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AKR
Akron
ZipsBalancedMid-American Conference0-12#134 (-30.39)
Grades
Percentile grades against every FBS team this season — 99 is best. Curved so an average team reads C, not F.
1· FOverall
Offense
0· FRating
0· FPer play
1· FConsistency
2· FBig plays
Defense
7· FRating
39· DPer play
7· FConsistency
Situational
4· FRed-zone O
9· FRed-zone D
2· F3rd down O
31· D3rd down D
Analytical Fingerprint
SS-native team profile — opponent-adjusted and garbage-filtered EPA, success, and explosiveness.
Opp-Adj Offense
-0.284
Opp-Adj Defense
-0.080
higher = better
Offensive EPA/play
-0.298
Defensive EPA/play
+0.032
lower = better
Off Success Rate
35.2%
Def Success Rate
50.2%
allowed · lower = better
Explosive Rate
19.7%
pass EPA > 1.0 · rush > 0.8
Explosive Allowed
24.3%
lower = better
Net EPA/play
-0.330
net · higher = better
Recent EPA Trend
+0.008
last 3 weeks
Points / Drive
0.82
Special Teams
Opponent-adjusted special-teams component of the Final Rating, in expected points per game — positive = better. The four units sum to the net.
Net ST Rating
-0.78
expected pts/game
Kicking
-1.01
own kicking game
Kick Defense
+0.19
vs opponent kicks
Returns
-0.06
own return game
Return Defense
+0.10
vs opponent returns
Performance vs Perception
Our opponent-adjusted model rank vs. how others rate this team. Descriptive — where the model and the consensus disagree.
Model Rank
#134
opponent-adjusted strength
AP Poll
NR
—
Market (Vegas)
—
unavailable
Recruiting Rank
#75
recruiting 59 spots higher
0 blue-chip recruits
Peer Context
Where Akron ranks among all FBS teams in 2019 (percentile).
Opp-adjusted offense0th
Opp-adjusted defense19th
Offensive EPA/play0th
Defensive EPA/play40th
Offensive success rate1th
Explosiveness2th
Defensive havoc2th
Points per drive0th
Historical Fingerprint
Most statistically similar team-seasons, 2017–2025, by the same 44-feature profile The Archive uses. Descriptive context, not a forecast.
1Charlotte2025OA -0.212 / -0.095similar: rushing offense, TD drive rate, offensive EPA4372Indiana2021OA -0.067 / -0.003similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA4313Massachusetts2025OA -0.185 / -0.202similar: offensive success rate, passing offense, rushing offense4194NC State2026OA -0.050 / -0.006similar: havoc rate, passing offense, takeaway rate3845Syracuse2025OA -0.108 / -0.012similar: pass defense, passing offense, offensive EPA382
2019 Schedule & Results
12 games
| Wk | Opponent | Score | W/L | Spread | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ Illinois | 3-42 | L | +18.0 | L | 60.5 | U |
| 2 | vs UAB | 20-31 | L | +8.0 | L | 46.5 | O |
| 3 | @ Central Michigan | 24-45 | L | +2.5 | L | 45.5 | O |
| 4 | vs Troy | 7-35 | L | +18.5 | L | 57 | U |
| 5 | @ Massachusetts | 29-37 | L | -7.5 | L | 60.5 | O |
| 7 | vs Kent State | 3-26 | L | +14.5 | L | 57.5 | U |
| 8 | vs Buffalo | 0-21 | L | +17.5 | L | 48 | U |
| 9 | @ Northern Illinois | 0-49 | L | +22.0 | L | 42.5 | O |
| 10 | @ Bowling Green | 6-35 | L | +4.5 | L | 49 | U |
| 12 | vs Eastern Michigan | 14-42 | L | +17.5 | L | 45 | O |
| 13 | @ Miami (OH) | 17-20 | L | +29.0 | W | 45.5 | U |
| 14 | vs Ohio | 3-52 | L | +27.5 | L | 52.5 | O |
Betting Profile
ATS Record
1-11
8.3%
O/U Record
6-6
50.0%
Straight Up
0-12
0.0%
Home ATS0-6
Away ATS1-5
Favorite ATS0-1
Underdog ATS1-10
Last 5 ATS
LLLWL
Graded against consensus market lines (median across multiple sportsbooks). Games the market never lined — mostly early-season non-FBS matchups — are excluded from ATS and O/U records; individual games may grade differently than closing-line sources.
Situational Profile
Situational EPA percentile across 8 phases (the larger the shape, the more dominant). Within-FBS ranks.
| Situation | OFF EPA | OFF Rank | DEF EPA | DEF Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.291 | 0th | +0.023 | 40th |
| Red Zone | -0.344 | 4th | +0.181 | 9th |
| Third Down | -0.333 | 2th | +0.114 | 31th |
| No Garbage Time | -0.314 | 0th | +0.041 | 35th |
| First Half | -0.321 | 0th | +0.098 | 20th |
| Second Half | -0.259 | 1th | -0.058 | 72th |
| Early Downs | -0.239 | 1th | -0.007 | 57th |
| Passing Downs | -0.350 | 1th | +0.038 | 40th |
| Standard Downs | -0.246 | 0th | +0.017 | 40th |
| Goal to Go | -0.203 | 29th | +0.115 | 23th |
Style & Tendencies
Pass 54.9%Rush 45.1%
Havoc/Game
8.8
Havoc Rate
11.4%
TO Margin
-1.3
Explosive/G
9.4
Yards/Game
243.2
Pts/Drive
0.82
3rd Down%
26.4%
3&Out%
35.0%
Team Statistics
2019 season totals across 12 games — Akron vs. the combined line of every opponent in those games.
| Stat | Akron | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| Points | 126 | 435 |
| Points / Game | 10.5 | 36.3 |
| First Downs | ||
| Total | 155 | 261 |
| Rushing | 51 | 138 |
| Passing | 91 | 106 |
| Penalty | 13 | 17 |
| Rushing | ||
| Attempts | 327 | 566 |
| Yards | 571 | 2,562 |
| Yards / Carry | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| Yards / Game | 47.6 | 213.5 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 28 |
| Passing | ||
| Attempts | 398 | 305 |
| Completions | 205 | 201 |
| Completion % | 51.5% | 65.9% |
| Yards | 2,347 | 2,405 |
| Yards / Attempt | 5.9 | 7.9 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 14 | 5 |
| Passer Rating | 103.96 | 153.74 |
| Total Offense | ||
| Plays | 725 | 871 |
| Yards | 2,918 | 4,967 |
| Yards / Play | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| Yards / Game | 243.2 | 413.9 |
| Punt Returns | ||
| Returns | 12 | 23 |
| Yards | 46 | 129 |
| Average | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Kickoff Returns | ||
| Returns | 40 | 15 |
| Yards | 859 | 223 |
| Average | 21.5 | 14.9 |
| Touchdowns | 0 | 0 |
| Punting | ||
| Punts | 80 | 49 |
| Yards | 2,980 | 1,964 |
| Average | 37.3 | 40.1 |
| Interception Returns | ||
| Returns | 5 | 14 |
| Yards | 120 | 318 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Fumbles | ||
| Fumbles | 22 | 13 |
| Lost | 12 | 6 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties | 80 | 64 |
| Yards | 626 | 564 |
| Yards / Game | 52.2 | 47.0 |
| Time of Possession | ||
| Per Game | 26:29 | 33:30 |
| Third Downs | ||
| Attempts | 163 | 185 |
| Conversions | 43 | 98 |
| Conversion % | 26.4% | 53.0% |
| Fourth Downs | ||
| Attempts | 22 | 15 |
| Conversions | 7 | 8 |
| Conversion % | 31.8% | 53.3% |
| Red Zone | ||
| Trips | 26 | 58 |
| Scores (TD + FG) | 18 | 49 |
| Score % | 69.2% | 84.5% |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 41 |
| TD % | 42.3% | 70.7% |
| Field Goals | ||
| Attempts | 12 | 20 |
| Made | 7 | 14 |
| Pct | 58.3% | 70.0% |
| PAT Kicking | ||
| Attempts | 14 | 55 |
| Made | 13 | 55 |
| Pct | 92.9% | 100.0% |
| Two-Point Conversions | ||
| Attempts | 1 | 1 |
| Made | 1 | 1 |
Official-stats conventions: rushing includes sacks as negative attempts (NCAA), so Total Offense = rush + pass. Red-zone Score % counts touchdowns and field goals per trip.