Fourth Down Data
Virginia4-2 · ACC@#24SMU4-1 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET· Gerald J. Ford Stadium· SMU -8 · O/U 54.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 1,087 mi / 0 miForecast: 66°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
SMU -8 · O/U 54.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Virginia as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 18-9 ATS (27 games) · 14-13 O/U (27 games)
SMU as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-3-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-14 ATS (32 games) · 15-17 O/U (32 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSMU · 7 of 9
380.3
Yards / game
479.2
2.59
Points / drive
2.94
4.3
TDs / game
4.8
33.3
3rd-down %
51.6
72.0
RZ TD %
70.8
1.0
Turnover margin
-0.8
2.2
Sacks / game
3.4
5.5
TFL / game
9.2
13.8
Havoc / game
17.0
39.8 / 60.2
Pass / Rush split
50.0 / 50.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Virginia has the ball
Virginia's early-down offense ranks 39th of 138. SMU's early-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 89th of 138. SMU's passing-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Virginia's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. SMU's third-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 27th of 138. SMU's red-zone defense ranks 121st of 138.
When SMU has the ball
SMU's early-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Virginia's early-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
SMU's passing-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
SMU's third-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Virginia's third-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
SMU's red-zone offense ranks 48th of 138. Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 115th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.064 last 3 vs 0.074 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.006 last 3 vs -0.037 season)
▼Offense form0.069 last 3 vs 0.177 season (-0.108)
▼Defense form0.043 last 3 vs -0.062 season (+0.106)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBeau Pribula — 1080 yd, 13 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook — 337 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKameron Courtney — 204 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKevin Jennings — 1588 yd, 14 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael — 418 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight — 367 yd, 2 TD