Fourth Down Data
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OU

Oklahoma

SoonersRun-Heavy
Southeastern Conference12-2#8 (+22.31)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

94· AOverall
Offense
97· A+Rating
98· A+Per play
98· A+Consistency
99· A+Big plays
Defense
59· CRating
22· DPer play
67· CConsistency
Situational
66· CRed-zone O
37· DRed-zone D
92· A-3rd down O
29· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.243
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.017
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.223
Defensive EPA/play
+0.073
lower = better
Off Success Rate
57.1%
Def Success Rate
45.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
29.9%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
26.6%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.150
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.074
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
3.49

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+1.00
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.15
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.16
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.01
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#8
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
#7
AP 1 spots higher
Market (Vegas)
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#7
recruiting 1 spots higher
51 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Oklahoma ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
98th
Opp-adjusted defense
44th
Offensive EPA/play
99th
Defensive EPA/play
22th
Offensive success rate
100th
Explosiveness
100th
Defensive havoc
90th
Points per drive
98th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Texas State2025OA +0.157 / -0.060similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, passing offense4162Missouri2017OA +0.143 / -0.049similar: pass defense, defensive success rate, offensive success rate4073North Carolina2020OA +0.097 / -0.025similar: passing offense, offensive EPA, TD drive rate3824Miami2024OA +0.103 / -0.014similar: offensive success rate, rushing offense, turnover rate3735Western Michigan2020OA +0.063 / -0.039similar: takeaway rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA366

2019 Schedule & Results

14 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Houston49-31W+13.0L75O
2vs South Dakota70-14W-46.5W76.5O
3@ UCLA48-14W-22.5W72U
5vs Texas Tech55-16W-27.0W68.5O
6@ Kansas45-20W-32.0L67U
7@ Texas34-27W-11.5L77.5U
8vs West Virginia52-14W-33.0W63.5O
9@ Kansas State41-48L-23.5L59O
11vs Iowa State42-41W-15.5L71O
12@ Baylor34-31W-10.0L69.5U
13vs TCU28-24W-19.0L65.5U
14@ Oklahoma State34-16W-14.0W69U
15vs Baylor30-23W-9.0L65.5U
18@ LSU28-63L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-8
38.5%
O/U Record
6-7
46.2%
Straight Up
11-2
84.6%
Home ATS3-3
Away ATS2-5
Favorite ATS5-7
Underdog ATS0-1
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off99thRush Off98thRed Zone Off67th3rd Down Off93thPass Def15thRush Def28thRed Zone Def38th3rd Down Def29th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.21699th+0.09313th
Red Zone+0.05667th+0.03838th
Third Down+0.33193th+0.11829th
No Garbage Time+0.22299th+0.09716th
First Half+0.24299th+0.10119th
Second Half+0.189100th+0.08517th
Early Downs+0.13093th+0.1048th
Passing Downs+0.35899th+0.16415th
Standard Downs+0.15898th+0.04928th
Goal to Go+0.06162th+0.22014th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 40.3%Rush 59.7%
Havoc/Game
14.7
Havoc Rate
22.7%
TO Margin
-0.6
Explosive/G
17.0
Yards/Game
537.6
Pts/Drive
3.49
3rd Down%
49.7%
3&Out%
13.7%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 14 games — Oklahoma vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatOklahomaOpponents
Scoring
Points590382
Points / Game42.127.3
First Downs
Total348278
Rushing16098
Passing172138
Penalty1642
Rushing
Attempts565459
Yards3,3631,877
Yards / Carry6.04.1
Yards / Game240.2134.1
Touchdowns3820
Passing
Attempts381427
Completions262257
Completion %68.8%60.2%
Yards4,1643,113
Yards / Attempt10.97.3
Touchdowns3627
Interceptions97
Passer Rating187.03139.01
Total Offense
Plays946886
Yards7,5274,990
Yards / Play8.05.6
Yards / Game537.6356.4
Punt Returns
Returns265
Yards18746
Average7.29.2
Touchdowns10
Kickoff Returns
Returns3538
Yards608730
Average17.419.2
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts3872
Yards1,6123,056
Average42.442.4
Interception Returns
Returns79
Yards31256
Touchdowns11
Fumbles
Fumbles1916
Lost104
Penalties
Penalties10180
Yards1,038622
Yards / Game74.144.4
Time of Possession
Per Game31:0228:58
Third Downs
Attempts155177
Conversions7757
Conversion %49.7%32.2%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1224
Conversions810
Conversion %66.7%41.7%
Red Zone
Trips7348
Scores (TD + FG)6745
Score %91.8%93.8%
Touchdowns5232
TD %71.2%66.7%
Field Goals
Attempts2118
Made1916
Pct90.5%88.9%
PAT Kicking
Attempts7547
Made7546
Pct100.0%97.9%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts11
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →