Fourth Down Data
Utah State1-3 · Pac-12@#22Boise State3-1 · Pac-12
Share →
Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET· Albertsons Stadium· Boise State -20.5 · O/U 51.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 257 mi / 0 miForecast: 83°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Boise State -20.5 · O/U 51.5
total opened 51, now 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Utah State as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 14-12 ATS (26 games) · 12-14 O/U (26 games)
Boise State as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 6-1 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 24-12-1 ATS (37 games) · 23-13-1 O/U (37 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBoise State · 9 of 9
319.8
Yards / game
440.5
1.24
Points / drive
2.79
1.8
TDs / game
4.0
42.6
3rd-down %
50.9
50.0
RZ TD %
70.6
-1.8
Turnover margin
0.8
1.3
Sacks / game
1.5
4.5
TFL / game
6.0
10.8
Havoc / game
12.0
50.2 / 49.8
Pass / Rush split
39.1 / 60.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Utah State has the ball
Utah State's early-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Boise State's early-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
Utah State's passing-down offense ranks 101st of 138. Boise State's passing-down defense ranks 100th of 138.
Utah State's third-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Boise State's third-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Utah State's red-zone offense ranks 135th of 138. Boise State's red-zone defense ranks 19th of 138.
When Boise State has the ball
Boise State's early-down offense ranks 21st of 138. Utah State's early-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Boise State's passing-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Utah State's passing-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Boise State's third-down offense ranks 27th of 138. Utah State's third-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
Boise State's red-zone offense ranks 51st of 138. Utah State's red-zone defense ranks 45th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.159 last 3 vs -0.178 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.023 last 3 vs -0.024 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.214 last 3 vs 0.175 season)
▲Defense form-0.120 last 3 vs -0.055 season (-0.065)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGrady Brosterhous — 635 yd, 4 TD
RushingGrady Brosterhous — 222 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingEli Wood — 286 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMaddux Madsen — 814 yd, 9 TD
RushingDylan Riley — 592 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingRasean Jones — 271 yd, 1 TD