Fourth Down Data
Washington3-1 · Big Ten@#18USC4-1 · Big Ten
Share →
Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET· Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum· USC -9.5 · O/U 58.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 965 mi / 0 miForecast: 93°F · wind 10 mph · Clear
Market context
USC -9.5 · O/U 58.5
total opened 56.5, now 58.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Washington as road underdog
2026 overall: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 3-9 ATS (12 games) · 2-10 O/U (12 games)
USC as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 17-20 ATS (37 games) · 23-14 O/U (37 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalUSC · 5 of 9
395.8
Yards / game
489.4
2.27
Points / drive
3.88
3.3
TDs / game
4.8
34.0
3rd-down %
56.1
59.1
RZ TD %
67.9
1.3
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.3
Sacks / game
1.6
7.0
TFL / game
4.0
15.0
Havoc / game
8.4
54.9 / 45.1
Pass / Rush split
48.7 / 51.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Washington has the ball
Washington's early-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. USC's early-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Washington's passing-down offense ranks 92nd of 138. USC's passing-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
Washington's third-down offense ranks 126th of 138. USC's third-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
Washington's red-zone offense ranks 99th of 138. USC's red-zone defense ranks 63rd of 138.
When USC has the ball
USC's early-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Washington's early-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
USC's passing-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Washington's passing-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
USC's third-down offense ranks 7th of 138. Washington's third-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
USC's red-zone offense ranks 83rd of 138. Washington's red-zone defense ranks 78th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.046 last 3 vs 0.023 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.069 last 3 vs -0.095 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.233 last 3 vs 0.248 season)
▼Defense form0.145 last 3 vs -0.067 season (+0.212)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDemond Williams Jr. — 1129 yd, 7 TD
RushingDemond Williams Jr. — 165 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingDezmen Roebuck — 308 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Maiava — 1499 yd, 14 TD
RushingKing Miller — 412 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKayden Dixon-Wyatt — 372 yd, 3 TD