Fri, Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET· Ross-Ade Stadium· Purdue -3 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 6dTravel 1,809 mi / 0 miForecast: 52°F · wind 19 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Purdue -3 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Washington as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 4-9 ATS (13 games) · 2-11 O/U (13 games)
Purdue as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 6-11 ATS (17 games) · 9-7 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWashington · 5 of 9
369.8
Yards / game
415.5
2.12
Points / drive
3.09
3.2
TDs / game
3.5
31.3
3rd-down %
45.3
62.1
RZ TD %
60.0
0.8
Turnover margin
0.2
1.7
Sacks / game
1.2
5.8
TFL / game
4.5
12.2
Havoc / game
9.7
55.8 / 44.2
Pass / Rush split
47.1 / 52.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Washington has the ball
Washington's early-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Purdue's early-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
Washington's passing-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Purdue's passing-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
Washington's third-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Purdue's third-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Washington's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. Purdue's red-zone defense ranks 95th of 138.
When Purdue has the ball
Purdue's early-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Washington's early-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
Purdue's passing-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Washington's passing-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
Purdue's third-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Washington's third-down defense ranks 45th of 138.
Purdue's red-zone offense ranks 118th of 138. Washington's red-zone defense ranks 93rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.046 last 3 vs 0.012 season (-0.059)
▼Defense form0.123 last 3 vs 0.016 season (+0.107)
▼Offense form-0.051 last 3 vs 0.112 season (-0.163)
Defense formabout the same(0.144 last 3 vs 0.139 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDemond Williams Jr. — 1396 yd, 8 TD
RushingBrian Bonner Jr. — 232 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingDezmen Roebuck — 387 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRyan Browne — 1549 yd, 9 TD
RushingFame Ijeboi — 549 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingAsaad Waseem — 472 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Washington offense
43rdof 1380.077274 plays
vs
Purdue defense · allowed
130thof 1380.148Washington defense · allowed
107thof 1380.045vs
Purdue offense
23rdof 1380.130277 plays
Passing downs
Washington offense
99thof 138-0.082125 plays
vs
Purdue defense · allowed
137thof 1380.412119 plays
Washington defense · allowed
23rdof 138-0.190126 plays
vs
Purdue offense
19thof 1380.264123 plays
Third down
Washington offense
135thof 138-0.39081 plays
vs
Purdue defense · allowed
113thof 1380.20770 plays
Washington defense · allowed
45thof 138-0.11778 plays
vs
Purdue offense
42ndof 1380.20674 plays
Red zone
Washington offense
75thof 138-0.01280 plays
vs
Purdue defense · allowed
95thof 1380.05257 plays · small sample
Washington defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.04644 plays · small sample
vs
Purdue offense
118thof 138-0.20777 plays
Field advancement
Washington offense
97thof 13843.6%vs
Purdue defense · allowed
131stof 13855.8%Washington defense · allowed
65thof 13842.2%vs
Purdue offense
36thof 13854.7%Away
Home
Washington Offense vs Purdue DefenseWashington · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.13#97
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#125-0.26
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.005#81
357 plays
EPA/Play
#1300.160
allowed · 313 plays
0.114#37
194 plays
EPA/Pass
#1230.177
allowed · 156 plays
-0.147#122
163 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1260.143
allowed · 157 plays
46.5%#77
357 plays
Success Rate
#12649.8%
allowed · 313 plays
50.5%#33
Pass Success Rate
#12548.9%
allowed
41.7%#128
Rush Success Rate
#10348.9%
allowed
43.6%#97
Available Yards %
#13155.8%
allowed
72.0#99
Net Field Position
#7471.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.077#43
274 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1300.148
allowed
7.2#90
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#477.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Washington Defense vs Purdue OffensePurdue · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#81
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#220.23
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.001#82
allowed · 341 plays
EPA/Play
#220.156
344 plays
0.004#83
allowed · 151 plays
EPA/Pass
#80.338
164 plays
-0.001#74
allowed · 190 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#86-0.010
180 plays
46.9%#90
allowed · 341 plays
Success Rate
#2850.6%
344 plays
46.7%#114
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#1254.9%
45.8%#61
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9446.7%
42.2%#65
allowed
Available Yards %
#3654.7%
71.3#73
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9471.9
0.045#107
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#230.130
277 plays
6.9#88
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#296.3
2026 · Situational EPAWashington · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.005
357 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.164
338 plays
0.005
349 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.176
309 plays
-0.012
80 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.207
77 plays
0.046
44 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.052
57 plays · small sample
-0.390
81 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.206
74 plays
-0.117
78 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.207
70 plays