Fri, Nov 6, 7:00 PM ET· Gerald J. Ford Stadium· SMU -7.5 · O/U 57.5
Rest 13d / 6dTravel 973 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
SMU -7.5 · O/U 57.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Virginia Tech as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-3 ATS (8 games) · 5-3 O/U (8 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 8-13 ATS (21 games) · 7-14 O/U (21 games)
SMU as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-3-2 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-2-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 19-14-1 ATS (34 games) · 16-18 O/U (34 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSMU · 6 of 9
424.1
Yards / game
470.3
2.72
Points / drive
3.15
4.1
TDs / game
4.9
40.0
3rd-down %
45.3
58.8
RZ TD %
70.6
-0.5
Turnover margin
-0.4
3.4
Sacks / game
3.0
9.6
TFL / game
7.9
18.0
Havoc / game
14.9
47.9 / 52.1
Pass / Rush split
48.2 / 51.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Virginia Tech has the ball
Virginia Tech's early-down offense ranks 65th of 138. SMU's early-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Virginia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 38th of 138. SMU's passing-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Virginia Tech's third-down offense ranks 81st of 138. SMU's third-down defense ranks 25th of 138.
Virginia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 88th of 138. SMU's red-zone defense ranks 118th of 138.
When SMU has the ball
SMU's early-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Virginia Tech's early-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
SMU's passing-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Virginia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
SMU's third-down offense ranks 6th of 138. Virginia Tech's third-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
SMU's red-zone offense ranks 36th of 138. Virginia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 108th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.009 last 3 vs 0.060 season (-0.051)
▼Defense form0.011 last 3 vs -0.137 season (+0.148)
▼Offense form0.136 last 3 vs 0.190 season (-0.054)
Defense formabout the same(-0.059 last 3 vs -0.061 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEthan Grunkemeyer — 2140 yd, 17 TD
RushingJeffrey Overton, Jr. — 639 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingQue'Sean Brown — 685 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKevin Jennings — 2062 yd, 19 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael — 641 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight — 443 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Virginia Tech offense
65thof 1380.028379 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.025Virginia Tech defense · allowed
93rdof 1380.024vs
SMU offense
41stof 1380.070347 plays
Passing downs
Virginia Tech offense
38thof 1380.150189 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.086163 plays
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.090189 plays
vs
SMU offense
29thof 1380.185149 plays
Third down
Virginia Tech offense
81stof 1380.011115 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
25thof 138-0.15899 plays
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
57thof 138-0.026109 plays
vs
SMU offense
6thof 1380.44586 plays
Red zone
Virginia Tech offense
88thof 138-0.05989 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
118thof 1380.18951 plays · small sample
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
108thof 1380.12452 plays · small sample
vs
SMU offense
36thof 1380.12190 plays
Field advancement
Virginia Tech offense
48thof 13851.9%vs
SMU defense · allowed
22ndof 13835.7%Virginia Tech defense · allowed
20thof 13835.4%vs
SMU offense
4thof 13862.1%Away
Home
Virginia Tech Offense vs SMU DefenseSMU · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.16#40
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#540.07
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.032#62
492 plays
EPA/Play
#58-0.037
allowed · 396 plays
0.109#40
238 plays
EPA/Pass
#820.006
allowed · 183 plays
-0.040#102
254 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#36-0.075
allowed · 213 plays
46.5%#72
492 plays
Success Rate
#2641.9%
allowed · 396 plays
47.5%#53
Pass Success Rate
#2038.5%
allowed
45.7%#101
Rush Success Rate
#3043.6%
allowed
51.9%#48
Available Yards %
#2235.7%
allowed
68.0#20
Net Field Position
#1774.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.028#65
379 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#65-0.025
allowed
6.8#60
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#207.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Virginia Tech Defense vs SMU OffenseSMU · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.08#51
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#240.23
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.024#62
allowed · 407 plays
EPA/Play
#170.159
440 plays
0.123#112
allowed · 209 plays
EPA/Pass
#130.260
212 plays
-0.178#11
allowed · 198 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#530.064
228 plays
43.5%#47
allowed · 407 plays
Success Rate
#2850.5%
440 plays
45.8%#108
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#1352.8%
36.8%#4
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#8048.2%
35.4%#20
allowed
Available Yards %
#462.1%
71.2#76
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#666.2
0.024#93
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#410.070
347 plays
8.0#12
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#977.3
2026 · Situational EPASMU · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.030
505 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.167
441 plays
-0.031
422 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.038
400 plays
-0.059
89 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.121
90 plays
0.124
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.189
51 plays · small sample
0.011
115 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.445
86 plays
-0.026
109 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.158
99 plays