Fourth Down Data
← All Teams
CCU

Coastal Carolina

ChanticleersRun-Heavy
Sun Belt Conference3-9#119 (-16.13)

Grades

Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.

11· FOverall
Offense
23· DRating
61· CPer play
45· CConsistency
92· A-Big plays
Defense
9· FRating
19· DPer play
16· DConsistency
Situational
76· BRed-zone O
4· FRed-zone D
39· D3rd down O
15· D3rd down D
How grades work →2017 is the earliest season the model grades — first-year numbers run a touch noisier than later seasons.

Analytical Fingerprint

SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.

Opp-Adj Offense
+0.006
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.136
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
+0.012
Defensive EPA/play
+0.084
lower = better
Off Success Rate
45.9%
Def Success Rate
50.3%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
27.1%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
25.1%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.072
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
-0.094
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
1.95

Special Teams

Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.

Net ST Rating
-1.36
expected pts/game
Kicking
-0.72
own kicking game
Kick Defense
-0.38
vs opponent kicks
Returns
+0.01
own return game
Return Defense
-0.26
vs opponent returns

Performance vs Perception

Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.

Model Rank
#119
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 44 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits

Peer Context

Where Coastal Carolina ranks among all FBS teams in 2017 (percentile).

Opp-adjusted offense
57th
Opp-adjusted defense
9th
Offensive EPA/play
62th
Defensive EPA/play
20th
Offensive success rate
44th
Explosiveness
92th
Defensive havoc
26th
Points per drive
38th

Historical Fingerprint

Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.

1Louisiana Tech2023OA -0.009 / -0.137similar: offensive success rate, TD drive rate, turnover rate3812South Carolina2020OA +0.001 / -0.037similar: TD drive rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3713Houston2019OA +0.003 / -0.090similar: pass defense, takeaway rate, TD drive rate3674West Virginia2022OA +0.016 / -0.049similar: havoc rate, offensive EPA, defensive EPA3665UL Monroe2022OA +0.020 / -0.119similar: TD drive rate, defensive EPA, defensive success rate355

2017 Schedule & Results

12 games

WkOpponentScoreW/LSpreadATSTotalO/U
1vs Massachusetts38-28W+2.0W56.5O
3@ UAB23-30L+2.0L52.5O
4vs Western Illinois10-52L+3.0L--
5@ UL Monroe43-51L+7.5L54O
6vs Georgia State21-27L+1.0L51U
7@ Arkansas State17-51L+14.5L65O
8@ App State29-37L+20.0W51O
9vs Texas State7-27L-9.5L54U
10@ Arkansas38-39L+24.5W59O
11vs Troy17-42L+17.5L52.5O
12@ Idaho13-7W+7.0W50.5U
14vs Georgia Southern28-17W+3.0W49.5U

Betting Profile

ATS Record
5-7
41.7%
O/U Record
7-4
63.6%
Straight Up
3-9
25.0%
Home ATS2-4
Away ATS3-3
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS5-6
Last 5 ATS
LWLWW
Full ATS log & splits →
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.

Situational Profile

Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.

Pass Off23thRush Off77thRed Zone Off77th3rd Down Off39thPass Def45thRush Def8thRed Zone Def5th3rd Down Def15th
SituationOFF EPAOFF RankDEF EPADEF Rank
Overall-0.00556th+0.08315th
Red Zone+0.12977th+0.2915th
Third Down-0.04839th+0.19115th
No Garbage Time+0.00958th+0.08717th
First Half+0.03270th+0.09423th
Second Half-0.04143th+0.07116th
Early Downs+0.08289th+0.09111th
Passing Downs-0.11223th-0.00845th
Standard Downs+0.05677th+0.1298th
Goal to Go+0.32987th+0.16321th

Style & Tendencies

Pass 40.5%Rush 59.5%
Havoc/Game
11.0
Havoc Rate
15.7%
TO Margin
-0.6
Explosive/G
15.7
Yards/Game
345.3
Pts/Drive
1.95
3rd Down%
35.9%
3&Out%
19.7%

Team Statistics

2017 season totals across 12 games — Coastal Carolina vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
StatCoastal CarolinaOpponents
Scoring
Points284408
Points / Game23.734.0
First Downs
Total221261
Rushing108114
Passing95128
Penalty1819
Rushing
Attempts446469
Yards1,8752,034
Yards / Carry4.24.3
Yards / Game156.3169.5
Touchdowns1528
Passing
Attempts304346
Completions158219
Completion %52.0%63.3%
Yards2,2692,895
Yards / Attempt7.58.4
Touchdowns1820
Interceptions115
Passer Rating126.97149.76
Total Offense
Plays750815
Yards4,1444,929
Yards / Play5.56.0
Yards / Game345.3410.8
Punt Returns
Returns2522
Yards185140
Average7.46.4
Touchdowns00
Kickoff Returns
Returns4746
Yards1,0361,082
Average22.023.5
Touchdowns04
Punting
Punts5753
Yards2,4602,200
Average43.241.5
Interception Returns
Returns511
Yards11586
Touchdowns00
Fumbles
Fumbles1716
Lost76
Penalties
Penalties8467
Yards754625
Yards / Game62.852.1
Time of Possession
Per Game30:1929:42
Third Downs
Attempts153160
Conversions5577
Conversion %35.9%48.1%
Fourth Downs
Attempts1711
Conversions77
Conversion %41.2%63.6%
Red Zone
Trips3254
Scores (TD + FG)2747
Score %84.4%87.0%
Touchdowns2139
TD %65.6%72.2%
Field Goals
Attempts1917
Made1211
Pct63.2%64.7%
PAT Kicking
Attempts3151
Made3049
Pct96.8%96.1%
Two-Point Conversions
Attempts42
Made31
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.
Compare to any opponent →Find similar matchups →Team identity →Situational splits →