Fourth Down Data
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FLA

Florida

GatorsBalanced
Southeastern Conference5-7#57 (+1.34)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

58· COverall
Offense
65· CRating
70· BPer play
68· CConsistency
70· BBig plays
Defense
41· CRating
10· FPer play
64· CConsistency
Situational
78· BRed-zone O
56· CRed-zone D
37· D3rd down O
29· D3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.082
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.049
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.062
Defensive EPA/play
+0.112
lower = better
Off Success Rate
48.3%
Def Success Rate
45.0%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.2%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.050
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.013
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.34

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.82
expected pts/game
Kicking
+1.00
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.31
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
+0.12
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#57
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#53
market 4 higher
Recruiting Rank
#11
recruiting 46 spots higher
53 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2023 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
84th
Opp-adjusted defense
31th
Offensive EPA/play
71th
Defensive EPA/play
9th
Offensive success rate
73th
Explosiveness
71th
Defensive havoc
28th
Points per drive
61th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Tulsa2022OA +0.049 / -0.044similar: offensive EPA, TD drive rate, passing offense3842Michigan State2025OA +0.075 / -0.070similar: defensive EPA, rushing offense, pass defense3653Oregon2026OA +0.017 / -0.041similar: TD drive rate, offensive success rate, offensive EPA3514Hawai'i2018OA +0.084 / -0.131similar: passing offense, takeaway rate, offensive success rate3515Missouri2020OA -0.009 / -0.039similar: rushing offense, offensive success rate, run defense350

2023 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Utah11-24L----
2vs McNeese State49-7W-45.0L55O
3vs Tennessee29-16W+6.5W58.5U
4vs Charlotte22-7W-28.0L48.5U
5@ Kentucky14-33L+1.0L45O
6vs Vanderbilt38-14W-18.0W52P
7@ South Carolina41-39W+2.5W51.5O
9vs Georgia20-43L+14.5L47O
10vs Arkansas36-39L-6.0L49.5O
11@ LSU35-52L+13.5L63.5O
12@ Missouri31-33L+11.3W59O
13vs Florida State15-24L+6.5L50U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
7-4-1
63.6%
Straight Up
5-7
41.7%
Home ATS2-5
Away ATS2-3
Favorite ATS1-3
Underdog ATS3-5
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off45thRush Off84thRed Zone Off78th3rd Down Off37thPass Def28thRush Def4thRed Zone Def56th3rd Down Def30th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall+0.07475th+0.1158th
Red Zone+0.12478th-0.04156th
Third Down+0.14237th+0.24430th
No Garbage Time+0.05467th+0.10712th
First Half+0.08469th+0.08024th
Second Half+0.06473th+0.1496th
Early Downs+0.11496th+0.1224th
Passing Downs+0.04745th+0.11628th
Standard Downs+0.08984th+0.1154th
Goal to Go+0.43098th-0.25981th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 48.1%Rush 51.9%
Havoc/Game
10.5
Havoc Rate
16.8%
TO Margin
-0.4
Explosive/G
15.8
Yards/Game
409.1
Pts/Drive
2.34
3rd Down%
36.9%
3&Out%
17.7%

Team Statistics

2023 season totals across 12 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFloridaOpponents
Scoring
Points341331
Points / Game28.427.6
First Downs
Total260212
Rushing9784
Passing143110
Penalty2018
Rushing
Attempts421386
Yards1,7981,867
Yards / Carry4.34.8
Yards / Game149.8155.6
Touchdowns2121
Passing
Attempts390326
Completions282195
Completion %72.3%59.8%
Yards3,1112,720
Yards / Attempt8.08.3
Touchdowns2018
Interceptions53
Passer Rating153.67146.28
Total Offense
Plays811712
Yards4,9094,587
Yards / Play6.16.4
Yards / Game409.1382.3
Punt Returns
Returns1411
Yards15192
Average10.88.4
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns1615
Yards331226
Average20.715.1
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts4351
Yards2,0522,264
Average47.744.4
Interception Returns
Returns35
Yards3829
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1615
Lost74
Penalties
Penalties7972
Yards595552
Yards / Game49.646.0
Time of Possession
Per Game33:0626:54
Third Downs
Attempts149146
Conversions5552
Conversion %36.9%35.6%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2213
Conversions94
Conversion %40.9%30.8%
Red Zone
Trips4840
Scores (TD + FG)4435
Score %91.7%87.5%
Touchdowns3223
TD %66.7%57.5%
Field Goals
Attempts2420
Made1817
Pct75.0%85.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3437
Made3336
Pct97.1%97.3%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts72
Made20
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →