Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET· Tiger Stadium· LSU -4.5 · O/U 52.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 288 mi / 0 miForecast: 73°F · wind 4 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
LSU -4.5 · O/U 52.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Alabama as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 6-2 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
LSU as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 5-3 O/U (8 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-18 ATS (35 games) · 16-19 O/U (35 games)
2026 · TraditionalLSU · 7 of 9
411.9
Yards / game
510.0
3.21
Points / drive
3.44
4.3
TDs / game
5.1
43.2
3rd-down %
51.7
76.5
RZ TD %
71.1
0.9
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.5
Sacks / game
4.3
5.1
TFL / game
7.8
13.0
Havoc / game
18.1
45.1 / 54.9
Pass / Rush split
47.1 / 52.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Alabama has the ball
Alabama's early-down offense ranks 19th of 138. LSU's early-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 36th of 138. LSU's passing-down defense ranks 8th of 138.
Alabama's third-down offense ranks 38th of 138. LSU's third-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 5th of 138. LSU's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
When LSU has the ball
LSU's early-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Alabama's early-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
LSU's passing-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 77th of 138.
LSU's third-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Alabama's third-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
LSU's red-zone offense ranks 77th of 138. Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 122nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Alabama offense
19thof 1380.117340 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
5thof 138-0.232Alabama defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.111319 plays
vs
LSU offense
66thof 1380.026386 plays
Passing downs
Alabama offense
36thof 1380.154154 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.273181 plays
Alabama defense · allowed
77thof 138-0.000185 plays
vs
LSU offense
46thof 1380.107194 plays
Third down
Alabama offense
38thof 1380.21495 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
16thof 138-0.221113 plays
Alabama defense · allowed
46thof 138-0.053108 plays
vs
LSU offense
36thof 1380.228118 plays
Red zone
Alabama offense
5thof 1380.36981 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.18450 plays · small sample
Alabama defense · allowed
122ndof 1380.23663 plays
vs
LSU offense
77thof 1380.001124 plays
Field advancement
Alabama offense
35thof 13853.9%vs
LSU defense · allowed
2ndof 13829.1%Alabama defense · allowed
31stof 13836.8%vs
LSU offense
10thof 13860.5%Alabama Offense vs LSU DefenseLSU · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.40#10
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#30.45
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.140#23
429 plays
EPA/Play
#2-0.278
allowed · 348 plays
0.298#7
203 plays
EPA/Pass
#3-0.311
allowed · 172 plays
-0.001#78
226 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#5-0.246
allowed · 176 plays
52.4%#12
429 plays
Success Rate
#437.6%
allowed · 348 plays
54.2%#10
Pass Success Rate
#936.8%
allowed
50.9%#36
Rush Success Rate
#839.8%
allowed
53.9%#35
Available Yards %
#229.1%
allowed
67.0#12
Net Field Position
#4072.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.117#19
340 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#5-0.232
allowed
7.5#111
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#138.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Alabama Defense vs LSU OffenseAlabama · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.24#24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90.43
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.106#26
allowed · 418 plays
EPA/Play
#350.103
483 plays
-0.065#52
allowed · 188 plays
EPA/Pass
#300.143
235 plays
-0.140#21
allowed · 230 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#520.065
248 plays
43.3%#44
allowed · 418 plays
Success Rate
#953.0%
483 plays
44.5%#90
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#854.5%
40.9%#16
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#3051.6%
36.8%#31
allowed
Available Yards %
#1060.5%
74.5#10
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3568.8
-0.111#27
allowed · 319 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#660.026
386 plays
7.5#42
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#526.7
2026 · Situational EPALSU · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.116
436 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.085
479 plays
-0.049
448 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.284
356 plays
0.369
81 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.001
124 plays
0.236
63 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.184
50 plays · small sample
0.214
95 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.228
118 plays
-0.053
108 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.221
113 plays