Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET· Joe Aillet Stadium· Army -2.5 · O/U 47.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 8d / 14dTravel 1,196 mi / 0 miForecast: 78°F · wind 9 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Army -2.5 · O/U 47.5
opened Army -3.5, now Army -2.5 · total opened 46.5, now 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Army as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 8-3 ATS (11 games) · 3-7-1 O/U (11 games)
Louisiana Tech as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 7-3 ATS (10 games) · 10-0 O/U (10 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
436.7
Yards / game
343.0
3.17
Points / drive
1.81
4.7
TDs / game
4.7
50.0
3rd-down %
41.5
75.0
RZ TD %
66.7
-0.3
Turnover margin
0.7
1.0
Sacks / game
3.3
3.3
TFL / game
11.0
8.0
Havoc / game
20.3
15.4 / 84.6
Pass / Rush split
46.9 / 53.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Army has the ball
Army's early-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. Louisiana Tech's early-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Army's passing-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Louisiana Tech's passing-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Army's third-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Louisiana Tech's third-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Army's red-zone offense ranks 38th of 138. Louisiana Tech's red-zone defense ranks 4th of 138.
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
Louisiana Tech's early-down offense ranks 127th of 138. Army's early-down defense ranks 136th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's passing-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Army's passing-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's third-down offense ranks 13th of 138. Army's third-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's red-zone offense ranks 89th of 138. Army's red-zone defense ranks 59th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Season to date · 3 games
Season to date · 3 games
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCale Hellums — 186 yd, 2 TD
RushingCale Hellums — 246 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingSamari Howard — 62 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBlake Baker — 360 yd, 4 TD
RushingTrey Kukuk — 127 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingJalen Mickens — 297 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Army offense
33rdof 1380.116130 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
33rdof 138-0.133Army defense · allowed
136thof 1380.244vs
Louisiana Tech offense
127thof 138-0.16390 plays
Passing downs
Army offense
80thof 1380.00344 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
14thof 138-0.26385 plays
Army defense · allowed
126thof 1380.26049 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
75thof 1380.02373 plays
Third down
Army offense
40thof 1380.23232 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
28thof 138-0.23248 plays · small sample
Army defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.23134 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
13thof 1380.43341 plays · small sample
Red zone
Army offense
38thof 1380.17030 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
4thof 138-0.55145 plays · small sample
Army defense · allowed
59thof 138-0.11011 plays · small sample
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
89thof 138-0.02628 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Army offense
15thof 13861.4%vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
46thof 13836.6%Army defense · allowed
78thof 13843.2%vs
Louisiana Tech offense
109thof 13841.5%Away
Home
Army Offense vs Louisiana Tech DefenseArmy · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.08#54
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#82-0.02
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.178#22
163 plays
EPA/Play
#12-0.190
allowed · 154 plays
0.080#53
26 plays · small sample
EPA/Pass
#20-0.224
allowed · 63 plays
0.196#19
137 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#30-0.167
allowed · 91 plays
54.6%#11
163 plays
Success Rate
#4642.2%
allowed · 154 plays
50.0%#38
Pass Success Rate
#9945.7%
allowed
55.5%#17
Rush Success Rate
#4743.9%
allowed
61.4%#15
Available Yards %
#4636.6%
allowed
69.6#55
Net Field Position
#13465.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.116#33
130 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#33-0.133
allowed
5.7#9
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#218.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Army Defense vs Louisiana Tech OffenseArmy · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#87
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#85-0.05
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.160#131
allowed · 139 plays · small sample
EPA/Play
#126-0.162
122 plays · small sample
0.156#116
allowed · 65 plays
EPA/Pass
#123-0.225
62 plays
0.164#124
allowed · 74 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#112-0.097
60 plays
49.6%#123
allowed · 139 plays · small sample
Success Rate
#13439.3%
122 plays · small sample
43.8%#86
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#12437.1%
50.6%#113
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13041.7%
43.2%#78
allowed
Available Yards %
#10941.5%
77.9#2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#763.3
0.244#136
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#127-0.163
90 plays
6.4#116
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#957.4
2026 · Situational EPALouisiana Tech · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.178
163 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.106
134 plays · small sample
0.160
139 plays · small sample
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.195
170 plays
0.170
30 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.026
28 plays · small sample
-0.110
11 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.551
45 plays · small sample
0.232
32 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.433
41 plays · small sample
-0.231
34 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.232
48 plays · small sample