Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA7-6#100 (-8.06)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

26· DOverall
Offense
31· DRating
44· CPer play
35· DConsistency
87· BBig plays
Defense
38· DRating
47· CPer play
45· CConsistency
Situational
35· DRed-zone O
59· CRed-zone D
42· C3rd down O
56· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.074
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.025
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.010
Defensive EPA/play
-0.009
lower = better
Off Success Rate
44.9%
Def Success Rate
45.9%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
25.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.5%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.001
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.026
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.29

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-0.91
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.59
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.25
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
-0.07
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#100
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
#106
model 6 higher
Recruiting Rank
#79
recruiting 21 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2025 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
22th
Opp-adjusted defense
40th
Offensive EPA/play
44th
Defensive EPA/play
47th
Offensive success rate
39th
Explosiveness
88th
Defensive havoc
64th
Points per drive
53th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1UNLV2026OA -0.009 / +0.000similar: defensive EPA, passing offense, pass defense4112South Florida2024OA -0.014 / +0.005similar: TD drive rate, rushing offense, pass defense4093Florida Atlantic2024OA -0.028 / -0.007similar: passing offense, pass defense, defensive EPA3904California2021OA -0.056 / -0.013similar: passing offense, defensive EPA, offensive EPA3755Houston2017OA -0.079 / +0.046similar: takeaway rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA373

2025 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Bethune-Cookman42-9W----
2@ Penn State0-34L+42.0W53.5U
3vs Florida Atlantic38-28W-2.5W56.5O
4vs Delaware16-38L-4.5L55U
6@ UConn10-51L+34.5L57.5O
8@ Western Kentucky25-6W+3.0L49.5O
9vs Kennesaw State26-45L+3.0L50.25U
10@ Missouri State21-28L----
11@ Middle Tennessee56-30W-2.5W63.5O
12vs Liberty34-27W+2.5W51.5O
13vs Jacksonville State27-21W+3.5W52.5U
14@ Sam Houston56-16W-11.0W51.5O
18@ UTSA20-57L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
8-5
61.5%
O/U Record
7-6
53.8%
Straight Up
7-6
53.8%
Home ATS4-2
Away ATS4-3
Favorite ATS4-1
Underdog ATS4-4
Last 5 ATS
WWWWL
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off21thRush Off73thRed Zone Off36th3rd Down Off42thPass Def57thRush Def47thRed Zone Def60th3rd Down Def56th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00547th-0.01750th
Red Zone-0.07436th-0.05160th
Third Down+0.05342th+0.03356th
No Garbage Time-0.01643th-0.01450th
First Half-0.02939th+0.04927th
Second Half+0.01862th-0.09180th
Early Downs+0.05778th+0.00537th
Passing Downs-0.13621th-0.05157th
Standard Downs+0.06573th+0.00147th
Goal to Go+0.07461th+0.25515th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 46.9%Rush 53.1%
Havoc/Game
13.6
Havoc Rate
19.1%
TO Margin
0.0
Explosive/G
15.2
Yards/Game
397.0
Pts/Drive
2.29
3rd Down%
35.9%
3&Out%
23.6%

Team Statistics

2025 season totals across 13 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points371390
Points / Game28.530.0
First Downs
Total268272
Rushing104117
Passing135137
Penalty2918
Rushing
Attempts485446
Yards2,3612,101
Yards / Carry4.94.7
Yards / Game181.6161.6
Touchdowns2620
Passing
Attempts429458
Completions257278
Completion %59.9%60.7%
Yards2,8003,249
Yards / Attempt6.57.1
Touchdowns2026
Interceptions1312
Passer Rating124.06133.78
Total Offense
Plays914904
Yards5,1615,350
Yards / Play5.65.9
Yards / Game397.0411.5
Punt Returns
Returns1721
Yards198160
Average11.67.6
Touchdowns12
Kickoff Returns
Returns2744
Yards557881
Average20.620.0
Touchdowns00
Punting
Punts5654
Yards2,3372,268
Average41.742.0
Interception Returns
Returns1213
Yards16133
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1717
Lost89
Penalties
Penalties8481
Yards715755
Yards / Game55.058.1
Time of Possession
Per Game31:0628:24
Third Downs
Attempts192183
Conversions6973
Conversion %35.9%39.9%
Fourth Downs
Attempts3833
Conversions1914
Conversion %50.0%42.4%
Red Zone
Trips5456
Scores (TD + FG)4746
Score %87.0%82.1%
Touchdowns3232
TD %59.3%57.1%
Field Goals
Attempts2120
Made1618
Pct76.2%90.0%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3946
Made3946
Pct100.0%100.0%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts82
Made10
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →