Fourth Down Data
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STAN

Stanford

CardinalBalanced
Atlantic Coast Conference3-9#125 (-7.59)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

8· FOverall
Offense
32· DRating
28· DPer play
14· FConsistency
39· DBig plays
Defense
4· FRating
2· FPer play
2· FConsistency
Situational
18· DRed-zone O
3· FRed-zone D
39· D3rd down O
0· F3rd down D
How grades work →

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.14
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.51
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.49
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.13
own return game
Return Defense
-0.03
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#125
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
Market (Vegas)
#132
model 7 higher
Recruiting Rank
#29
recruiting 96 spots higher
17 blue-chip recruits

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

No recruiting profile for this team-season.

2023 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Hawai'i37-24W----
2@ USC10-56L+29.0L69.5U
3vs Sacramento State23-30L-6.5L60.5U
4vs Arizona20-21L+12.5W61U
5vs Oregon6-42L+27.0L61U
7@ Colorado46-43W----
8vs UCLA7-42L+17.0L54U
9vs Washington33-42L+26.5W59.5O
10@ Washington State10-7W+13.0W59.5U
11@ Oregon State17-62L+21.0L54.5O
12vs California15-27L+6.5L55.5U
13vs Notre Dame23-56L+26.0L51.5O

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
5-7
41.7%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS1-1
Underdog ATS4-6
Last 5 ATS
WWLLL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off50thRush Off20thRed Zone Off18th3rd Down Off39thPass Def1thRush Def11thRed Zone Def3th3rd Down Def0th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.03334th+0.1702th
Red Zone-0.16718th+0.2933th
Third Down+0.15839th+0.6520th
No Garbage Time-0.04630th+0.1862th
First Half-0.11113th+0.2382th
Second Half+0.04568th+0.09719th
Early Downs-0.09324th+0.0829th
Passing Downs+0.05350th+0.3551th
Standard Downs-0.08520th+0.08911th
Goal to Go+0.03351th+0.27617th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.0%Rush 0.0%
Havoc/Game
9.2
Havoc Rate
-
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
12.8
Yards/Game
351.6
Pts/Drive
-
3rd Down%
36.1%
3&Out%
-

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 12 games — Stanford vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatStanfordOpponents
Scoring
Points247452
Points / Game20.637.7
First Downs
Total235303
Rushing82126
Passing121158
Penalty3219
Rushing
Attempts413420
Yards1,4231,964
Yards / Carry3.44.7
Yards / Game118.6163.7
Touchdowns1529
Passing
Attempts425423
Completions233280
Completion %54.8%66.2%
Yards2,7963,576
Yards / Attempt6.68.5
Touchdowns1132
Interceptions108
Passer Rating113.92158.39
Total Offense
Plays838843
Yards4,2195,540
Yards / Play5.06.6
Yards / Game351.6461.7
Punt Returns
Returns715
Yards48150
Average6.910.0
Touchdowns01
Kickoff Returns
Returns1810
Yards276188
Average15.318.8
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5444
Yards2,2501,898
Average41.743.1
Interception Returns
Returns810
Yards49103
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles165
Lost53
Penalties
Penalties7780
Yards709740
Yards / Game59.161.7
Time of Possession
Per Game31:1728:40
Third Downs
Attempts183154
Conversions6679
Conversion %36.1%51.3%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2721
Conversions913
Conversion %33.3%61.9%
Red Zone
Trips3554
Scores (TD + FG)3144
Score %88.6%81.5%
Touchdowns1841
TD %51.4%75.9%
Field Goals
Attempts279
Made234
Pct85.2%44.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts2259
Made2258
Pct100.0%98.3%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts44
Made02
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →