Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium· Navy -3 · O/U 53.5
Rest 9d / 7dTravel 1,080 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Navy -3 · O/U 53.5
opened Navy -2.5, now Navy -3
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Tulsa as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 18-10-1 ATS (29 games) · 10-17-2 O/U (29 games)
Navy as home favorite
2026 overall: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 4-12 ATS (16 games) · 10-6 O/U (16 games)
2026 · TraditionalTulsa · 6 of 9
354.2
Yards / game
381.5
2.16
Points / drive
2.15
3.6
TDs / game
3.3
25.0
3rd-down %
36.7
83.3
RZ TD %
70.0
1.2
Turnover margin
-0.5
2.8
Sacks / game
2.5
5.4
TFL / game
6.0
14.0
Havoc / game
10.3
47.2 / 52.8
Pass / Rush split
23.3 / 76.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Tulsa has the ball
Tulsa's early-down offense ranks 114th of 138. Navy's early-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Tulsa's passing-down offense ranks 116th of 138. Navy's passing-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Tulsa's third-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Navy's third-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
Tulsa's red-zone offense ranks 33rd of 138. Navy's red-zone defense ranks 72nd of 138.
When Navy has the ball
Navy's early-down offense ranks 84th of 138. Tulsa's early-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
Navy's passing-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Tulsa's passing-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
Navy's third-down offense ranks 57th of 138. Tulsa's third-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
Navy's red-zone offense ranks 18th of 138. Tulsa's red-zone defense ranks 33rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Tulsa offense
114thof 138-0.091223 plays
vs
Navy defense · allowed
117thof 1380.073Tulsa defense · allowed
85thof 138-0.007vs
Navy offense
84thof 138-0.021178 plays
Passing downs
Tulsa offense
116thof 138-0.157113 plays
vs
Navy defense · allowed
118thof 1380.17690 plays
Tulsa defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.066146 plays
vs
Navy offense
83rdof 138-0.01188 plays
Third down
Tulsa offense
110thof 138-0.14771 plays
vs
Navy defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.09553 plays · small sample
Tulsa defense · allowed
84thof 1380.06179 plays
vs
Navy offense
57thof 1380.16549 plays · small sample
Red zone
Tulsa offense
33rdof 1380.20229 plays · small sample
vs
Navy defense · allowed
72ndof 138-0.02119 plays · small sample
Tulsa defense · allowed
33rdof 138-0.24853 plays · small sample
vs
Navy offense
18thof 1380.28930 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Tulsa offense
105thof 13842.5%vs
Navy defense · allowed
71stof 13842.5%Tulsa defense · allowed
76thof 13843.1%vs
Navy offense
77thof 13847.9%Tulsa Offense vs Navy DefenseTulsa · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.13#100
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#720.00
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.014#81
303 plays
EPA/Play
#1090.059
allowed · 230 plays
-0.229#126
149 plays
EPA/Pass
#1360.362
allowed · 81 plays
0.194#13
154 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#38-0.106
allowed · 149 plays
44.6%#102
303 plays
Success Rate
#8446.1%
allowed · 230 plays
34.9%#133
Pass Success Rate
#13452.4%
allowed
53.9%#19
Rush Success Rate
#3942.7%
allowed
42.5%#105
Available Yards %
#7142.5%
allowed
69.0#47
Net Field Position
#10469.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.091#114
223 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1170.073
allowed
7.3#87
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1116.6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Tulsa Defense vs Navy OffenseTulsa · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.09#43
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#85-0.06
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.064#54
allowed · 351 plays
EPA/Play
#560.053
233 plays
0.063#96
allowed · 177 plays
EPA/Pass
#125-0.222
55 plays · small sample
-0.194#14
allowed · 174 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#270.137
178 plays
42.2%#42
allowed · 351 plays
Success Rate
#5648.1%
233 plays
43.9%#82
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#13729.1%
40.0%#21
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1853.9%
43.1%#76
allowed
Available Yards %
#7747.9%
73.2#42
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#12373.4
-0.007#85
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#84-0.021
178 plays
7.3#64
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#927.3
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.014
303 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.053
233 plays
-0.064
351 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.059
230 plays
0.202
29 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.289
30 plays · small sample
-0.248
53 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.021
19 plays · small sample
-0.147
71 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.165
49 plays · small sample
0.061
79 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.095
53 plays · small sample