Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium· Wisconsin -8 · O/U 43.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 707 mi / 0 miForecast: 47°F · wind 17 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Wisconsin -8 · O/U 43.5
opened Wisconsin -7.5, now Wisconsin -8
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Wisconsin as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 2-6-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 10-9-1 ATS (20 games) · 7-12-1 O/U (20 games)
Maryland as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 8-10 ATS (18 games) · 12-6 O/U (18 games)
2026 · TraditionalMaryland · 6 of 9
323.2
Yards / game
369.1
2.38
Points / drive
2.32
2.6
TDs / game
3.4
41.6
3rd-down %
36.1
53.8
RZ TD %
67.6
-0.1
Turnover margin
0.2
2.1
Sacks / game
2.7
5.3
TFL / game
5.9
13.7
Havoc / game
12.9
43.5 / 56.5
Pass / Rush split
54.7 / 45.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Wisconsin has the ball
Wisconsin's early-down offense ranks 104th of 138. Maryland's early-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Wisconsin's passing-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Maryland's passing-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Wisconsin's third-down offense ranks 70th of 138. Maryland's third-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
Wisconsin's red-zone offense ranks 98th of 138. Maryland's red-zone defense ranks 117th of 138.
When Maryland has the ball
Maryland's early-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Wisconsin's early-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Maryland's passing-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Wisconsin's passing-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Maryland's third-down offense ranks 120th of 138. Wisconsin's third-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Maryland's red-zone offense ranks 37th of 138. Wisconsin's red-zone defense ranks 27th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Wisconsin offense
104thof 138-0.078339 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
70thof 138-0.017Wisconsin defense · allowed
22ndof 138-0.115vs
Maryland offense
61stof 1380.022374 plays
Passing downs
Wisconsin offense
115thof 138-0.116198 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
119thof 1380.167212 plays
Wisconsin defense · allowed
21stof 138-0.143216 plays
vs
Maryland offense
121stof 138-0.145205 plays
Third down
Wisconsin offense
70thof 1380.046114 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
90thof 1380.109121 plays
Wisconsin defense · allowed
100thof 1380.134136 plays
vs
Maryland offense
120thof 138-0.161120 plays
Red zone
Wisconsin offense
98thof 138-0.08264 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
117thof 1380.16680 plays
Wisconsin defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.21579 plays
vs
Maryland offense
37thof 1380.10493 plays
Field advancement
Wisconsin offense
73rdof 13846.8%vs
Maryland defense · allowed
87thof 13846.1%Wisconsin defense · allowed
31stof 13838.4%vs
Maryland offense
86thof 13844.6%Wisconsin Offense vs Maryland DefenseMaryland · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#75
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#107-0.17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.044#93
449 plays
EPA/Play
#990.044
allowed · 525 plays
-0.132#106
194 plays
EPA/Pass
#1020.073
allowed · 251 plays
0.023#64
255 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#790.018
allowed · 274 plays
42.5%#125
449 plays
Success Rate
#7946.3%
allowed · 525 plays
39.2%#122
Pass Success Rate
#8644.0%
allowed
45.1%#105
Rush Success Rate
#6246.3%
allowed
46.8%#73
Available Yards %
#8746.1%
allowed
68.9#33
Net Field Position
#8470.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.078#104
339 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#70-0.017
allowed
6.9#62
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#617.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Wisconsin Defense vs Maryland OffenseWisconsin · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.32#16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#630.04
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.087#31
allowed · 536 plays
EPA/Play
#86-0.020
492 plays
-0.100#41
allowed · 262 plays
EPA/Pass
#95-0.092
280 plays
-0.075#37
allowed · 274 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#430.075
212 plays
43.5%#40
allowed · 536 plays
Success Rate
#9844.7%
492 plays
42.1%#54
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5945.4%
44.9%#42
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#11643.9%
38.4%#31
allowed
Available Yards %
#8644.6%
73.9#13
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2168.3
-0.115#22
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#610.022
374 plays
6.6#118
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#947.3
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.052
429 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.027
487 plays
-0.094
498 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.044
526 plays
-0.082
64 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.104
93 plays
-0.215
79 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.166
80 plays
0.046
114 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.161
120 plays
0.134
136 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.109
121 plays