Sat, Nov 14, 9:30 PM ET· Snapdragon Stadium· Utah State -1.5 · O/U 41.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 685 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Utah State -1.5 · O/U 41.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Utah State as road favorite
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 1-8 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 3-7 ATS (10 games) · 5-5 O/U (10 games)
San Diego State as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 10-5 ATS (15 games) · 7-8 O/U (15 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSan Diego State · 6 of 9
319.8
Yards / game
324.6
1.56
Points / drive
1.96
2.0
TDs / game
2.8
38.7
3rd-down %
34.5
54.2
RZ TD %
64.5
-0.4
Turnover margin
-0.2
1.9
Sacks / game
2.1
5.9
TFL / game
4.6
12.4
Havoc / game
11.3
45.5 / 54.5
Pass / Rush split
42.7 / 57.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Utah State has the ball
Utah State's early-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. San Diego State's early-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Utah State's passing-down offense ranks 77th of 138. San Diego State's passing-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Utah State's third-down offense ranks 74th of 138. San Diego State's third-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Utah State's red-zone offense ranks 127th of 138. San Diego State's red-zone defense ranks 101st of 138.
When San Diego State has the ball
San Diego State's early-down offense ranks 125th of 138. Utah State's early-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
San Diego State's passing-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Utah State's passing-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
San Diego State's third-down offense ranks 76th of 138. Utah State's third-down defense ranks 56th of 138.
San Diego State's red-zone offense ranks 35th of 138. Utah State's red-zone defense ranks 20th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form-0.003 last 3 vs -0.111 season (+0.108)
Defense formabout the same(-0.104 last 3 vs -0.074 season)
▲Offense form0.114 last 3 vs -0.132 season (+0.246)
▼Defense form0.164 last 3 vs 0.097 season (+0.067)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGrady Brosterhous — 1120 yd, 7 TD
RushingJaven Jacobs — 527 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingEli Wood — 479 yd, 5 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Denegal — 899 yd, 7 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard — 613 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingJaylon Hawkins — 357 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Utah State offense
123rdof 138-0.119407 plays
vs
San Diego State defense · allowed
124thof 1380.102Utah State defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.127vs
San Diego State offense
125thof 138-0.122363 plays
Passing downs
Utah State offense
77thof 138-0.034203 plays
vs
San Diego State defense · allowed
113thof 1380.121198 plays
Utah State defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.022232 plays
vs
San Diego State offense
49thof 1380.074198 plays
Third down
Utah State offense
74thof 1380.026119 plays
vs
San Diego State defense · allowed
105thof 1380.146134 plays
Utah State defense · allowed
56thof 138-0.006138 plays
vs
San Diego State offense
76thof 1380.023116 plays
Red zone
Utah State offense
127thof 138-0.32666 plays
vs
San Diego State defense · allowed
101stof 1380.107100 plays
Utah State defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.24259 plays · small sample
vs
San Diego State offense
35thof 1380.11177 plays
Field advancement
Utah State offense
110thof 13841.0%vs
San Diego State defense · allowed
125thof 13852.9%Utah State defense · allowed
55thof 13841.7%vs
San Diego State offense
115thof 13840.1%Away
Home
Utah State Offense vs San Diego State DefenseUtah State · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.38#133
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#114-0.22
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.106#123
529 plays
EPA/Play
#1170.088
allowed · 601 plays
-0.154#111
239 plays
EPA/Pass
#1170.111
allowed · 275 plays
-0.067#108
290 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1000.069
allowed · 326 plays
43.3%#118
529 plays
Success Rate
#13751.9%
allowed · 601 plays
39.7%#115
Pass Success Rate
#13651.4%
allowed
46.2%#92
Rush Success Rate
#12952.2%
allowed
41.0%#110
Available Yards %
#12552.9%
allowed
69.6#50
Net Field Position
#12968.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.119#123
407 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1240.102
allowed
7.1#79
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1385.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Utah State Defense vs San Diego State OffenseUtah State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.16#38
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#102-0.19
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.086#32
allowed · 572 plays
EPA/Play
#109-0.074
472 plays
-0.098#43
allowed · 308 plays
EPA/Pass
#130-0.218
197 plays
-0.071#38
allowed · 264 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#620.030
275 plays
41.3%#20
allowed · 572 plays
Success Rate
#10843.6%
472 plays
42.7%#69
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#12339.1%
39.6%#11
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#8746.9%
41.7%#55
allowed
Available Yards %
#11540.1%
73.3#18
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#5870.0
-0.127#17
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#125-0.122
363 plays
6.8#92
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#466.6
2026 · Situational EPAUtah State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.137
533 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.061
484 plays
-0.090
581 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.084
607 plays
-0.326
66 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.111
77 plays
-0.242
59 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.107
100 plays
0.026
119 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.023
116 plays
-0.006
138 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.146
134 plays