← All Teams
MASS
Massachusetts
MinutemenBalancedMid-American Conference4-8#118 (-16.09)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
12· FOverall
Offense
22· DRating
52· CPer play
22· DConsistency
31· DBig plays
Defense
16· DRating
47· CPer play
65· CConsistency
Situational
71· BRed-zone O
7· FRed-zone D
36· D3rd down O
39· D3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.010
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.085
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.014
Defensive EPA/play
-0.008
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.1%
Def Success Rate
43.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
22.0%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.4%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.006
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.067
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.07
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-3.05
expected pts/game
Kicking
-2.17
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.43
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.14
own return game
Return Defense
-0.31
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#118
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 43 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Massachusetts ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense47th
Opp-adjusted defense22th
Offensive EPA/play53th
Defensive EPA/play47th
Offensive success rate24th
Explosiveness31th
Defensive havoc74th
Points per drive47th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1California2025OA -0.011 / -0.044similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, defensive EPA3982Sam Houston2026OA +0.018 / +0.019similar: havoc rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate3623Miami2021OA +0.102 / +0.006similar: passing offense, run defense, rushing offense3564Florida Atlantic2022OA -0.010 / +0.001similar: defensive EPA, run defense, TD drive rate3515Missouri State2025OA -0.021 / -0.089similar: passing offense, turnover rate, run defense349
2017 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs Hawai'i | 35-38 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | @ Coastal Carolina | 28-38 | L | -2.0 | L | 56.5 | O |
| 2 | vs Old Dominion | 7-17 | L | +3.5 | L | 60.5 | U |
| 3 | @ Temple | 21-29 | L | +14.5 | W | 52 | U |
| 4 | @ Tennessee | 13-17 | L | +28.0 | W | 58 | U |
| 5 | vs Ohio | 50-58 | L | +4.5 | L | 53 | O |
| 8 | vs Georgia Southern | 55-20 | W | -7.5 | W | 54.5 | O |
| 9 | vs App State | 30-27 | W | +4.5 | W | 56.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Mississippi State | 23-34 | L | +34.5 | W | 58 | U |
| 11 | vs Maine | 44-31 | W | -16.5 | L | - | - |
| 12 | @ BYU | 16-10 | W | +3.5 | W | 51.5 | U |
| 14 | @ Florida International | 45-63 | L | -2.5 | L | 56.5 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
6-5
54.5%
O/U Record
5-5
50.0%
Straight Up
4-7
36.4%
Home ATS2-3
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS5-2
Last 5 ATS
WWLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.014 | 52th | -0.016 | 50th |
| Red Zone | +0.089 | 72th | +0.254 | 7th |
| Third Down | -0.082 | 36th | +0.038 | 39th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.020 | 47th | -0.007 | 48th |
| First Half | -0.051 | 41th | -0.061 | 59th |
| Second Half | +0.020 | 65th | +0.033 | 28th |
| Early Downs | -0.080 | 32th | -0.028 | 51th |
| Passing Downs | +0.022 | 61th | +0.075 | 29th |
| Standard Downs | -0.037 | 50th | -0.070 | 63th |
| Goal to Go | -0.117 | 31th | +0.088 | 35th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 51.7%Rush 48.3%
Havoc/Game
15.5
Havoc Rate
20.9%
TO Margin
+0.3
Explosive/G
14.8
Yards/Game
432.8
Pts/Drive
2.07
3rd Down%
34.7%
3&Out%
23.1%
Team Statistics
2017 season totals across 12 games — Massachusetts vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Massachusetts | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 367 | 382 |
| Points / Game | 30.6 | 31.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 260 | 228 |
| Rushing | 82 | 112 |
| Passing | 154 | 98 |
| Penalty | 24 | 18 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 418 | 480 |
| Yards | 1,624 | 2,375 |
| Yards / Carry | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Yards / Game | 135.3 | 197.9 |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 27 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 447 | 364 |
| Completions | 272 | 194 |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 53.3% |
| Yards | 3,570 | 2,484 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.0 | 6.8 |
| Touchdowns | 26 | 17 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 13 |
| Passer Rating | 144.45 | 118.89 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 865 | 844 |
| Yards | 5,194 | 4,859 |
| Yards / Play | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| Yards / Game | 432.8 | 404.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 17 | 32 |
| Yards | 79 | 429 |
| Average | 4.6 | 13.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 46 | 45 |
| Yards | 889 | 1,050 |
| Average | 19.3 | 23.3 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 1 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 65 | 63 |
| Yards | 2,772 | 2,597 |
| Average | 42.6 | 41.2 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 13 | 6 |
| Yards | 207 | 145 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 23 | 16 |
| Lost | 11 | 7 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 79 | 89 |
| Yards | 679 | 877 |
| Yards / Game | 56.6 | 73.1 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:13 | 30:47 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 173 | 180 |
| Conversions | 60 | 67 |
| Conversion % | 34.7% | 37.2% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 24 | 21 |
| Conversions | 15 | 9 |
| Conversion % | 62.5% | 42.9% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 47 | 52 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 39 | 47 |
| Score % | 83.0% | 90.4% |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 36 |
| TD % | 61.7% | 69.2% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 19 | 19 |
| Made | 13 | 17 |
| Pct | 68.4% | 89.5% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 45 | 46 |
| Made | 42 | 45 |
| Pct | 93.3% | 97.8% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 2 | 1 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.