Fourth Down Data
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FIU

Florida International

PanthersBalanced
Conference USA6-7#97 (-7.63)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

28· DOverall
Offense
37· DRating
55· CPer play
50· CConsistency
68· CBig plays
Defense
24· DRating
45· CPer play
47· CConsistency
Situational
24· DRed-zone O
38· DRed-zone D
10· F3rd down O
55· C3rd down D
How grades work →

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
-0.030
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.046
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.021
Defensive EPA/play
+0.013
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.9%
Def Success Rate
46.1%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
24.8%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
23.9%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
+0.008
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.049
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
2.21

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
+0.09
expected pts/game
Kicking
+0.24
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.10
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.00
own return game
Return Defense
-0.05
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#97
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 22 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Florida International ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
39th
Opp-adjusted defense
31th
Offensive EPA/play
56th
Defensive EPA/play
46th
Offensive success rate
46th
Explosiveness
69th
Defensive havoc
40th
Points per drive
50th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana2022OA -0.075 / +0.020similar: passing offense, TD drive rate, havoc rate3852South Florida2018OA -0.024 / -0.020similar: offensive success rate, defensive success rate, defensive EPA3503Washington2019OA -0.038 / +0.089similar: offensive EPA, havoc rate, defensive success rate3484Coastal Carolina2023OA +0.052 / -0.014similar: defensive success rate, havoc rate, TD drive rate3475Hawai'i2020OA -0.004 / -0.014similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, defensive success rate343

2019 Schedule & Results

13 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1@ Tulane14-42L-1.5L58.5O
2vs Western Kentucky14-20L-9.0L57U
3vs New Hampshire30-17W-13.5L43.5O
4@ Louisiana Tech31-43L+7.0L51.5O
6vs Massachusetts44-0W-28.0W70.5U
7vs Charlotte48-23W-5.5W57.5O
8vs UTEP32-17W-25.0L51U
9@ Middle Tennessee17-50L-1.0L58.5O
10vs Old Dominion24-17W-18.0L47.5U
11@ Florida Atlantic7-37L+12.5L59U
13vs Miami30-24W+21.5W51O
14@ Marshall27-30L+10.0W50.5O
17@ Arkansas State26-34L----

Betting Profile

ATS Record
4-8
33.3%
O/U Record
7-5
58.3%
Straight Up
6-6
50.0%
Home ATS3-4
Away ATS1-4
Favorite ATS2-6
Underdog ATS2-2
Last 5 ATS
LLLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off25thRush Off69thRed Zone Off24th3rd Down Off10thPass Def63thRush Def38thRed Zone Def38th3rd Down Def55th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00942th-0.00351th
Red Zone-0.15724th+0.03738th
Third Down-0.20310th-0.00555th
No Garbage Time+0.02557th+0.01047th
First Half+0.03059th-0.04963th
Second Half-0.05130th+0.04928th
Early Downs+0.07979th+0.00651th
Passing Downs-0.09925th-0.05263th
Standard Downs+0.04069th+0.02238th
Goal to Go+0.06263th+0.06632th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 44.4%Rush 55.6%
Havoc/Game
12.3
Havoc Rate
17.5%
TO Margin
+0.2
Explosive/G
14.6
Yards/Game
377.1
Pts/Drive
2.21
3rd Down%
38.0%
3&Out%
21.0%

Team Statistics

2019 season totals across 13 games — Florida International vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatFlorida InternationalOpponents
Scoring
Points344354
Points / Game26.527.2
First Downs
Total259276
Rushing101140
Passing128110
Penalty3026
Rushing
Attempts488514
Yards2,1482,548
Yards / Carry4.45.0
Yards / Game165.2196.0
Touchdowns2326
Passing
Attempts389384
Completions223210
Completion %57.3%54.7%
Yards2,7542,535
Yards / Attempt7.16.6
Touchdowns1416
Interceptions612
Passer Rating125.59117.64
Total Offense
Plays877898
Yards4,9025,083
Yards / Play5.65.7
Yards / Game377.1391.0
Punt Returns
Returns129
Yards250-4
Average20.8-0.4
Touchdowns20
Kickoff Returns
Returns3128
Yards496603
Average16.021.5
Touchdowns01
Punting
Punts5759
Yards2,4142,547
Average42.443.2
Interception Returns
Returns126
Yards15062
Touchdowns10
Fumbles
Fumbles1918
Lost96
Penalties
Penalties7991
Yards751909
Yards / Game57.869.9
Time of Possession
Per Game28:5830:51
Third Downs
Attempts184179
Conversions7070
Conversion %38.0%39.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts2420
Conversions1312
Conversion %54.2%60.0%
Red Zone
Trips5550
Scores (TD + FG)4245
Score %76.4%90.0%
Touchdowns2832
TD %50.9%64.0%
Field Goals
Attempts2922
Made2119
Pct72.4%86.4%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3940
Made3737
Pct94.9%92.5%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts12
Made11
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →