Sat, Oct 17, 6:00 PM ET· Reser Stadium· Oregon State -16.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 8d / 7dTravel 332 mi / 0 miForecast: 65°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oregon State -16.5 · O/U 51.5
opened Oregon State -14.5, now Oregon State -16.5 · total opened 50.5, now 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Washington State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 15-10-1 ATS (26 games) · 8-17-1 O/U (26 games)
Oregon State as home favorite
2026 overall: 6-0 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 17-9 ATS (26 games) · 12-14 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOregon State · 8 of 9
282.3
Yards / game
522.3
1.24
Points / drive
3.65
1.5
TDs / game
5.7
26.9
3rd-down %
49.3
50.0
RZ TD %
78.6
-1.0
Turnover margin
0.7
1.2
Sacks / game
2.5
4.8
TFL / game
4.7
9.5
Havoc / game
13.3
48.8 / 51.2
Pass / Rush split
58.2 / 41.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Washington State has the ball
Washington State's early-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Oregon State's early-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Washington State's passing-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Oregon State's passing-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Washington State's third-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Oregon State's third-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Washington State's red-zone offense ranks 71st of 138. Oregon State's red-zone defense ranks 59th of 138.
When Oregon State has the ball
Oregon State's early-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Washington State's early-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Oregon State's passing-down offense ranks 30th of 138. Washington State's passing-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Oregon State's third-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Washington State's third-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
Oregon State's red-zone offense ranks 10th of 138. Washington State's red-zone defense ranks 35th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.346 last 3 vs -0.213 season (-0.133)
Defense formabout the same(-0.063 last 3 vs -0.061 season)
▲Offense form0.418 last 3 vs 0.279 season (+0.139)
▲Defense form-0.275 last 3 vs -0.162 season (-0.113)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Pinnick — 952 yd, 3 TD
RushingKirby Vorhees — 251 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingDarrius Clemons — 218 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBraden Atkinson — 2257 yd, 21 TD
RushingAJ Newberry — 326 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJesse Legree — 932 yd, 12 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Washington State offense
130thof 138-0.179259 plays
vs
Oregon State defense · allowed
49thof 138-0.053Washington State defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.023vs
Oregon State offense
14thof 1380.183264 plays
Passing downs
Washington State offense
136thof 138-0.309149 plays
vs
Oregon State defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.039133 plays
Washington State defense · allowed
64thof 138-0.034138 plays
vs
Oregon State offense
30thof 1380.208127 plays
Third down
Washington State offense
134thof 138-0.34480 plays
vs
Oregon State defense · allowed
57thof 138-0.02981 plays
Washington State defense · allowed
79thof 1380.03588 plays
vs
Oregon State offense
16thof 1380.39075 plays
Red zone
Washington State offense
71stof 1380.00825 plays · small sample
vs
Oregon State defense · allowed
59thof 138-0.09654 plays · small sample
Washington State defense · allowed
35thof 138-0.21056 plays · small sample
vs
Oregon State offense
10thof 1380.29170 plays
Field advancement
Washington State offense
136thof 13831.7%vs
Oregon State defense · allowed
46thof 13838.9%Washington State defense · allowed
59thof 13841.7%vs
Oregon State offense
10thof 13861.6%Away
Home
Washington State Offense vs Oregon State DefenseOregon State · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.42#136
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#430.10
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.209#135
342 plays
EPA/Play
#41-0.066
allowed · 275 plays
-0.349#135
171 plays
EPA/Pass
#55-0.077
allowed · 118 plays
-0.069#109
171 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#51-0.057
allowed · 157 plays
40.4%#131
342 plays
Success Rate
#7245.5%
allowed · 275 plays
36.8%#124
Pass Success Rate
#8144.0%
allowed
43.9%#111
Rush Success Rate
#6946.6%
allowed
31.7%#136
Available Yards %
#4638.9%
allowed
74.8#135
Net Field Position
#9470.4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.179#130
259 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#49-0.053
allowed
8.6#138
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#867.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Washington State Defense vs Oregon State OffenseOregon State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.01#73
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.43
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.045#53
allowed · 363 plays
EPA/Play
#70.243
333 plays
-0.083#53
allowed · 177 plays
EPA/Pass
#100.325
213 plays
-0.009#68
allowed · 186 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#430.096
120 plays
41.3%#31
allowed · 363 plays
Success Rate
#1253.2%
333 plays
37.0%#14
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2052.6%
42.6%#31
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1454.2%
41.7%#59
allowed
Available Yards %
#1061.6%
66.9#134
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#11172.7
-0.023#65
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#140.183
264 plays
7.6#41
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#346.4
2026 · Situational EPAOregon State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.209
342 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.230
338 plays
-0.045
363 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.045
288 plays
0.008
25 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.291
70 plays
-0.210
56 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.096
54 plays · small sample
-0.344
80 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.390
75 plays
0.035
88 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.029
81 plays