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FLA
Florida
GatorsBalancedSoutheastern Conference6-7#57 (+1.72)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
58· COverall
Offense
78· BRating
77· BPer play
55· CConsistency
81· BBig plays
Defense
23· DRating
13· FPer play
12· FConsistency
Situational
18· DRed-zone O
27· DRed-zone D
88· B3rd down O
10· F3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
+0.127
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.042
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.083
Defensive EPA/play
+0.091
lower = better
Off Success Rate
46.8%
Def Success Rate
48.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
26.5%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
27.7%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.008
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.086
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.55
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
+0.40
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.44
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.52
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.48
own return game
Return Defense
+0.00
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#57
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#61
model 4 higher
Recruiting Rank
#11
recruiting 46 spots higher
51 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Florida ranks among all FBS teams in 2022 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense89th
Opp-adjusted defense31th
Offensive EPA/play78th
Defensive EPA/play13th
Offensive success rate57th
Explosiveness82th
Defensive havoc22th
Points per drive72th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Georgia Southern2025OA +0.032 / -0.156similar: offensive EPA, rushing offense, defensive EPA3962Vanderbilt2018OA +0.122 / -0.036similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, takeaway rate3763San José State2023OA +0.068 / -0.050similar: run defense, defensive EPA, offensive success rate3674UCF2023OA +0.077 / -0.002similar: rushing offense, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3515Boston College2019OA +0.106 / -0.094similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, passing offense346
2022 Schedule & Results
13 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah | 29-26 | W | +3.0 | W | 51.25 | O |
| 2 | vs Kentucky | 16-26 | L | -6.0 | L | 51.5 | U |
| 3 | vs South Florida | 31-28 | W | -24.0 | L | 58.5 | O |
| 4 | @ Tennessee | 33-38 | L | +10.5 | W | 62.5 | O |
| 5 | vs Eastern Washington | 52-17 | W | -28.5 | W | 70 | U |
| 6 | vs Missouri | 24-17 | W | -11.0 | L | 53.5 | U |
| 7 | vs LSU | 35-45 | L | -2.5 | L | 52 | O |
| 9 | @ Georgia | 20-42 | L | +22.5 | W | 56.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Texas A&M | 41-24 | W | +3.5 | W | 54 | O |
| 11 | vs South Carolina | 38-6 | W | -8.0 | W | 59 | U |
| 12 | @ Vanderbilt | 24-31 | L | +9.5 | W | 58 | O |
| 13 | @ Florida State | 38-45 | L | - | - | - | - |
| 16 | @ Oregon State | 3-30 | L | +10.0 | L | 52.5 | U |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
7-6
53.8%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
6-7
46.2%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS4-2
Favorite ATS2-5
Underdog ATS5-1
Last 5 ATS
WWLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.076 | 81th | +0.077 | 16th |
| Red Zone | -0.180 | 19th | +0.101 | 27th |
| Third Down | +0.345 | 89th | +0.360 | 10th |
| No Garbage Time | +0.070 | 75th | +0.088 | 13th |
| First Half | +0.097 | 79th | +0.108 | 13th |
| Second Half | +0.058 | 73th | +0.042 | 24th |
| Early Downs | -0.022 | 48th | -0.040 | 56th |
| Passing Downs | +0.208 | 90th | +0.278 | 4th |
| Standard Downs | -0.005 | 53th | -0.029 | 55th |
| Goal to Go | +0.023 | 60th | +0.239 | 13th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 43.7%Rush 56.3%
Havoc/Game
11.2
Havoc Rate
15.9%
TO Margin
+0.6
Explosive/G
14.8
Yards/Game
424.1
Pts/Drive
2.55
3rd Down%
40.5%
3&Out%
16.7%
Team Statistics
2022 season totals across 13 games — Florida vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Florida | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 384 | 375 |
| Points / Game | 29.5 | 28.8 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 260 | 297 |
| Rushing | 113 | 135 |
| Passing | 129 | 140 |
| Penalty | 18 | 22 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 472 | 507 |
| Yards | 2,603 | 2,278 |
| Yards / Carry | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Yards / Game | 200.2 | 175.2 |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 29 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 366 | 396 |
| Completions | 199 | 240 |
| Completion % | 54.4% | 60.6% |
| Yards | 2,910 | 3,065 |
| Yards / Attempt | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 9 |
| Passer Rating | 132.47 | 135.24 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 838 | 903 |
| Yards | 5,513 | 5,343 |
| Yards / Play | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| Yards / Game | 424.1 | 411.0 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 17 | 12 |
| Yards | 130 | 96 |
| Average | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 27 | 21 |
| Yards | 586 | 449 |
| Average | 21.7 | 21.4 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 36 | 42 |
| Yards | 1,678 | 1,818 |
| Average | 46.6 | 43.3 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 9 | 9 |
| Yards | 93 | 125 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 13 | 17 |
| Lost | 5 | 13 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 89 | 73 |
| Yards | 666 | 562 |
| Yards / Game | 51.2 | 43.2 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 29:03 | 30:57 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 168 | 175 |
| Conversions | 68 | 87 |
| Conversion % | 40.5% | 49.7% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 32 | 23 |
| Conversions | 15 | 10 |
| Conversion % | 46.9% | 43.5% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 52 | 56 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 39 | 47 |
| Score % | 75.0% | 83.9% |
| Touchdowns | 31 | 36 |
| TD % | 59.6% | 64.3% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 21 | 18 |
| Made | 14 | 14 |
| Pct | 66.7% | 77.8% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 43 | 44 |
| Made | 42 | 43 |
| Pct | 97.7% | 97.7% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 6 | 4 |
| Made | 2 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.