Neutral siteSat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Cotton Bowl· Texas -9 · O/U 41.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 182 mi / 172 miForecast: 79°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas -9 · O/U 41.5
opened Texas -9.5, now Texas -9
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas as road favorite
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-15-1 ATS (26 games) · 13-13 O/U (26 games)
Oklahoma as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
2026 · TraditionalTexas · 9 of 9
378.5
Yards / game
321.3
2.62
Points / drive
1.38
3.8
TDs / game
2.5
50.0
3rd-down %
34.0
68.4
RZ TD %
44.4
0.0
Turnover margin
-1.5
3.8
Sacks / game
3.3
7.8
TFL / game
7.0
16.8
Havoc / game
15.0
43.4 / 56.6
Pass / Rush split
45.3 / 54.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas has the ball
Texas's early-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Oklahoma's early-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Texas's passing-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Oklahoma's passing-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Texas's third-down offense ranks 24th of 138. Oklahoma's third-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Texas's red-zone offense ranks 65th of 138. Oklahoma's red-zone defense ranks 28th of 138.
When Oklahoma has the ball
Oklahoma's early-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Texas's early-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Oklahoma's passing-down offense ranks 107th of 138. Texas's passing-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Oklahoma's third-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Texas's third-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
Oklahoma's red-zone offense ranks 133rd of 138. Texas's red-zone defense ranks 15th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Texas offense
115thof 138-0.092191 plays
vs
Oklahoma defense · allowed
17thof 138-0.169130 plays
Texas defense · allowed
9thof 138-0.200164 plays
vs
Oklahoma offense
90thof 138-0.039145 plays
Passing downs
Texas offense
44thof 1380.147100 plays
vs
Oklahoma defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.38591 plays
Texas defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.13990 plays
vs
Oklahoma offense
107thof 138-0.12986 plays
Third down
Texas offense
24thof 1380.31860 plays
vs
Oklahoma defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.59052 plays · small sample
Texas defense · allowed
107thof 1380.17656 plays · small sample
vs
Oklahoma offense
132ndof 138-0.37453 plays · small sample
Red zone
Texas offense
65thof 1380.04055 plays · small sample
vs
Oklahoma defense · allowed
28thof 138-0.28324 plays · small sample
Texas defense · allowed
15thof 138-0.38625 plays · small sample
vs
Oklahoma offense
133rdof 138-0.54922 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Texas offense
65thof 13850.6%vs
Oklahoma defense · allowed
10thof 13829.5%Texas defense · allowed
18thof 13831.8%vs
Oklahoma offense
123rdof 13837.4%Texas Offense vs Oklahoma DefenseOklahoma · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.10#49
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#200.24
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.019#86
250 plays
EPA/Play
#15-0.173
allowed · 176 plays
-0.004#67
112 plays
EPA/Pass
#7-0.332
allowed · 66 plays
-0.032#97
138 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#46-0.078
allowed · 110 plays
48.0%#57
250 plays
Success Rate
#737.5%
allowed · 176 plays
45.5%#70
Pass Success Rate
#532.1%
allowed
50.0%#48
Rush Success Rate
#1539.2%
allowed
50.6%#65
Available Yards %
#1029.5%
allowed
67.8#32
Net Field Position
#13864.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.092#115
191 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#17-0.169
allowed · 130 plays
6.7#52
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#208.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Texas Defense vs Oklahoma OffenseTexas · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.32#2
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#107-0.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.160#19
allowed · 218 plays
EPA/Play
#131-0.185
185 plays
-0.211#21
allowed · 106 plays
EPA/Pass
#96-0.079
92 plays
-0.111#37
allowed · 112 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#135-0.290
93 plays
40.8%#28
allowed · 218 plays
Success Rate
#12641.6%
185 plays
35.3%#13
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#10840.2%
45.0%#54
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#12143.0%
31.8%#18
allowed
Available Yards %
#12337.4%
72.4#58
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10272.3
-0.200#9
allowed · 164 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#90-0.039
145 plays
8.2#19
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#686.9
2026 · Situational EPATexas · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.019
250 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.194
197 plays
-0.160
218 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.228
187 plays
0.040
55 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.549
22 plays · small sample
-0.386
25 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.283
24 plays · small sample
0.318
60 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.374
53 plays · small sample
0.176
56 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.590
52 plays · small sample