Fourth Down Data
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SC

South Carolina

GamecocksBalanced
Southeastern Conference8-5#28 (+5.04)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

79· BOverall
Offense
65· CRating
58· CPer play
51· CConsistency
31· DBig plays
Defense
37· DRating
24· DPer play
21· DConsistency
Situational
70· BRed-zone O
38· DRed-zone D
65· C3rd down O
34· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.060
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.033
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.014
Defensive EPA/play
+0.045
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.5%
Def Success Rate
48.7%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.031
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.139
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.37

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+4.61
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.33
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+1.44
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+1.45
own return game
Return Defense
+0.39
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#28
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#23
AP 5 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
#77
model 49 higher
Recruiting Rank
#26
recruiting 2 spots higher
18 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where South Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
71th
Opp-adjusted defense
38th
Offensive EPA/play
59th
Defensive EPA/play
25th
Offensive success rate
54th
Explosiveness
31th
Defensive havoc
26th
Points per drive
62th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Georgia Southern2024OA -0.003 / -0.012similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, takeaway rate3902Western Kentucky2023OA +0.064 / -0.027similar: run defense, defensive success rate, passing offense3523Arkansas State2019OA +0.036 / -0.048similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, havoc rate3454Mississippi State2025OA +0.008 / -0.047similar: run defense, defensive success rate, offensive success rate3435Eastern Michigan2022OA +0.042 / -0.141similar: takeaway rate, defensive EPA, rushing offense342

2022 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Georgia State35-14W-12.5W56.5U
2@ Arkansas30-44L+9.0L54.5O
3vs Georgia7-48L+25.0L55P
4vs Charlotte56-20W-22.5W66.5O
5vs South Carolina State50-10W----
6@ Kentucky24-14W+6.0W46U
8vs Texas A&M30-24W+3.0W44.5O
9vs Missouri10-23L-3.5L46.5U
10@ Vanderbilt38-27W-7.0W48O
11@ Florida6-38L+8.0L59U
12vs Tennessee63-38W+21.5W66O
13@ Clemson31-30W+14.5W52O
18vs Notre Dame38-45L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
8-4-1
66.7%
Straight Up
8-5
61.5%
Home ATS5-3
Away ATS3-2
Favorite ATS4-1
Underdog ATS4-4
Last 5 ATS
WLWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off82thRush Off25thRed Zone Off71th3rd Down Off66thPass Def25thRush Def36thRed Zone Def39th3rd Down Def35th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.00553th+0.03127th
Red Zone+0.09671th+0.03639th
Third Down+0.16066th+0.11935th
No Garbage Time+0.01858th+0.04024th
First Half+0.04964th+0.11312th
Second Half-0.03941th-0.05664th
Early Downs-0.08223th-0.02348th
Passing Downs+0.14782th+0.08025th
Standard Downs-0.07425th+0.00736th
Goal to Go+0.16175th-0.02449th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 50.6%Rush 49.4%
Havoc/Game
11.8
Havoc Rate
16.1%
TO Margin
-0.3
Explosive/G
12.5
Yards/Game
378.8
Pts/Drive
2.37
3rd Down%
38.8%
3&Out%
19.7%

Team Statistics

2022 season totals across 13 games — South Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatSouth CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points418375
Points / Game32.228.8
First Downs
Total247292
Rushing95139
Passing126122
Penalty2631
Rushing
Attempts411522
Yards1,5452,574
Yards / Carry3.84.9
Yards / Game118.8198.0
Touchdowns2723
Passing
Attempts421404
Completions281217
Completion %66.7%53.7%
Yards3,3802,687
Yards / Attempt8.06.7
Touchdowns2324
Interceptions1415
Passer Rating145.56121.76
Total Offense
Plays832926
Yards4,9255,261
Yards / Play5.95.7
Yards / Game378.8404.7
Punt Returns
Returns1820
Yards28292
Average15.74.6
Touchdowns20
Kickoff Returns
Returns2320
Yards590328
Average25.716.4
Touchdowns10
Punting
Punts5861
Yards2,6752,500
Average46.141.0
Interception Returns
Returns1514
Yards29981
Touchdowns21
Fumbles
Fumbles2114
Lost138
Penalties
Penalties9084
Yards829702
Yards / Game63.854.0
Time of Possession
Per Game28:4131:19
Third Downs
Attempts160182
Conversions6279
Conversion %38.8%43.4%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2217
Conversions1310
Conversion %59.1%58.8%
Red Zone
Trips5254
Scores (TD + FG)4445
Score %84.6%83.3%
Touchdowns3736
TD %71.2%66.7%
Field Goals
Attempts1117
Made1112
Pct100.0%70.6%
PAT Kicking
Attempts4745
Made4545
Pct95.7%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts83
Made51
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →