Rest 7d / 7dTravel 391 mi / 0 miForecast: 53°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
LSU -3.5 · O/U 46
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-4-1 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 2-6 ATS (8 games) · 2-6 O/U (8 games)
LSU as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Last season (2025): 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 17-19 ATS (36 games) · 16-20 O/U (36 games)
2026 · TraditionalLSU · 8 of 9
360.7
Yards / game
504.1
2.28
Points / drive
3.18
3.4
TDs / game
4.7
40.3
3rd-down %
50.0
64.7
RZ TD %
67.3
-0.4
Turnover margin
-0.4
3.0
Sacks / game
4.0
6.9
TFL / game
7.2
15.8
Havoc / game
16.8
44.5 / 55.5
Pass / Rush split
48.5 / 51.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas has the ball
Texas's early-down offense ranks 106th of 138. LSU's early-down defense ranks 8th of 138.
Texas's passing-down offense ranks 51st of 138. LSU's passing-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Texas's third-down offense ranks 58th of 138. LSU's third-down defense ranks 19th of 138.
Texas's red-zone offense ranks 46th of 138. LSU's red-zone defense ranks 55th of 138.
When LSU has the ball
LSU's early-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Texas's early-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
LSU's passing-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Texas's passing-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
LSU's third-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Texas's third-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
LSU's red-zone offense ranks 100th of 138. Texas's red-zone defense ranks 22nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Texas offense
106thof 138-0.084427 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.194Texas defense · allowed
11thof 138-0.150418 plays
vs
LSU offense
58thof 1380.034449 plays
Passing downs
Texas offense
51stof 1380.073204 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.263200 plays
Texas defense · allowed
13thof 138-0.186228 plays
vs
LSU offense
47thof 1380.077218 plays
Third down
Texas offense
58thof 1380.087124 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
19thof 138-0.193124 plays
Texas defense · allowed
34thof 138-0.125140 plays
vs
LSU offense
35thof 1380.195132 plays
Red zone
Texas offense
46thof 1380.06199 plays
vs
LSU defense · allowed
55thof 138-0.08259 plays · small sample
Texas defense · allowed
22ndof 138-0.23663 plays
vs
LSU offense
100thof 138-0.085139 plays
Field advancement
Texas offense
100thof 13842.7%vs
LSU defense · allowed
2ndof 13829.7%Texas defense · allowed
8thof 13831.7%vs
LSU offense
8thof 13860.3%Texas Offense vs LSU DefenseLSU · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.08#55
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90.40
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.059#98
554 plays
EPA/Play
#4-0.234
allowed · 401 plays
-0.039#83
251 plays
EPA/Pass
#10-0.222
allowed · 196 plays
-0.075#110
303 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#6-0.246
allowed · 205 plays
46.2%#77
554 plays
Success Rate
#538.7%
allowed · 401 plays
44.2%#68
Pass Success Rate
#1938.9%
allowed
47.9%#75
Rush Success Rate
#939.3%
allowed
42.7%#100
Available Yards %
#229.7%
allowed
70.2#65
Net Field Position
#7171.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.084#106
427 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#8-0.194
allowed
7.0#74
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#28.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Texas Defense vs LSU OffenseTexas · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.53#1
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#120.37
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.164#11
allowed · 560 plays
EPA/Play
#400.069
564 plays
-0.235#9
allowed · 285 plays
EPA/Pass
#320.113
283 plays
-0.092#32
allowed · 275 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#630.024
281 plays
40.9%#16
allowed · 560 plays
Success Rate
#952.8%
564 plays
38.6%#17
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#455.1%
42.3%#22
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#3950.5%
31.7%#8
allowed
Available Yards %
#860.3%
70.5#88
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#5169.6
-0.150#11
allowed · 418 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#580.034
449 plays
7.6#31
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#446.6
2026 · Situational EPALSU · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.062
546 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.053
560 plays
-0.156
555 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.240
409 plays
0.061
99 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.085
139 plays
-0.236
63 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.082
59 plays · small sample
0.087
124 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.195
132 plays
-0.125
140 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.193
124 plays