Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET· Rice Stadium· UTSA -11.5 · O/U 55.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 186 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 6 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
UTSA -11.5 · O/U 55.5
opened UTSA -10.5, now UTSA -11.5 · total opened 54.5, now 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
UTSA as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-0-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-10 ATS (21 games) · 10-11 O/U (21 games)
Rice as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 13-7 ATS (20 games) · 15-5 O/U (20 games)
2026 · TraditionalUTSA · 5 of 9
402.3
Yards / game
353.5
2.83
Points / drive
2.24
4.0
TDs / game
2.5
31.4
3rd-down %
36.0
58.3
RZ TD %
55.6
1.3
Turnover margin
-1.0
0.8
Sacks / game
1.3
3.5
TFL / game
5.3
9.5
Havoc / game
10.3
49.8 / 50.2
Pass / Rush split
23.1 / 76.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When UTSA has the ball
UTSA's early-down offense ranks 45th of 138. Rice's early-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
UTSA's passing-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Rice's passing-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
UTSA's third-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Rice's third-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
UTSA's red-zone offense ranks 84th of 138. Rice's red-zone defense ranks 66th of 138.
When Rice has the ball
Rice's early-down offense ranks 58th of 138. UTSA's early-down defense ranks 90th of 138.
Rice's passing-down offense ranks 129th of 138. UTSA's passing-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Rice's third-down offense ranks 98th of 138. UTSA's third-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Rice's red-zone offense ranks 111th of 138. UTSA's red-zone defense ranks 84th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
UTSA offense
45thof 1380.079163 plays
vs
Rice defense · allowed
121stof 1380.105UTSA defense · allowed
90thof 1380.008vs
Rice offense
58thof 1380.036170 plays
Passing downs
UTSA offense
99thof 138-0.06682 plays
vs
Rice defense · allowed
133rdof 1380.31090 plays
UTSA defense · allowed
99thof 1380.079107 plays
vs
Rice offense
129thof 138-0.20979 plays
Third down
UTSA offense
93rdof 138-0.04651 plays · small sample
vs
Rice defense · allowed
113thof 1380.21652 plays · small sample
UTSA defense · allowed
115thof 1380.23270 plays
vs
Rice offense
98thof 138-0.06350 plays · small sample
Red zone
UTSA offense
84thof 1380.00137 plays · small sample
vs
Rice defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.03746 plays · small sample
UTSA defense · allowed
84thof 1380.03958 plays · small sample
vs
Rice offense
111thof 138-0.18421 plays · small sample
Field advancement
UTSA offense
92ndof 13845.5%vs
Rice defense · allowed
133rdof 13857.1%UTSA defense · allowed
117thof 13850.6%vs
Rice offense
96thof 13844.8%UTSA Offense vs Rice DefenseUTSA · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.09#48
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#120-0.20
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.117#40
215 plays
EPA/Play
#1150.093
allowed · 199 plays
-0.067#94
108 plays
EPA/Pass
#53-0.080
allowed · 87 plays
0.302#4
107 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1330.228
allowed · 112 plays
50.7%#30
215 plays
Success Rate
#10647.7%
allowed · 199 plays
40.7%#103
Pass Success Rate
#12048.6%
allowed
60.7%#3
Rush Success Rate
#8747.6%
allowed
45.5%#92
Available Yards %
#13357.1%
allowed
68.3#39
Net Field Position
#13166.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.079#45
163 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1210.105
allowed
7.9#121
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#907.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
UTSA Defense vs Rice OffenseRice · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#91
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#86-0.05
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.048#103
allowed · 281 plays
EPA/Play
#640.037
220 plays
-0.158#33
allowed · 140 plays
EPA/Pass
#131-0.282
51 plays · small sample
0.254#136
allowed · 141 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#360.133
169 plays
47.3%#100
allowed · 281 plays
Success Rate
#3250.5%
220 plays
43.3%#80
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#13035.3%
48.5%#96
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1955.0%
50.6%#117
allowed
Available Yards %
#9644.8%
72.3#57
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#13675.7
0.008#90
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#580.036
170 plays
6.6#109
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#446.5
2026 · Situational EPAUTSA · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.086
230 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.018
223 plays
0.035
293 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.118
195 plays
0.001
37 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.184
21 plays · small sample
0.039
58 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.037
46 plays · small sample
-0.046
51 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
-0.063
50 plays · small sample
0.232
70 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.216
52 plays · small sample