate, TD drive rate, passing offense3635Michigan2026OA -0.056 / +0.027similar: passing offense, pass defense, havoc rate360

2022 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Sam Houston31-0W-30.5W48U
2vs App State14-17L-18.5L54U
3vs Miami17-9W-6.0W44.5U
4vs Arkansas23-21W-2.0P48.5U
5@ Mississippi State24-42L+3.5L45O
6@ Alabama20-24L+24.0W48U
8@ South Carolina24-30L-3.0L44.5O
9vs Ole Miss28-31L+2.0L54.5O
10vs Florida24-41L-3.5L54O
11@ Auburn10-13L+2.0L48.5U
12vs Massachusetts20-3W-33.5L47.5U
13vs LSU38-23W+10.0W47.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-7-1
36.4%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS1-3
Favorite ATS2-4
Underdog ATS2-3
Last 5 ATS
LLLLW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off7thRush Off58thRed Zone Off66th3rd Down Off28thPass Def47thRush Def75thRed Zone Def75th3rd Down Def54th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.07530th-0.06268th
Red Zone+0.08166th-0.16375th
Third Down-0.04228th+0.03954th
No Garbage Time-0.09227th-0.07067th
First Half-0.04939th-0.06467th
Second Half-0.10124th-0.05866th
Early Downs+0.01160th-0.11485th
Passing Downs-0.2187th-0.01247th
Standard Downs+0.00658th-0.09275th
Goal to Go+0.16176th-0.47694th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 51.7%Rush 48.3%
Havoc/Game
12.5
Havoc Rate
17.2%
TO Margin
-0.1
Explosive/G
13.9
Yards/Game
361.2
Pts/Drive
1.70
3rd Down%
35.9%
3&Out%
22.2%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 12 games — Texas A&M vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatTexas A&MOpponents
Scoring
Points273254
Points / Game22.821.2
First Downs
Total234249
Rushing94129
Passing11095
Penalty3025
Rushing
Attempts366520
Yards1,7012,508
Yards / Carry4.64.8
Yards / Game141.8209.0
Touchdowns1213
Passing
Attempts391327
Completions220184
Completion %56.3%56.3%
Yards2,6331,874
Yards / Attempt6.75.7
Touchdowns1815
Interceptions64
Passer Rating124.95117.10
Total Offense
Plays757847
Yards4,3344,382
Yards / Play5.75.2
Yards / Game361.2365.2
Punt Returns
Returns2214
Yards12158
Average5.54.1
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns236
Yards510200
Average22.233.3
Touchdowns11
Punting
Punts6261
Yards2,5882,521
Average41.741.3
Interception Returns
Returns46
Yards13154
Touchdowns01
Fumbles
Fumbles1820
Lost1112
Penalties
Penalties7684
Yards589731
Yards / Game49.160.9
Time of Possession
Per Game27:5232:08
Third Downs
Attempts153174
Conversions5562
Conversion %35.9%35.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1122
Conversions411
Conversion %36.4%50.0%
Red Zone
Trips3844
Scores (TD + FG)3432
Score %89.5%72.7%
Touchdowns2322
TD %60.5%50.0%
Field Goals
Attempts2022
Made1413
Pct70.0%59.1%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3130
Made3129
Pct100.0%96.7%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts21
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →